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February Medium/Long Range Discussion


WinterWxLuvr
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10 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Folks, this winter has proven that if The King is not on board forget about it.  Until or if its look improves don’t overthink or get false hopes looking at the Goofus.

North America vs Europe.

Hmmm I wonder who is going to be right.

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21 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Folks, this winter has proven that if The King is not on board forget about it.  Until or if its look improves don’t overthink or get false hopes looking at the Goofus.

It’s also proven that when the King is on board, forget about it.

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30 minutes ago, Ji said:
59 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said:
0z EPS had 3 out of 50 members that gave decent snow to the I-95 corridor through next weekend.
 
It can only trend better from there. 
giggle.gif.ef57986aa4b3eac9afc8df1336d5dc46.gif

That's up from 2 of 50 at 12z

Baby steps, right? 

 

If this is going to be a total non event, I hope the American models get their act together today and stop messing with us. 

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Okay, I am leaving no stone unturned. The NAM looks good. That is if you can get beyond the fact that I am talking the NAM, at range and then extrapolating a couple days beyond to boot. :arrowhead: Seeing good separation between the NS and the SW in the western US to hopefully minimize the interaction between the two beyond the end of the extended. .

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4 minutes ago, showmethesnow said:

Okay, I am leaving no stone unturned. The NAM looks good. That is if you can get beyond the fact that I am talking the NAM, at range and then extrapolating a couple days beyond to boot. :arrowhead: Seeing good separation between the NS and the SW in the western US to hopefully minimize the interaction between the two beyond the end of the extended. .

If only the DGEX was still around...

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2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

I dont see the NS feature getting out front or the ss feature slowing. More confluence over the NE is a benefit tho. I guess we grasp at any positive we can find.

So you see we still have jumping around...and I don't believe we've seen this kind of setup all season long (heck, we ain't been able to get a dang High to the north all season). And if we are talking about nailing down the timing between two waves? Yeah no...what we see so far is not locked in to be the final result (and the models still need time to figure it out)

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1 minute ago, MD Snow said:

Very similar to 6z GFS and 0z Canadian. 

Was about to say the same thing. I'm curious about the EURO...you'd think there were no separation between the NW and SW at all...yet the rest of guidance has shown it in different forms. Gonna be interesting to see what it does today (for better or worse, lol)

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1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said:

So you see we still have jumping around...and I don't believe we've seen this kind of setup all season long (heck, we ain't been able to get a dang High to the north all season). And if we are talking about nailing down the timing between two waves? Yeah no...what we see so far is not locked in to be the final result (and the models still need time to figure it out)

I would still be skeptical for your region. If it trends badly down here and better 40n I will take future discussion to the other sub so it wont appear as trolling which is not my intent. Plenty of time for all of us here to trend positive (or negative). 

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3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Leave us alone for 10 minutes please. Thanks.

Ralph and his snow porn. :lol:

 

2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

At least we’ve stopped seeing new pieces and pieces that disappear at h5. Now it’s just timing and how it comes together. At least we seem to know the players we plan to start the game with.

Have we? At 5+ days I am not so sure I would count on that. Don't know how often I have seen a good setup inside 3 days go to crap because the models all the sudden produced a piece of NS energy to screw things up.

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3 minutes ago, showmethesnow said:

Ralph and his snow porn. :lol:

 

Have we? At 5+ days I am not so sure I would count on that. Don't know how often I have seen a good setup inside 3 days go to crap because the models all the sudden produced a piece of NS energy to screw things up.

Man I'm still traumatized by early March 2018...that stupid GL low is burned into my memory...left us with nothin' but a windstorm...ack! (although I gotta wonder if something like that is more likely in Nina's due to being NS dominant...never trust a nina, lol)

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5 minutes ago, showmethesnow said:

Ralph and his snow porn. :lol:

 

Have we? At 5+ days I am not so sure I would count on that. Don't know how often I have seen a good setup inside 3 days go to crap because the models all the sudden produced a piece of NS energy to screw things up.

Looks like the GFS is doing just this lol.

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