weatherpruf Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 2 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said: Lol it seemed like he gave his opinion while asking, got another opinion, then just stuck with his Hadn't thought of that. Someone had asked me the same question about an hour ago, I said I didn't know as it was not a big enough event to be worried about, and that it should turn to rain anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 1 minute ago, WestBabylonWeather said: One of the great character actors of our time.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 59 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Yeah, I think nyc and immediate burbs have to 7-8pm before the change. Euro cut back on qpf this run which ticked accumulations down. I would like to see the nam loose that warm layer tonight at 00z. What may help slightly especially around NYC is if the wind is SW instead of S or SSE. SW wind is off land at least vs off the ocean. On LI it doesn’t really matter. Mid level warm layers are also always something to watch in SWFEs and there could be sleet that also cuts down accums. Lots can always go wrong in SWFEs down here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Nam appears to be coming in colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 0 z nam Horses pulling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Damn it's still not up on Tidbits. Looks like it's a big improvement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 12 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Nam appears to be coming in colder Yep. What I wanted to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barman49 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 NAM looks a tick colder with more precip. That dry slot at the beginning isn't as bad. It fills in faster which helps totals. Sent from my Lenovo TB-X605F using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 13 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Nam appears to be coming in colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barman49 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 3K looks better as well. Sent from my Lenovo TB-X605F using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 NAM/RGEM now very similar. Might lean toward the high res at this point. Hopefully they're a tough warm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Could New York City get 5-6 inches? Nam looks it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 22 minutes ago, jm1220 said: What may help slightly especially around NYC is if the wind is SW instead of S or SSE. SW wind is off land at least vs off the ocean. On LI it doesn’t really matter. Mid level warm layers are also always something to watch in SWFEs and there could be sleet that also cuts down accums. Lots can always go wrong in SWFEs down here. Yeah this is a huge factor. It really does make a big difference. It’s also not overly strong. It can screw up snow ratios though as someone else here pointed out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Solid 5 inches area wide nam 3K 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barman49 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 NAM/RGEM now very similar. Might lean toward the high res at this point. Hopefully they're a tough warm. 18z RGEM is a lot drier qpf wise than the 0z NAM. Sent from my Lenovo TB-X605F using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 43 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said: Then why did you ask? I have things to do tomorrow and I was thinking that it would begin around 4 BUT BUT BUT If it is going to begin earlier that changes things----> Satisfied ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 6 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said: Solid 5 inches area wide nam 3K This map is always overinflated, as Allsnow has pointed out. The one that he posted tends to be more accurate and shows more like a 4 inch snowfall, compared to the 5 that this one is showing. Nice to see the NAM go colder though. 3 to 4 inches is looking like a decent possibility now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 3 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: This map is always overinflated, as Allsnow has pointed out. The one that he posted tends to be more accurate and shows more like a 4 inch snowfall, compared to the 5 that this one is showing. Nice to see the NAM go colder though. 3 to 4 inches is looking like a decent possibility now. At this point it’s all noise. It looks like a 2-5 inch snowstorm with a little rain or drizzle at the end. I’m happy with that after this horrible winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 6 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: This map is always overinflated, as Allsnow has pointed out. The one that he posted tends to be more accurate and shows more like a 4 inch snowfall, compared to the 5 that this one is showing. Nice to see the NAM go colder though. 3 to 4 inches is looking like a decent possibility now. That map includes sleet which again might overinflate it since warm mid levels may be a factor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 4 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said: At this point it’s all noise. It looks like a 2-5 inch snowstorm with a little rain or drizzle at the end. I’m happy with that after this horrible winter! Too early to rule out sleet or rain cutting back on accums in the city. What I think is helping is that winds may come out of the SW instead of due south or SE. SW is off land and not as warming. Long Island still gets skunked on that since SW is still off water there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Just now, jm1220 said: Too early to rule out sleet or rain cutting back on accums in the city. What I think is helping is that winds may come out of the SW instead of due south or SE. SW is off land and not as warming. Long Island still gets skunked on that since SW is still off water there. My hunch is this event will have minimal sleet if any 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 7 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: My hunch is this event will have minimal sleet if any Mt. Holly agrees. Looks like a snow to rain system for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Mt. Holly agrees. Looks like a snow to rain system for most. Upton actually never changes LGA over to all rain they have RASN from 00-03Z and it ends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Already down to 23 at the Park as of 10:00 PM with clear skies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 16/3 here currently. Forecast low of 5 a section of Upton’s AFD NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/... Strong high pressure centered across eastern Canada and the lower Great Lakes region this evening will build across the area overnight. NW winds will diminish through the night. Clear to start, then high clouds overspread the area by morning. Lows will drop into the single digits to lower teens for all but the NYC metro, where it will drop into the upper teens. This is about to 10 to 15 degrees below normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 The RGEM is a quick hitter and basically all snow from Manhattan/Bronx and points NW. NAM is more juicy with more of a secondary development but also pulls in more warm air Tricky forecast still but overall pretty good consensus of around 2-5 inches for most of the region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 24 with a dew of-2 here in Brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Regardless of impacts to our locale... this is the second massive, impactful, country-spanning system in a week. It's nice to see the shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Getting a GLC to produce almost all snow for this area is a miracle but in a winter where this isn't much going for us, we need some small miracles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now