Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,502
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Weathernoob335
    Newest Member
    Weathernoob335
    Joined

Mid to Long Range Threats


Rjay
 Share

Recommended Posts

7 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

It does not change the fact that there is no high latitude blocking, a strong PAC jet, and a very strong SPV. The first week of March is very likely only transient. 

we had a 7-10 day window last year-locally, we had 3 events which dropped about 12-14 inches of snow allowing us to salvage something from the ratter of last year....

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, MJO812 said:

I doubt it. I wouldn't be shocked to see a big storm for our area in March.

The evolution for late Feb to start March looks similar to late Oct/early November.

This would fit well with raindancewx's forecast actually. If this idea proves correct then March could turn out a lot colder/stormier than many are expecting. 

It could be a false flag but the idea of a cold end of Feb/early March is looking more likely as supported by ensembles.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

27 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

The evolution for late Feb to start March looks similar to late Oct/early November.

This would fit well with raindancewx's forecast actually. If this idea proves correct then March could turn out a lot colder/stormier than many are expecting. 

It could be a false flag but the idea of a cold end of Feb/early March is looking more likely as supported by ensembles.

The only way to save this winter would be a March Blizzard 2001 reverse redux where the storm hits us with all its fury. :snowing:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, NutleyBlizzard said:

The only way to save this winter would be a March Blizzard 2001 reverse redux where the storm hits us with all its fury. :snowing:

But that year had already featured a nice blizzard earlier. This year has been as putrid as they come. I guess we get our few storms early on now and then nada for the remainder with a possible shot in March, when the snow can melt as fast as it falls....

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, weatherpruf said:

But that year had already featured a nice blizzard earlier. This year has been as putrid as they come. I guess we get our few storms early on now and then nada for the remainder with a possible shot in March, when the snow can melt as fast as it falls....

I don't think NYC has had any days of snowcover this year outside of the day of the storm, the biggest storm of the winter the 1.8 inches from the GLC melted by the end of the night so March can't be any worse

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

I tend to to disagree with that with the NAO trending negative around that time

nao.sprd2.gif

IF and a big if we can get at least a -1SD NAO we might have a chance, but a fair amount of members keep it in positive territory...but based on seasonal trends (zero coastal lows too) I''ll be skeptical not to mention a marginal airmass at the end of Feb-meh.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

IF and a big if we can get at least a -1SD NAO we might have a chance, but a fair amount of members keep it in positive territory...but based on seasonal trends (zero coastal lows too) I''ll be skeptical not to mention a marginal airmass at the end of Feb-meh.

Yep. The airmass sucks. Among other big issues. This is a rain event again

  • Like 1
  • Weenie 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...