OSUmetstud Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 Just now, Rtd208 said: I checked out the new picard series. Not bad so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 5 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: I dont think I'll ever get used to the cold May and Junes. Bermuda blues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 Do we still at least have some warmth next week also is REV still taking names Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Do we still at least have some warmth next week also is REV still taking names I think he lost the list. I still want to see the northern SW onshore, but not taking any names lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 Just looked at GFS... terrible 12 hour trend... big jumps in wrong direction... whatever new data was sampled (looks like energy entering BC) is not helping And big changes... in 12 hours, went from "oh so close to something big that is well within guidance margin of error" to "very unfavorable" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 Still not entirely convinced, so went ahead an issued for the most trivial amounts that I ever have. There probably will be no need for a Final Call, but it would be Friday night. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/01/super-bowl-storm-potential-no-show.html 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 31 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think he lost the list. I still want to see the northern SW onshore, but not taking any names lol This will be mildly interesting until tomorrow night when it either goes 20 new pages or non-event and crickets outside of Atlantic Canada. Fast flow with lots of s/w energy packets will be good fodder for the next few weeks. Lame January but winter has 8 more weeks in much of NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 Ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 6z NAM and 6z 3km NAM both come in hot for the weekend storm threat, now within 60 hours of the onset. Trends could be happening all the way inside 12 hours from the event. Also the water vapor imagery shows the northern stream is really digging southward across Montana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 The 6z run came in stronger with the southern stream system, a better negative tilt towards the shortwave trough and a stronger and a little further northwest track of the surface to 700mb lows, the intensification happens at the right moment to hit Cape Cod and ACK with a foot plus of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 The 6z NAM hits Cape Cod with the exact moment the 700mb low closes off around the BM and then east of CHH allowing the bands to move more westward than the 00z run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 6z GFS came west about 50 miles from the 00z run with the track and the precipitation shield. 12z runs are important if they show a more pronounced trend to the west, or stronger with the surface low. Storm mode still in progress, threat is still present. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ogmios Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 Slight western shift this morning on the 6Z now gives all of Nova Scotia a major snow storm with even SE New Brunswick getting in on the fun, but unfortunately for Shelburne County it is enough for a changeover to rain. So where we are closing in on the 50 hour mark this track of this storm is almost a lock with still some variability. Putting a blizzard special on order towards Boston but I do not know if it is even possible given the state of the AO+ with the opportunistic Oceans. Some British meteorologist if he is one call this the pest from the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 11 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: 6z GFS came west about 50 miles from the 00z run with the track and the precipitation shield. 12z runs are important if they show a more pronounced trend to the west, or stronger with the surface low. Storm mode still in progress, threat is still present. Enjoy a few showers 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 The globals are having enough trouble with the synoptics...gl with the NAM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 One can always tell the state of a storm threat when the thread becomes a James monologue. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 Will and I were wrong. I’ll own it. Feb looks mild and wet . We surmised that would happen when models were weenie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 Its over James Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 So is REV going MAGA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 Maybe NNE can salvage a light 1-3” refresh from the northern stream? Decent little streak across the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 How can you guys quit on something not even happening yet. We are still 54 hours from initial precipitation beginning. It will likely start off as rain. We get that, but the amounts could be significant especially if the NAM goes another 25-50 miles west the next 3 cycles. That 2-3' range could be over the Cape and Islands, instead of over ACK and 20 miles east of CHH. We still need to pay attention, and the 00z Euro ensembles showed a mean slanted towards the northwest. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 Just now, powderfreak said: Maybe NNE can salvage a light 1-3” refresh from the northern stream? Decent little streak across the north. That suggests the 00z EURO came west some. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: How can you guys quit on something not even happening yet. We are still 54 hours from initial precipitation beginning. It will likely start off as rain. We get that, but the amounts could be significant especially if the NAM goes another 25-50 miles west the next 3 cycles. That 2-3' range could be over the Cape and Islands, instead of over ACK and 20 miles east of CHH. We still need to pay attention, and the 00z Euro ensembles showed a mean slanted towards the northwest. JFC give it the eff up. 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: JFC give it the eff up. Why? I have seen a grand total of 7.45" this winter to date. If I can add a few inches to reach last year's total of 11" I will want to do it as soon as possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 6 hours ago, OSUmetstud said: I checked out the new picard series. Not bad so far. Agreed number one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 Not that it matters, this POS is done... But, I love that min over all of CT. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 @USCAPEWEATHERAF 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: JFC give it the eff up. If we can get all the seagulls to fart in the same direction, we might get the final push NW. Ensemble guidance for what it's worth is no longer showing spread west of track. It's all along track/strength. She gone. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 7 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: If we can get all the seagulls to fart in the same direction, we might get the final push NW. Ensemble guidance for what it's worth is no longer showing spread west of track. It's all along track/strength. She gone. Yeah for your area, not for mine, I give about a 35% chance for at least over 3" of snow in CHH to HYA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 30, 2020 Author Share Posted January 30, 2020 Glad I didn’t stay up for the globals. Yeah, whatever new data they are getting clearly is making the storm less of a threat. This one is pretty much dead now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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