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Mid to Long Term Discussion 2020


jburns
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Maps:

1. GEFS mean w/ sleet (Largest since 06z yesterday) 

D11EBB6E-60EA-4C72-8961-E8B54A6B1A1A.thumb.png.a9b0cd52a0ca0f0fd0fb428381869774.png

2. GEFS members w/ sleet

A7925BC6-861F-44F9-A2A0-8C9A954809D3.thumb.png.8d089884c27de40e55c90f09522ef13f.png
3. GEFS Mean without sleet

1F2526F5-0D43-4F1C-B2F6-FFA2E03AF6F1.thumb.png.b35186364605e6a642ba4eaee581417d.png
4. GEFS members without sleet

AC8D2226-F8C0-4D92-8058-4D89169933D9.thumb.png.24a5aceab2308c948392513bd644895e.png

5. EPS Mean (Highest run I’ve seen the entire year)36BE4E98-38A5-40EE-BEE1-F2537BE83D92.thumb.png.d502cb3dacdc7cd339e84c33c290c51f.png

6. EPS Members 1-25

8041D0FF-A996-4936-8730-8904305943E1.thumb.png.8806c85550156aa1d13a3f45eecd2c34.png

7. EPS Members 26-50

0B3E72CE-F386-4223-8078-5418B930145A.thumb.png.75863faa1fe0db823275e382414ff329.png

8. EPS percentages for over an inchA17FEC99-6BEA-40BA-8468-B313FE3FD98F.thumb.png.4a1a9916d752e04b4434aa92b6beccfa.png

9. 24hrs snow Meteogram For GSO2FAD71B2-F142-4750-841C-71E98835114B.thumb.png.54b06d493193f9c242346f98cef139af.png

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Maps:

1. GEFS mean w/ sleet (Largest since 06z yesterday) 

D11EBB6E-60EA-4C72-8961-E8B54A6B1A1A.thumb.png.a9b0cd52a0ca0f0fd0fb428381869774.png

2. GEFS members w/ sleet

A7925BC6-861F-44F9-A2A0-8C9A954809D3.thumb.png.8d089884c27de40e55c90f09522ef13f.png

3. GEFS Mean without sleet

1F2526F5-0D43-4F1C-B2F6-FFA2E03AF6F1.thumb.png.b35186364605e6a642ba4eaee581417d.png

4. GEFS members without sleet

AC8D2226-F8C0-4D92-8058-4D89169933D9.thumb.png.24a5aceab2308c948392513bd644895e.png

5. EPS Mean (Highest run I’ve seen the entire year)36BE4E98-38A5-40EE-BEE1-F2537BE83D92.thumb.png.d502cb3dacdc7cd339e84c33c290c51f.png

6. EPS Members 1-25

8041D0FF-A996-4936-8730-8904305943E1.thumb.png.8806c85550156aa1d13a3f45eecd2c34.png

7. EPS Members 26-50

0B3E72CE-F386-4223-8078-5418B930145A.thumb.png.75863faa1fe0db823275e382414ff329.png

8. EPS percentages for over an inchA17FEC99-6BEA-40BA-8468-B313FE3FD98F.thumb.png.4a1a9916d752e04b4434aa92b6beccfa.png

9. 24hrs snow Meteogram For GSO2FAD71B2-F142-4750-841C-71E98835114B.thumb.png.54b06d493193f9c242346f98cef139af.png

p18 on the GEFS leveling that 73 redux... Holy moly...@mackerel_sky

 

Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk

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That's one of the best gefs runs in the long range I've seen.

Eps as always not as enthused but still looks very good at h5. Hopefully it ticks up in the mean. Getting to the point where im afraid to keep looking at the models because im afraid theyre going to fall apart.  I'm a weenie. :weenie:

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Just now, Bob Chill said:

Man, you guys gotta be lovin the 12z gefs. Really upped the odds of a SE frozen event. Considering how far out in time the window is it's remarkable how many member solutions drop snow/ice/sleet in the SE. Hurry up and wait for now but at least there's reason for some optimism 

As I was joking about up in your thread, we are more disturbed by the 12z op than we are enthused by the 12z gefs.  We are like beaten dogs.

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20 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Man, you guys gotta be lovin the 12z gefs. Really upped the odds of a SE frozen event. Considering how far out in time the window is it's remarkable how many member solutions drop snow/ice/sleet in the SE. Hurry up and wait for now but at least there's reason for some optimism 

I don’t know if you heard but the OP sucked and we have no hope.

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