daxx Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 Blizzard Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1258 PM EST Wed Feb 26 2020 NYZ006>008-270200- /O.UPG.KBUF.LE.W.0004.200227T1200Z-200229T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.BZ.W.0001.200227T1200Z-200228T2100Z/ Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville 1258 PM EST Wed Feb 26 2020 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THURSDAY TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 4 feet across the Tug Hill Plateau, and 1 to 2 feet for surrounding lower elevations. Winds gusting as high as 50 to 60 mph will result in severe blowing and drifting snow. * WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region. * WHEN...From 7 AM Thursday to 4 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of blowing snow will produce near zero visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning and evening commutes Thursday and Friday. Strong winds could cause some tree damage and scattered power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Strong winds will cause significant blowing and drifting snow, frequently reducing visibilities to zero. Travel is strongly discouraged. Im willing to bet someone in northeast Oswego county and southeastern Jefferson county receive 50 plus inches! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 25 minutes ago, daxx said: Blizzard Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1258 PM EST Wed Feb 26 2020 NYZ006>008-270200- /O.UPG.KBUF.LE.W.0004.200227T1200Z-200229T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.BZ.W.0001.200227T1200Z-200228T2100Z/ Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville 1258 PM EST Wed Feb 26 2020 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THURSDAY TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 4 feet across the Tug Hill Plateau, and 1 to 2 feet for surrounding lower elevations. Winds gusting as high as 50 to 60 mph will result in severe blowing and drifting snow. * WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region. * WHEN...From 7 AM Thursday to 4 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of blowing snow will produce near zero visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning and evening commutes Thursday and Friday. Strong winds could cause some tree damage and scattered power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Strong winds will cause significant blowing and drifting snow, frequently reducing visibilities to zero. Travel is strongly discouraged. Im willing to bet someone in northeast Oswego county and southeastern Jefferson county receive 50 plus inches! couldn't write a better love story 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 6 minutes ago, sauss06 said: couldn't write a better love story Personally I thought the days when @daxx posted sweet notes from the Euro around this time were a bit more romantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Personally I thought the days when @daxx posted sweet notes from the Euro around this time were a bit more romantic. Trust me Bubbler I would love to do that, but this Winter is just a giant turd around here. I am so glad I traveled to the Tug a couple weeks ago to get a taste of true Winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 This is no way to run an early Met Spring evening 12Z Euro. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 26, 2020 Author Share Posted February 26, 2020 24 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: This is no way to run an early Met Spring evening 12Z Euro. I hope that comes to fruition...I'd like to turn off the A/C for a day or two before it runs nonstop until next December. I'm sure I'll be able to turn it off for a few days starting tomorrow night as well... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 26, 2020 Author Share Posted February 26, 2020 1 hour ago, daxx said: Blizzard Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1258 PM EST Wed Feb 26 2020 NYZ006>008-270200- /O.UPG.KBUF.LE.W.0004.200227T1200Z-200229T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.BZ.W.0001.200227T1200Z-200228T2100Z/ Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville 1258 PM EST Wed Feb 26 2020 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THURSDAY TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 4 feet across the Tug Hill Plateau, and 1 to 2 feet for surrounding lower elevations. Winds gusting as high as 50 to 60 mph will result in severe blowing and drifting snow. * WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region. * WHEN...From 7 AM Thursday to 4 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of blowing snow will produce near zero visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning and evening commutes Thursday and Friday. Strong winds could cause some tree damage and scattered power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Strong winds will cause significant blowing and drifting snow, frequently reducing visibilities to zero. Travel is strongly discouraged. Im willing to bet someone in northeast Oswego county and southeastern Jefferson county receive 50 plus inches! Reading that thread today and it sure seems like there's a lot of panic going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: I hope that comes to fruition...I'd like to turn off the A/C for a day or two before it runs nonstop until next December. I'm sure I'll be able to turn it off for a few days starting tomorrow night as well... Screw that. Too f'n cold for March... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: Reading that thread today and it sure seems like there's a lot of panic going on. I'm in downstate NY and I'm just feeling envy. Again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: Reading that thread today and it sure seems like there's a lot of panic going on. You have to remember most of those guys don't live on the Tug. Could you imagine getting 6 inches and only 10 miles away getting 4 feet! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 7 minutes ago, daxx said: You have to remember most of those guys don't live on the Tug. Could you imagine getting 6 inches and only 10 miles away getting 4 feet! Lol That was like PA in the January event few years back lmao. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 1 hour ago, daxx said: Blizzard Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1258 PM EST Wed Feb 26 2020 NYZ006>008-270200- /O.UPG.KBUF.LE.W.0004.200227T1200Z-200229T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.BZ.W.0001.200227T1200Z-200228T2100Z/ Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville 1258 PM EST Wed Feb 26 2020 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THURSDAY TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 4 feet across the Tug Hill Plateau, and 1 to 2 feet for surrounding lower elevations. Winds gusting as high as 50 to 60 mph will result in severe blowing and drifting snow. * WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region. * WHEN...From 7 AM Thursday to 4 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of blowing snow will produce near zero visibility. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning and evening commutes Thursday and Friday. Strong winds could cause some tree damage and scattered power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Strong winds will cause significant blowing and drifting snow, frequently reducing visibilities to zero. Travel is strongly discouraged. Im willing to bet someone in northeast Oswego county and southeastern Jefferson county receive 50 plus inches! Dax We need to make a group trip up to New York for some of that kind of fun. Thats some crazy snow totals. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 Just now, Wmsptwx said: That was like PA in the January event few years back in every coastal storm lmao. Fixed it for ya... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 Just now, pawatch said: Dax We need to make a group trip up to New York for some of that kind of fun. Thats some crazy snow totals. For sure! I stay in a real nice cabin up there. It sleeps 10 people. I have stayed at several places but I finally found the sweet spot. I have also seen snow depths over 7 feet up there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 3 minutes ago, daxx said: For sure! I stay in a real nice cabin up there. It sleeps 10 people. I have stayed at several places but I finally found the sweet spot. I have also seen snow depths over 7 feet up there. Is that one of those cabins with second floor doors so you can get out? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Is that one of those cabins with second floor doors so you can get out? No...this is rancher but I have seen several of those in the area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 26, 2020 Author Share Posted February 26, 2020 43 minutes ago, Voyager said: Screw that. Too f'n cold for March... You'll have more than enough warm...hot weather for months. I'll take cold as long as I can get it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 26, 2020 Author Share Posted February 26, 2020 39 minutes ago, daxx said: You have to remember most of those guys don't live on the Tug. Could you imagine getting 6 inches and only 10 miles away getting 4 feet! Lol Yes, I understand that and I wasn't clear. Most are panicking because they were counting on synoptic snow and that seems to be trending further west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 11 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: You'll have more than enough warm...hot weather for months. I'll take cold as long as I can get it. Pushing zero is too cold, 15-20 I'm ok with. Not that it matters, though. As Trixie would say, "weather's gonna weather"...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 15 minutes ago, Voyager said: Pushing zero is too cold, 15-20 I'm ok with. Not that it matters, though. As Trixie would say, "weather's gonna weather"...lol This year lots of cold snaps have fallen by the way side as time has drawn close but temps of 0-10 the second week of March will do some damage to the average Spring plants that will be in full bloom by that point due to several days in the 60's prior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 Oh look. Another wind advisory. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 3 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: Oh look. Another wind advisory. Somewhere in the US there are wind enthusiasts who talk about the LSV like we talk about the Tug Hill Plateau for snow. "I had winds of 10-20 today but that's nothing compared to my cabin in Enola which gusts to 50 several times a winter!". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: Reading that thread today and it sure seems like there's a lot of panic going on. I was impressed that the blizzard warning in western NY (both off Erie and Ontario) has like a 42 hour duration. Not sure where exactly everyone resides up there but some seemed mad BUF issued blizzard warnings. I'll take them if they don't want them lol. For the record I do think the blizzard warnings are warranted given the way this low strengthens and tracks.. and then sits over southern Quebec for a time. Realized the storm had a bit of a March 3-4, 1999 look. That storm had a similar track with blizzard conditions in western NY and PA. Personally I saw a rainstorm turn to snow late evening and got woke up in the middle of the night to 40-50+ mph winds and thundersnow. The wind was strong enough to take trees down and knock power out. We only had 4-5 inches but there was a straight 6-8 hour period that was a whiteout. Some Laurel's spots up into western NY got way more snow. One of the only times I've seen legitimate blizzard conditions. But I digress, our current storm isn't going to be digging down as much as that one did as you can see on the archive maps. So while I think parts of the Laurel's region into northern and NW PA could see several inches of snow and definitely plenty of wind, the low doesn't get wound up until its moving up through eastern PA into NY state (a theme this year whenever we have had an eastern US low develop). The LES potential looks pretty prolific, with the low closing off over southern Quebec and sitting for a while setting up a westerly flow. Probably better LES potential than the comparison storm I put up in some cases, although I probably wouldn't convince the Rochester folks of that since this one is going to have synoptic tracking further west and then the LES setting up on a more westerly flow. There's going to be monster totals especially off of Ontario where the whole unfrozen length will be utilized with that westerly flow. The favored LES areas in western NY probably will have some big totals too. The lakes are completely open for business, and the airmass this storm is ushering in is a pretty cold one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 36 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Somewhere in the US there are wind enthusiasts who talk about the LSV like we talk about the Tug Hill Plateau for snow. "I had winds of 10-20 today but that's nothing compared to my cabin in Enola which gusts to 50 several times a winter!". There's probably garden enthusiasts in Florida that are envious of the full spring fling you already have going on at your place haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 9 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: There's probably garden enthusiasts in Florida that are envious of the full spring fling you already have going on at your place haha. They have actually had a very cold winter there so funny you say that. Lots of days in the 40's. (Central Florida North of Orlando). If they are jealous of anything though it is the mountain views. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 40 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: I was impressed that the blizzard warning in western NY (both off Erie and Ontario) has like a 42 hour duration. Not sure where exactly everyone resides up there but some seemed mad BUF issued blizzard warnings. I'll take them if they don't want them lol. For the record I do think the blizzard warnings are warranted given the way this low strengthens and tracks.. and then sits over southern Quebec for a time. Realized the storm had a bit of a March 3-4, 1999 look. That storm had a similar track with blizzard conditions in western NY and PA. Personally I saw a rainstorm turn to snow late evening and got woke up in the middle of the night to 40-50+ mph winds and thundersnow. The wind was strong enough to take trees down and knock power out. We only had 4-5 inches but there was a straight 6-8 hour period that was a whiteout. Some Laurel's spots up into western NY got way more snow. One of the only times I've seen legitimate blizzard conditions. But I digress, our current storm isn't going to be digging down as much as that one did as you can see on the archive maps. So while I think parts of the Laurel's region into northern and NW PA could see several inches of snow and definitely plenty of wind, the low doesn't get wound up until its moving up through eastern PA into NY state (a theme this year whenever we have had an eastern US low develop). The LES potential looks pretty prolific, with the low closing off over southern Quebec and sitting for a while setting up a westerly flow. Probably better LES potential than the comparison storm I put up in some cases, although I probably wouldn't convince the Rochester folks of that since this one is going to have synoptic tracking further west and then the LES setting up on a more westerly flow. There's going to be monster totals especially off of Ontario where the whole unfrozen length will be utilized with that westerly flow. The favored LES areas in western NY probably will have some big totals too. The lakes are completely open for business, and the airmass this storm is ushering in is a pretty cold one. Impressive the pressure is suppose to drop 26 MB in 24 hours with this up in NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 26, 2020 Author Share Posted February 26, 2020 I think Horst has reached stage 1 on the throw-in-the-towel meter. He acknowledged today that while we might see a nuisance snow add onto our nuisance seasonal total...the chances of something significant are going...going... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 26, 2020 Share Posted February 26, 2020 16 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I think Horst has reached stage 1 on the throw-in-the-towel meter. He acknowledged today that while we might see a nuisance snow add onto our nuisance seasonal total...the chances of something significant are going...going... I think someone east of the mountains might have a car topper accum by tomorrow AM. NWS has it in their zones and even the GFS shows it now. Cold air chasing moisture though.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 26, 2020 Author Share Posted February 26, 2020 22 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I think someone east of the mountains might have a car topper accum by tomorrow AM. NWS has it in their zones and even the GFS shows it now. Cold air chasing moisture though.... I'll remain vigilant... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 27, 2020 Author Share Posted February 27, 2020 Pretty good squall line is blossoming in west central PA on both sides of I-80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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