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Mid to Long Range Threats


Rjay
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31 minutes ago, Barman49 said:

What is the date of the last Miller A to hit the east coast?? We were so spoiled it seems like 5 years ago.

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We’ve really been spoiled for the last 20 years. 2000-2019 when all added up and averaged out had way more anomalous cold and snowy winters than the previous 20 year cycle (1979-1999), which by and large were duds minus a few. It seems to go in 20 year cycles for the most part; the 1959-1979 winters were way more anomalous for cold and snow than the winters which followed.....

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We’ve really been spoiled for the last 20 years. 2000-2019 when all added up and averaged out had way more anomalous cold and snowy winters than the previous 20 year cycle (1979-1999), which by and large were duds minus a few. It seems to go in 20 year cycles for the most part; the 1959-1979 winters were way more anomalous for cold and snow then the winters which followed.....

I get it. Weather basically runs in cycles. I know you don't want that cycle back but you'd think just based off luck 1 in 10 or 15 storms would ride that track we got so used to.

 

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19 minutes ago, mattinpa said:

So pretty to look and better get a good look - the 0z could be all rain the way things flip. I am happy that a consistent long range window seems to be showing up.

If there isn’t a good PNA ridge and/or some blocking, this will likely end up over Detroit. I’m more interested in those over any particular storm. 

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1 hour ago, jm1220 said:

If there isn’t a good PNA ridge and/or some blocking, this will likely end up over Detroit. I’m more interested in those over any particular storm. 

 

48 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

The EPS was definitely huggy

We look to have a good pna next week. The airmass and position of ridge will be key. A costal hugger or a apps runner isn’t a cutter. I doubt we see a cutter in this pattern. 

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