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Feb To Forget? - 2020 Discussion


TalcottWx
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3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Maybe I’m wrong.... but isn’t that similar to January 2018? 

I was wondering that myself....haven't researched it. I know one huge difference is antecedent airmass. We had cold in place for that one...here the high is in the atlantic, so its more hostile for the coast.

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37 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Those OP runs have a bit of a 2/13/14 feel to them. 

Keep in mind that ensembles are significantly further east right now and of the late bloomer variety. 

That storm was a mess down here. I’m trying to find totals but I think we got like 4-6” with some sleet and then rain 

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35 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Do not agree 

ok, maybe I was a little vague, they actually look good day 10-13/14ish, then you can see the trough in the east eroding as the trough from Alaska down through the west coast re-establishes itself. It has been showing this the past couple of days it seems. Who knows what is going to happen, I just don't like seeing the trough out west with a ridge near Hawaii, we just spend what seems like half the winter in the position....

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The southern stream came in much weaker, which is noise at this range....the important thing to me is that the N steams looks like it could play ball.

Two different perspectives.

1) Selfishly, I'd rather take my chances with a pure n stream system if worse comes to worst.

2) Those well south and west who want to try for a monster phase, you want the N stream to be within striking distance...the s stream will come back, as I doubt that its being well sampled wherever the hell it is right now.

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06 GFS back to a good snow event--probably about 12 hours slower than the 00z run.  

'll be going to a matinee show in NYC on Sunday so given my druthers, Sat/Sat night end would is what I'm hoping for. Didn't realize it was SBS when we bought the tickets.  Oh well--maybe that will make for light traffic.

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