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Upstate/Eastern New York


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NWS hardly even mentions the synoptic part of this system, it's all about the enhancement off the lake..I wish the gfs would of continued north like the European instead of transferring off the coast lol

As we head into mid to late week, 00z models continue to advertise a
developing large scale mid level trough which is poised to dig into
the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley region. This will maintain the
likelihood for precipitation across the area. Temperatures will trend
colder by Thursday as another shot of at least modified Arctic air
filters into the area, bringing the potential for lake-enhanced
snows.
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15 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said:

I'm actually surprised with the confidence this far out.

00Z runs look fugly but this is still 5-6 days out. The lead s/w looks to be a rainmaker as *shocked face* there's insufficient cold air around to keep precip frozen.  Then the main course development is up for grabs.  Plenty of time for that to change so maybe it's good that it looks as wet as white right now.

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