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January 10-11 Severe Weather Threat


DanLarsen34
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Meanwhile radar returns are increasing over and near the DFW Metroplex, primarily Denton County at this time.  These particular areas of development seem primed to become more of a severe thunderstorm threat as they move further north. 

In terms of a DFW-area severe storm threat, I'm continuing to watch for potential development south or southwest of the DFW area, though, and (fortunately) there is nothing in that area yet.

The rotation has also weakened on that NE OK storm too.

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5 minutes ago, Drz1111 said:

Some of the more active updrafts seem to be "drilling down" through the inversion.  IIRC there's a case study of that from an upper Midwest outbreak several years ago where conditions were otherwise quite favorable

I remember one time several years ago there was a situation where storms to the west of DFW acted to remove a capping inversion over DFW due to rain-cooled air falling out of the storm anvils, and then storms rapidly went up over the Metroplex.  So I could completely see how rain-cooled air aloft could remove an inversion.

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK  
150 PM CST FRI JAN 10 2020  
  
OKC021-041-097-102015-  
/O.CON.KTSA.TO.W.0005.000000T0000Z-200110T2015Z/  
DELAWARE OK-MAYES OK-CHEROKEE OK-  
150 PM CST FRI JAN 10 2020  
  
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM CST FOR  
SOUTHWESTERN DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN MAYES AND NORTHEASTERN CHEROKEE  
COUNTIES...  
      
AT 149 PM CST, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO   
WAS LOCATED 3 MILES EAST OF PEGGS, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. A   
TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED A BRIEF TORNADO OCCURRED NEAR LOST CITY   
AROUND 140 PM.  
  

perhaps today's first tornado

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