dryslot Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 I want to be in the battle zone between air masses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think a good bit of these will work out this month, but that's just a hedge....no way to truly tell without blocking. Yup. A little more pull below thins out the press above. Too delicate until inside D4. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 Pretty funny to see the changes from 12z yesterday to 12z today. There was a lot of spread on the Euro Ens yesterday that had me suspicious (could see huge max T spread in the box and whisker polots on wxbell). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 16 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yup. A little more pull below thins out the press above. Too delicate until inside D4. I feel like next week will set the tone for the month, assuming blocking does not develop before March...often in these gradient patterns the timing with respect to the orientarion of the high keeps repeating throughout entire succession of waves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I feel like next week will set the tone for the month, assuming blocking does not develop before March...often in these gradient patterns the timing with respect to the orientarion of the high keeps repeating over the entire succession of waves. If we are (easier for you) on the good side then could be a good stretch but if not...it’s the final nail in the coffin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 29 minutes ago, dryslot said: I want to be in the battle zone between air masses. On its northern flank, not the southern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 2 minutes ago, tamarack said: On its northern flank, not the southern. Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 Heh.. yeah, the front coming south in future guidance ... almost seems with massive climo weight they might pick up on that sooner or later. Might help confidence. It occurs to me, this is a fast approaching thing. Funny, I was hung up on the last debacle and this is really day 5 which isn't terrible for verification - just not slam dunk range either. actually this year it seems we need it 10 minutes out but that's another thing - 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 Gfs coming in flatter for the 2nd wave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJsnow89 Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Gfs coming in flatter for the 2nd wave Torch for ny metro areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 1 hour ago, dryslot said: I want to be in the battle zone between air masses. We always want it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 2 minutes ago, NJsnow89 said: Torch for ny metro areas. Not the point Woosh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 Then wave 3 rains to Maine? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 16 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Not the point Woosh everything still looking favorable down there in the Middle Atlantic region? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 NNE is the place to be the next two weeks. Teles aren't looking too hot for us and esp. south so it's going to take excellent luck more or less, jmo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 Hopefully Ginx and Tip are right with ice and snow, but my gut says SNE up to SNH sees mainly rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 I'm all for snowstorms, even iffy SWFE events the way this winter has been playing out... Just not at 7:00am/12Z Thursday morning. We're taking our daughter to Disney World and that is when our flight leaves Logan. So I'm hoping this one stays really weak or ends up in Hudson Bay... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 47 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Hopefully Ginx and Tip are right with ice and snow, but my gut says SNE up to SNH sees mainly rain At this point I am agreeing with you. Hopefully it changes a bit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 8 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Look at these dates. That 89 90 hemispheric pattern analog from mid Nov looks so true. Somewhere, way back in some November thread, that I’m way too lazy to search for, is my regular post citing my fear of the rubber band snapping back hard after such a cold start, ala 1989. As usual, I had no scientific reason but even a broke clock is right twice a day for the wrong reasons. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 4 minutes ago, mreaves said: Somewhere, way back in some November thread, that I’m way too lazy to search for, is my regular post citing my fear of the rubber band snapping back hard after such a cold start, ala 1989. As usual, I had no scientific reason but even a broke clock is right twice a day for the wrong reasons. Yes we had that discussion and fear of a similar pattern. I hope it's wrong . Todays EPS looks better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 18 minutes ago, mreaves said: Somewhere, way back in some November thread, that I’m way too lazy to search for, is my regular post citing my fear of the rubber band snapping back hard after such a cold start, ala 1989. As usual, I had no scientific reason but even a broke clock is right twice a day for the wrong reasons. Yea. Hopefully it snaps back our way to save the tail end but that also would mean a cool/damp start to spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 27 minutes ago, mreaves said: Somewhere, way back in some November thread, that I’m way too lazy to search for, is my regular post citing my fear of the rubber band snapping back hard after such a cold start, ala 1989. As usual, I had no scientific reason but even a broke clock is right twice a day for the wrong reasons. It’s crazy that January was as ridiculously warm as November was cold. Like -6.5 and +7 for the two months up here. Mother Nature loves her averages. At least in January we can absorb that and still see average max temps below freezing (just barely)...but it’s been a lot of highs in the 25-35F range all month it seems...which is real warm for interior N.VT in January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: At this point I am agreeing with you. Hopefully it changes a bit Lol, you have some of the highest totals in NE this year and if it snows anywhere in SNE/CNE in this pattern it will be in your ‘hood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 36 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea. Hopefully it snaps back our way to save the tail end but that also would mean a cool/damp start to spring. Almost a given I would say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 1 hour ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Lol, you have some of the highest totals in NE this year and if it snows anywhere in SNE/CNE in this pattern it will be in your ‘hood. Still has a ways to go. Right now I think wet vs white 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea. Hopefully it snaps back our way to save the tail end but that also would mean a cool/damp start to spring. I'll pass . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 The rest of winter could go a couple of ways based on closest severity indexes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 Gfs colder for SNE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 Gfs is all epo driven. Great run for interior SNE and NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 January recap and February thoughts... https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/01/protracted-mid-winter-thaw-more-extreme.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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