MJO812 Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 8 minutes ago, Dan76 said: But....but the pattern looks great? Everyone and their mother thinks after the 20th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 Wow what a bad morning. All the teleconnections went in the wrong direction and the MJO now not moving to phase 8. Hopefully just a blip. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 My dog was carrying this around this morning...haven't seen this toy since November? Sign of the times? 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 Just lost the negative EPO on the GEFS charts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said: Just lost the negative EPO on the GEFS charts. Why are you so worried this morning ? The roundy plots still have the MJO going into 8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Just lost the negative EPO on the GEFS charts. Wut? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Wut? did he mean 12z, that is 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 4 hours ago, Snow88 said: Everyone and their mother thinks after the 20th. looks like after the 27th to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 Just now, Bostonseminole said: did he mean 12z, that is 6z 12 Z isnt out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 Just now, Ginx snewx said: 12 Z isnt out maybe that map is not yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 For some reason I cannot attach anymore. https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/forecasts/reforecast2/teleconn/forecast.html Yesterday showed epo pretty negative Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ogmios Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 The update from the 12Z for anyone interested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 37 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: looks like after the 27th to me here we go.....keeps getting pushed out until the crocuses start popping. Same thing happens every junk winter...2012...2019...we haven't had one junk winter where people are like "you know what? More than likely it looks terrible from here on out instead of good". Typically peeps use their weenies instead of logic and say "looks junk for the next couple weeks but then it'll flip".....but let's be honest, junk begets junk until you're within 48 hours of a good event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 What a disgusting winter . **** the areas who keep getting snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 32 minutes ago, Snow88 said: What a disgusting winter . **** the areas who keep getting snow. He's finally breaking down. It's been a long time coming. Welcome. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 This winter really is a piece of shit and it's starting to piss me off. This next storm looks like its turning to shit and im tired of these front enders with C-1 or 1-2 that turn to mix or rain. Tired of it. Last winter was nothing but that. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 The new reality. Sorry 88 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 48 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: This winter really is a piece of shit and it's starting to piss me off. This next storm looks like its turning to shit and im tired of these front enders with C-1 or 1-2 that turn to mix or rain. Tired of it. Last winter was nothing but that. 19 minutes ago, Dan76 said: The new reality. Sorry 88 LOL...you guys never would have survived the 80s and early 90s. This was basically every winter. Just enjoy what you have and you'll be fine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 i lived through the 90s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 1 hour ago, MetHerb said: LOL...you guys never would have survived the 80s and early 90s. This was basically every winter. Just enjoy what you have and you'll be fine. Oh I remember the 80's. Also '78 93-94 '96 good with the bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 no panic for moi, watching this winter unfold is awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 1 hour ago, Ji said: Taken from MA forum. You have to laugh at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 5 hours ago, Snow88 said: What a disgusting winter . **** the areas who keep getting snow. You should do what I did -- move north. Although I'd have to say even here it's been boring since mid-December. Maybe Vermont. Also those 40" winters were never going to be the norm in NYC. You just got very lucky for 18 years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 Around 27" here, average is around 55-65". Not bad but most was in "Autumn" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 On 1/4/2020 at 10:32 PM, raindancewx said: The two week period he mentions is kind of impressive historically - Long-term, your magic number for ~never getting above average snow seems to be a high of about 41/42F or more in DJF. The 12/1-1/15 average high is 45.2F in Boston. Correlation implies 42.0F now for the season, +/-2.8F, at 90% certainty based on 1931-32 to 2018-19 errors from hindcasting. Winters with a high of 39.2F-44.8F in Boston average 31 inches of snow: DJF Tmax Tmax Snow 1931-1932 42.4 18.4 1932-1933 44.2 40.6 1936-1937 42.7 9 1946-1947 40.6 19.4 1948-1949 42.1 37.1 1949-1950 41.4 32 1950-1951 42.3 29.7 1951-1952 40.6 31.9 1952-1953 41.7 29.8 1953-1954 41.8 23.6 1959-1960 40.5 40.9 1971-1972 40.6 47.5 1973-1974 40.7 36.9 1974-1975 41.1 27.6 1975-1976 40.8 46.6 1982-1983 41.3 32.7 1984-1985 39.4 26.6 1988-1989 40.3 15.5 1990-1991 43.2 19.1 1991-1992 40.5 22 1994-1995 40.9 14.9 1996-1997 41.7 51.9 1997-1998 40.8 25.6 1998-1999 41.5 36.4 1999-2000 40.3 24.4 2001-2002 44.5 15.1 2005-2006 39.9 39.9 2006-2007 40.1 17.1 2007-2008 39.4 51.2 2011-2012 44.7 9.3 2012-2013 40 63.4 2016-2017 42.5 47.6 2017-2018 39.6 59.9 2018-2019 41.1 27.4 Average 41.3 31.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ogmios Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 From Judah Cohen: GFS ensembles now in agreement w operational completing a troposphere-stratosphere-troposphere coupling strong #PolarVortex/positive Arctic Oscillation (AO) event with positive AO predicted for late Jan & early Feb that favors an overall mild pattern across the N Hemisphere: Better get ready in some areas at least to plan on some early gardening should this verify as the correct solution. Dr. Dews will be doing his rain dance no doubt to help this along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 so what if it's not a snowy winter. what empty lives some people have 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 1 hour ago, Ogmios said: From Judah Cohen: GFS ensembles now in agreement w operational completing a troposphere-stratosphere-troposphere coupling strong #PolarVortex/positive Arctic Oscillation (AO) event with positive AO predicted for late Jan & early Feb that favors an overall mild pattern across the N Hemisphere: Better get ready in some areas at least to plan on some early gardening should this verify as the correct solution. Dr. Dews will be doing his rain dance no doubt to help this along. Judah is drunk if he thinks GEFS show a warm pattern in the NH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 22 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Judah is drunk if he thinks GEFS show a warm pattern in the NH What's the other 1/2 of the NH show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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