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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2020 OBS Thread


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40 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Thought i saw a snowflake but it's 52F so couldn't be. But it feels like 30's with wind chill.

 

 

 

Had snowflakes at 47F here back on April 16th...but 52 does seem a smidge warm. This year you could have a snow flake and flower petal mix blowing by.

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47 minutes ago, KamuSnow said:

Had snowflakes at 47F here back on April 16th...but 52 does seem a smidge warm. This year you could have a snow flake and flower petal mix blowing by.

More likely it was flecks of old leaded paint blowing off the ancient civil war era house 

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5 hours ago, KamuSnow said:

But what's the Realfeel temperature? Birds wants to know I'm sure.

"Realfeel" irks me just about as much as "95 corridor". Both terms make my right frontal lobe ache...

Just stepped out, 44F...still breezy (10 - 15mph-ish) and crisp. Feels like Fall. I better enjoy this now before we get torched... 

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4 hours ago, Birds~69 said:

"Realfeel" irks me just about as much as "95 corridor". Both terms make my right frontal lobe ache...

Just stepped out, 44F...still breezy (10 - 15mph-ish) and crisp. Feels like Fall. I better enjoy this now before we get torched... 

Lol....sorry about that! Take 3 aspirin every 4 hours until your veins stop bulging. Disclaimer, I am not a doctor, so don't take me seriously. 41F here currently.

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55 minutes ago, RedSky said:

54F clouds&sun&windy

Next week's heat has been slashed with ocean influence. Underperforming all day everyday the new norm.

 

 

YES!!!

Actually watched Glenn during todays 11am broadcast....temps for next week were reduced by 3-4 degrees compared to yesterday forecast which I originally thought were too high.

55F currently w/wind...beautiful. Looking forward to another May night in the 30s....

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31 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

YES!!!

Actually watched Glenn during todays 11am broadcast....temps for next week were reduced by 3-4 degrees compared to yesterday forecast which I originally thought were too high.

55F currently w/wind...beautiful. Looking forward to another May night in the 30s....

Might want to look into Svalbard as a year round residence.

* pop of 2642 lol

 

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28 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Might want to look into Svalbard as a year round residence.

* pop of 2642 lol

 

Maine or New Hamshire would be my choice. Seafood, solid winters, less cluster-f**k and all around comfortable temps year round. Would still stick to Philly sport teams though...

56F/gusty

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2 hours ago, RedSky said:

54F clouds&sun&windy

Next week's heat has been slashed with ocean influence. Underperforming all day everyday the new norm.

 

Saw that and it royally pissed me off. I'm beginning to think this is going to be the year without a summer. By now, I've run my a/c at least a couple times, and have the windows open nearly every day. This year, no a/c and the windows have been opened 5 times if lucky. On a personal level, I've never been so white (no suntan) this late in the year. Only one day was warm enough (for me) to be out in just a short sleave shirt, and as for shorts...fuhgettaboutit...

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11 minutes ago, Voyager said:

Saw that and it royally pissed me off. I'm beginning to think this is going to be the year without a summer. By now, I've run my a/c at least a couple times, and have the windows open nearly every day. This year, no a/c and the windows have been opened 5 times if lucky. On a personal level, I've never been so white (no suntan) this late in the year. Only one day was warm enough (for me) to be out in just a short sleave shirt, and as for shorts...fuhgettaboutit...

I never wore thermals and wool socks into mid May before, welcome to Vermont.

 

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Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0231 AM CDT Wed May 13 2020

   Valid 151200Z - 161200Z

   ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS
   OF THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHERN PLAINS/OZARK PLATEAU...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible across portions
   of the Northeast States as well as the southern Plains and Ozark
   Plateau Friday.

   ...Northeast...
   A northern-stream shortwave trough is forecast to move quickly
   eastward from its position early Friday over Upper Great Lakes
   through the Northeast States. Surface low associated with this
   system will likely begin the period over southwestern Ontario before
   then moving quickly eastward across NY. Cold front attendant to this
   low will move eastward through the Upper OH Valley and NY/northern
   Mid-Atlantic. Temperatures and dewpoints ahead of this front are
   forecast to reach the mid 70s and upper 50s/low 60s, respectively,
   resulting in a modest instability. Consequently, thunderstorm
   development is anticipated along the front during the afternoon.
   Strong mid-level flow will support fast-moving bowing line segments
   capable of damaging wind gusts. Isolated hail and a brief tornado
   are also possible.

day3otlk_0730.gif

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...Northeast States...
   A northern-stream shortwave trough is forecast to progress quickly
   eastward/southeastward across the Great Lakes into the Northeast
   States on Friday. Strong mid-level flow attendant to this system
   will spread eastward just ahead of it while an associated surface
   low and cold front also move across the Northeast. Temperatures and
   dewpoints ahead of this front are forecast to reach the mid 70s and
   upper 50s/low 60s, respectively, resulting in modest instability.
   Thunderstorm development is anticipated during the afternoon as the
   front interacts with this instability. Low to mid-level flow will
   strengthen over the region as the shortwave trough approaches,
   contributing to both moderate vertical shear and fast storm motions.
   Fast-moving bowing line segments, which may eventually amalgamate
   into a coherent convective line, will be the predominant storm mode.
   Damaging wind gusts from these bowing segments will be the primary
   severe hazard, although some isolated hail may occur, particularly
   with any more cellular/discrete storms. Additionally, moderate
   veering of the low-level wind profiles will support a low-probably
   tornado potential with both discrete development ahead of the line
   and line-embedded circulations.

day2otlk_0600.gif

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On 5/6/2020 at 8:14 PM, ChescoPaWxman said:

So how unusual is this cold May in Western Chester County PA? very! On top of the potential of snow in the air on Friday and Saturday in May - an extremely rare event in the climate change era....or heck any era climate change or not! We are well on the way to the latest 80+ degree reading in at least the last 38 years here in Chester County. Already through today this is the 5th latest 80+ degree reading so late into May. In looking at the longer range models it looks increasingly possible that we will set a record for the latest 80+ day in County history. Below are the latest such readings 

#1 - 5/22/1988 / #2 - 5/20/1984 / #3 - 5/19/1997 - 5/19/1992 - 5/19/2019 / #4 - 5/10/1987 - #5 - TBD here in 2020

 

Not taking anything away from the cool start to this month, and I don't know what the high will be there tomorrow, but 2020 might have to settle for 4th place? If you can get past tomorrow, you've got a shot at May 22nd...

Interesting that just last year is tied for 3rd place at May 19th!

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