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February 17-18 Snow Potential


Hoosier
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6 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

1582070400-MjxfNTm708Y.png&key=6fd1e1180

 

lock it in

It will all melt a day later in this pattern... Have a winter camp out with my daughter next weekend and would *LOVE* a good snow.

Last year there was just like the map above... 12 inches of snow in Southern Wisconsin on Thursday and then it POURED rain most of the weekend... It was a sloppy muddy mess...

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1 hour ago, Hoosier said:

One thing about the Euro is that it shows there is a way to get big snow amounts even with a pretty strung out/positively tilted trough.  

If you just look at 500 mb, you think that is kind of a pathetic look for a big storm.  At least I did.  So again, may not end up big in the end but it is nice to see the Euro spit out those amounts.

floop-ecmwf_full-2020021212.500hv.conus.gif.975ddd91164c7c10c448dac776b38f21.gif

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11 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

If you just look at 500 mb, you think that is kind of a pathetic look for a big storm.  At least I did.  So again, may not end up big in the end but it is nice to see the Euro spit out those amounts.

floop-ecmwf_full-2020021212.500hv.conus.gif.975ddd91164c7c10c448dac776b38f21.gif

Positive tilted, it is going to suffer from some of the same things this system is suffering from, especially if that northern piece speeds up. Which it more than likely should.

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11 minutes ago, Stebo said:

Positive tilted, it is going to suffer from some of the same things this system is suffering from, especially if that northern piece speeds up. Which it more than likely should.

If we had a big neg tilt trough being progged then we could pretty much throw it out with how this season has gone :axe:.  Maybe just maybe we can see something good out of this setup.  Long way to go though.

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4 minutes ago, IllinoisWedges said:

00z Euro, here comes the rain. Was nice while it lasted boys!

Maybe I’m just being a bit optimistic, but didn’t the blizzard of 2011 and 2015 flip flop between rain and snow at this distance. 
 

its still something to watch, especially while models have been consistently underperforming. 

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3 hours ago, IllinoisWedges said:

00z Euro, here comes the rain. Was nice while it lasted boys!

might not be a bad thing to get rid of today's 3-4" and wash off the salt residue before the warm up. Funny thing, now I see LOT only has upper 20's for highs next Wednesday. Dealayed, not denied I suspect.

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