Snowcrazed71 Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Just now, CTWeatherFreak said: Icon a Major hit. Maps? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 We've been reduced to asking for ICON maps at day 6. 4 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxFreak11 Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: We've been reduced to asking for ICON maps at day 6. Now this is funny! Thursday should be the day we get a better handle on things Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We've been reduced to asking for ICON maps at day 6. That's good for a 5PPD in and of itself. I thought the 00Z eps was a little tamer than the 12z yesterday, though I know that the OP looked better....most of the insane 940-960 solutions were gone and they were shifted east, thus not as close to the cape. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We've been reduced to asking for ICON maps at day 6. Yea but I have noticed it’s done fairly well inside d5 this year. It tends to be the most tamed too while other guidance shows zonked solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea but I have noticed it’s done fairly well inside d5 this year. It tends to be the most tamed too while other guidance shows zonked solutions. I haven't paid enough attention to it to know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We've been reduced to asking for ICON maps at day 6. I agree with this however, didn’t the ICON sniff out last weeks rains to Maine? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea but I have noticed it’s done fairly well inside d5 this year. It tends to be the most tamed too while other guidance shows zonked solutions. Eh, I kind of been watching it and i would still be shoveling this past weekend's storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Just now, Modfan2 said: I agree with this however, didn’t the ICON sniff out last weeks rains to Maine? No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 I don't think there would be to many happy with a SLP (978mb) tracking over KTAN in SNE on the icon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 1 minute ago, dryslot said: No The Uk and GEM did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: The Uk and GEM did. Yes, I had mentioned to Will they were the ones that had it, GGEM was the first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Just now, dryslot said: I don't think there would be to many happy with a SLP tracking over KTAN in SNE on the icon. I still feel like precip type will end up being the larger concern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I haven't paid enough attention to it to know. There are way too many computer forecast models out there. It's nearly impossible to analyze each and every one...at least to the degree which is needed to construct the most accurate/logical forecast you can make. Just too much data/information to consume. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ogmios Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 ICON has advanced enough to send a message "It's gonna rain." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Just now, dryslot said: I don't think there would be to many happy with a SLP (978mb) tracking over KTAN in SNE on the icon. Yeah it's not even a good one...unless you're in western ne and eny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I still feel like precip type will end up being the larger concern. As all have been this year, I agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Tucky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Just now, NYCweatherNOW said: Sucky fyp 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Just now, weatherwiz said: There are way too many computer forecast models out there. It's nearly impossible to analyze each and every one...at least to the degree which is needed to construct the most accurate/logical forecast you can make. Just too much data/information to consume. I scan them all, but usually ostensibly focus on the EURO in my blog visuals...for the sake of brevity. Otherwise Easternmassweather would be Typhoontipweather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxFreak11 Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 For us here in central RI the antecedent air mass is just too warm. I think it will be tough to get an all frozen situation here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: There are way too many computer forecast models out there. It's nearly impossible to analyze each and every one...at least to the degree which is needed to construct the most accurate/logical forecast you can make. Just too much data/information to consume. It’s a weak model but we use the nam more, discuss it often...yet it sucks. Like anything, if you know your data enough then it has its uses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 7 minutes ago, dryslot said: Eh, I kind of been watching it and i would still be shoveling this past weekend's storm. As with every other model that failed there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s a weak model but we use the nam more, discuss it often...yet it sucks. Like anything, if you know your data enough then it has its uses. Its an ensemble member...should assuage OTS concerns for now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: As with every other model that failed there. Uncle and GGEM didn't, But when you get a primary going to ottawa, There won't be any model producing snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 4 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said: Tucky Damn kid, if you’re gonna post trash surface maps at d6...at least zoom in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I scan them all, but usually ostensibly focus on the EURO in my blog visuals...for the sake of brevity. Otherwise Easternmassweather would be Typhoontipweather. I just stick with NAM, GFS, and Euro...otherwise it just gets too complex and confusing. Anyways in the case of this upcoming weekend's event I'm just really focusing on how the models are handling the potential evolution of the pattern. With all these shortwaves, shortwave troughs, and pieces of energy involved we're going to get a million different sfc projections between now and the end of the week and they're all really meaningless anyways...unless of course we start getting a better handle on just what s/w or two will be the main focus. Given this seems largely phase dependent we could see the next 10 solutions show all snow, rain, fish storm, cutter...wouldn't really matter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its an ensemble member...should assuage OTS concerns for now... OTS is my biggest concern, never stated otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 27, 2020 Share Posted January 27, 2020 Just now, weatherwiz said: I just stick with NAM, GFS, and Euro...otherwise it just gets too complex and confusing. Anyways in the case of this upcoming weekend's event I'm just really focusing on how the models are handling the potential evolution of the pattern. With all these shortwaves, shortwave troughs, and pieces of energy involved we're going to get a million different sfc projections between now and the end of the week and they're all really meaningless anyways...unless of course we start getting a better handle on just what s/w or two will be the main focus. Given this seems largely phase dependent we could see the next 10 solutions show all snow, rain, fish storm, cutter...wouldn't really matter You don't use the number 2 best model the UK? Wow that's not good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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