Stormfly Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 29 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Hilarious..... I am showing my age. This was an expression used by Dick Motta when the Washington Bullets won the NBA Championship in 1978. I guess someone will move this to Banter but we are between model runs....I will sing an opera if we get a 6 inch storm this year. Methinks the only operas that are going to be sung are Madama Butterfly, given the trends. But hey, who knows? We still have plenty of time for PDIII and even SSII (1993 redux). So there's that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 This is pretty cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 ICON with a step back form 6z. Slightly east and weaker. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 WB 12z Icon goes south....toward the King EURO of course. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 I'm in JI camp. Give me the heavier rates and marginal cold and I'll take my chances at least out this way for some heavy meatballs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 12 minutes ago, LP08 said: ICON with a step back form 6z. Slightly east and weaker. At 90 hour is west and slightly s of 6z...maybe just slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 28, 2020 Author Share Posted January 28, 2020 12 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12z Icon goes south....toward the King EURO of course. It didn’t go south at all. In fact it came north. It weakened the low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: It didn’t go south at all. In fact it came north. It weakened the low. lolololololololol this thread is full of horrible information right now. do better people. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 14 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12z Icon goes south....toward the King EURO of course. It’s likely these day 5-6 bounces your seeing in the icon is just run to run noise within a not that accurate Model. Every jump west or east isn’t a trend. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Just now, psuhoffman said: It’s likely these day 5-6 bounces your seeing in the icon is just run to run noise within a not that accurate Model. Every jump west or east isn’t a trend. I hope you are correct. But the EURO Op has not been on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: I hope you are correct. But the EURO Op has not been on board. So true. It's been mocking our half-hearted optimism since this winter began. It's long range from last night DID show at least signs that it MIGHT believe in next weekend's possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 6 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: It didn’t go south at all. In fact it came north. It weakened the low. I should have said the precip shield has shifted SE on the 12z ICON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Jeez, does it really matter? We're tracking baby unicorns here. Even if this thing does track west enough, its progressive with limited phasing and moisture so its a nothing burger for 75% of this forum...maybe you people that have significant elevation have hope, but otherwise this is nothing and pretty much has been nothing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Too much ICON talk but this was the panel with the "Slightly East and Weaker Comment". I know I am pretty much dead at my location but folks west and north certainly are in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Just now, LP08 said: Too much ICON talk but this was the panel with the "Slightly East and Weaker Comment". I know I am pretty much dead at my location but folks west and north certainly are in the game. Even there its marginal at best and if signifcant rates arent involved its mostly white rain and limited accums...I know we're desperate this winter but this aint the one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: Even there its marginal at best and if signifcant rates arent involved its mostly white rain and limited accums...I know we're desperate this winter but this aint the one As evidenced by us analyzing the ICON. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Just now, Quasievil said: As evidenced by us analyzing the ICON. Grasping for anything at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Just now, Solution Man said: Grasping for anything at this point Believe me, totally agree. It's frustrating as hell right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Gfs looks alot like the euro now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 The slightly heavier lady is warming up her pipes for her final number. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 21 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: Jeez, does it really matter? We're tracking baby unicorns here. Even if this thing does track west enough, its progressive with limited phasing and moisture so its a nothing burger for 75% of this forum...maybe you people that have significant elevation have hope, but otherwise this is nothing and pretty much has been nothing. No offense, but if you aren't interested in following the models and what could or could not happen, regardless of where you live and how big or small the unicorn is, then please don't comment anymore in this thread. 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 GFS hr 156 looking potent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 32 minutes ago, Weather Will said: I hope you are correct. But the EURO Op has not been on board. I’m NOT saying the ICON is right. Just that these relatively minor adjustments for a day 5-6 track are probably within normal fluctuations run to run and not necessarily a model trend in the icon. It’s been bouncing around a somewhat similar idea for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 26 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: Jeez, does it really matter? We're tracking baby unicorns here. Even if this thing does track west enough, its progressive with limited phasing and moisture so its a nothing burger for 75% of this forum...maybe you people that have significant elevation have hope, but otherwise this is nothing and pretty much has been nothing. You are becoming a bit tedious. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 28, 2020 Author Share Posted January 28, 2020 The gfs has a semi closed 500 feature it Minnesota that it didn’t have before. It comes along just at the right time to squash this low a bit to the East moreso than in the prior runs. There are so many pieces flying around it’s probably gonna be within 48 until we know what’s really going on. People who downplay this as insignificant are probably correct but I’m pretty sure those of us who are following it aren’t hurting anyone by doing it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 4 minutes ago, Solution Man said: GFS hr 156 looking potent Potent for a CHI and Great Lakes snowstorm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Just now, yoda said: Potent for a CHI and Great Lakes snowstorm Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 Deep breathing helps....we still have about 6 weeks to track. Everyone is frustrated. Harsh reality is that the likelihood of this weekend being anything significant snow wise anywhere in the DMV has no more than a 10 percent chance based on the 6Z EPS and GEFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 28, 2020 Share Posted January 28, 2020 4 minutes ago, yoda said: Potent for a CHI and Great Lakes snowstorm That was never a focus point. It's necessary to have that Lakes cutter to setup a 50/50 for the weekend event. (In theory) Fingers crossed it's still there. TT is only out to 204. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 28, 2020 Author Share Posted January 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, Quasievil said: That was never a focus point. It's necessary to have that Lakes cutter to setup a 50/50 for the weekend event. (In theory) Fingers crossed it's still there. TT is only out to 204. We do “setting up for the next storm” we’ll ... until it’s time for the next storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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