pasnownut Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 20 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: This. otoh we should probably stop all the grown men sleeping naked chatter.... but for fun....just picture the faces you know in here vs what you think we all look like.....then sans clothing. enjoy the chuckle... this is my guess for Sauss. (this is just for fun. love ya bro!!) Hope that former softball slayin daughter of yours is doing well now that shes all graduated n stuff. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 1 hour ago, pasnownut said: otoh we should probably stop all the grown men sleeping naked chatter.... but for fun....just picture the faces you know in here vs what you think we all look like.....then sans clothing. enjoy the chuckle... this is my guess for Sauss. (this is just for fun. love ya bro!!) Hope that former softball slayin daughter of yours is doing well now that shes all graduated n stuff. Thats me on the banks of the mighty Susquehanna. she doing well, other then she needs a job 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 51 minutes ago, Newman said: Lol What a winter pattern in May! GFS sends one low after low to our south and up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 The 540 line Sunday @ 1pm. is down in VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 8 minutes ago, paweather said: The 540 line Sunday @ 1pm. is down in VA craziness Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 5 hours ago, Wmsptwx said: We have an ongoing outbreak at a nursing facility that’s going to cause numbers to rise pretty quick. Sullivan has next to no cases and is skewing NCPA numbers. I just listened to the 2PM call and Lancaster is having a community spread situation.....only 25% of their cases are nursing home. A bit of surprising info. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 14 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I just listened to the 2PM call and Lancaster is having a community spread situation.....only 25% of their cases are nursing home. A bit of surprising info. Wow.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted May 5, 2020 Author Share Posted May 5, 2020 The difference between the Euro and GFS for the weekend comes down a choice between insane and more insane. The GFS has been dumping the core of the 500mb PV right over PA while the Euro has been swinging it through NY State. Going to be crazy cold for mid-May either way, but the difference would be the core of the 500mb would provide the best instability for the rain/snow/grapuel showers that are sure to develop with daytime heating. The 500mb air at the core of the PV is progged at -40ºC, which I'm not sure if that is some kind of record over this part of the US but it's def not often you see air at that level that cold even in the winter. I'm pretty sure it would be the coldest ever observed in May over the northeastern US. Gonna have the watch the coastal wave later Friday too, the sharper GFS has the low going more underneath and has what looks like a bit stronger of a system. Would likely make a potentially more snowy scenario in the higher elevations of western and possibly even central PA with that 500mb low dropping. The system is also timed later Friday into Sat evening so it would take the strong sun out of the equation. A wet snow bomb is def on the table in the higher ground. Either in interior PA and/or upstate NY. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 Shouldn’t there be more precip on those models considering placement of 992 low? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 Does anyone know of definitive records for standard stations as to the latest accumulating snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted May 5, 2020 Author Share Posted May 5, 2020 2 hours ago, Wmsptwx said: Shouldn’t there be more precip on those models considering placement of 992 low? Hah 18z NAM must think so. That's not even done at 84 hours. Welcome to happy hour in May I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted May 5, 2020 Author Share Posted May 5, 2020 12 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Does anyone know of definitive records for standard stations as to the latest accumulating snow? I'm not sure on definitive dates. I would imagine more stations than you might think have recorded a T in May, but as far as measurable? Aside from likely KJST and KBFD I don't know offhand who else. Any measurable more than a trace in the LSV is likely uncharted territory in at least the last several decades. As far as may snowstorms, May 9-10, 1977 apparently had one in Upstate New York and southern New England. https://www.boston.com/weather/weather/2016/05/09/on-this-day-in-1977-the-weather-was-bad-as-in-13-inches-of-snow-in-worcester-bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 19 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: I'm not sure on definitive dates. I would imagine more stations than you might think have recorded a T in May, but as far as measurable? Aside from likely KJST and KBFD I don't know offhand who else. Any measurable more than a trace in the LSV is likely uncharted territory in at least the last several decades. As far as may snowstorms, May 9-10, 1977 apparently had one in Upstate New York and southern New England. https://www.boston.com/weather/weather/2016/05/09/on-this-day-in-1977-the-weather-was-bad-as-in-13-inches-of-snow-in-worcester-bad Thanks, so as depicted this would be a historical event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 25 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: I'm not sure on definitive dates. I would imagine more stations than you might think have recorded a T in May, but as far as measurable? Aside from likely KJST and KBFD I don't know offhand who else. Any measurable more than a trace in the LSV is likely uncharted territory in at least the last several decades. As far as may snowstorms, May 9-10, 1977 apparently had one in Upstate New York and southern New England. https://www.boston.com/weather/weather/2016/05/09/on-this-day-in-1977-the-weather-was-bad-as-in-13-inches-of-snow-in-worcester-bad How great to see a map that shows off my reminiscing from 2 days ago! There's the trace of snow over northern NJ which fell during the afternoon of May 9th. I had no idea there was a huge snow accumulation in central Mass from this event, but I do know it was super cold for May. The timing looks great from the NAM for picking up maybe more than a trace since some of it looks to fall after sunset Friday evening. Thanks for the heads up and this map!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 1 hour ago, MAG5035 said: Hah 18z NAM must think so. That's not even done at 84 hours. Welcome to happy hour in May I guess. Yes! I would pay to see the next 12 hours of the NAM if it existed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 Lycoming County Corners daily report. NUMBERS FROM THE WEEKEND (5/2-3): Sat: 13 new cases (84) Sun: 1 new case (85) + 2 official deaths (4) Today: 1 new case (86) Still no accurate numbers on recovered cases. See you tomorrow. "Protecting The Living Through The Investigation Of Death" 13 new cases was mostly from nursing home. Some beautiful days...but they are a little chilly. Guess I will be firing the coal stove up tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 7 hours ago, sauss06 said: Thats me on the banks of the mighty Susquehanna. she doing well, other then she needs a job Your nips would be pointing today Nice working weather. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 The 18z GFS manages to keep the Friday evening storm under us. It keeps the best snow in MD & VA. At this point, my trusty handbook says to take the compromise solution run of the 18z NAM! Here is the 18z GFS just for entertainment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 Several flashes of lightning here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted May 6, 2020 Author Share Posted May 6, 2020 Lol 0z NAM doesn't have the really heavy amounts but it snows on the whole Sus Valley and gets flakes down to the I-95 corridor in central VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 3 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Lol 0z NAM doesn't have the really heavy amounts but it snows on the whole Sus Valley and gets flakes down to the I-95 corridor in central VA. Sign me up for some CTP snow history, especially in the LSV ! Wow! I would be thrilled just to see some snow in the air over the next few days, but this would be incredible. This 0z NAM run was the best way for me to end my birthday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 The 0z & 6z GFS continued to push the best snow south of CTP on Friday night. The 0z Canadian & Euro keep the snow confined to northern & western PA. However, the good old 6z NAM continued to deliver snow to most of CTP, including the LSV! The NAM is still a compromise solution between the major global models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Old Bones Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 Moderate snow in Rockton Area this morning. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted May 6, 2020 Author Share Posted May 6, 2020 12 minutes ago, Old Bones said: Moderate snow in Rockton Area this morning. . I was just about to comment that I saw it falling on the 511pa camera at the Penfield/153 exit up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 I saw on Twitter that snow was falling in St. Marys and Ridgway as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 It's a raw day out there, for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 5 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 0z & 6z GFS continued to push the best snow south of CTP on Friday night. The 0z Canadian & Euro keep the snow confined to northern & western PA. However, the good old 6z NAM continued to deliver snow to most of CTP, including the LSV! The NAM is still a compromise solution between the major global models. I'll take a couple of inches in May! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 12Z Nam. Shows snow accumulated but temps do not match so not sure about that though they do fall below freezing after the qpf has left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 47 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 12Z Nam. Shows snow accumulated but temps do not match so not sure about that though they do fall below freezing after the qpf has left. NAM seems to still be well out to lunch here. Thinking something not too dissimilar from a blend of everything would make sense here. Which means uh...2-4? Still ridiculous for time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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