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January 18th Event


stormtracker
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1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Yeah, it is a bit lighter, but for now, I’m more concerned with the cad. 

Exactly. It was what... 5 days ago when we had a warm front that juiced up within 72 hours? The easiest way for this event to blow up in a bad way is the cold high run away like a sissy. That's trending the good way still. I'm feelin pretty good for d5

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1 minute ago, Bob Chill said:

Exactly. It was what... 5 days ago when we had a warm front that juiced up within 72 hours? The easiest way for this event to blow up in a bad way is the cold high run away like a sissy. That's trending the good way still. I'm feelin pretty good for d5

This was huge improvement to me. Snow so far south, better cold, it is a great trend! And TREND is the key word.. in the RIGHT direction. I liked this run a lot!

 

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Just now, JakkelWx said:

NE MD gets absolutely pummeled this run. 6-8'' with 10:1 ratios, but it's likely to be higher initially because of the super cold airmass to the north.

Warm front snow struggles to get 10:1 no matter what. High ratio stuff is with ULLs or CCBs. 8:1 is usually a good ratio to set expectations with warm fronts. The beginning can be high ratio but everything starts riming and clumping before pellets. 

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