NorEastermass128 Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 Very quiet in here. We’ve entered the... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 GFS must have sucked lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: GFS must have sucked lol Too soon. But the primary is over DTW at 117 hours with snow spreading across SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 Primary is a hair weaker... not sure that’ll really affect the outcome though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 Less intense thump with triple point under us and dryslotting. North of the pike is ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 Overall a half decent swfe and like most latitude dependent. Verbatim 3-6 pike region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 Just now, weathafella said: Overall a half decent swfe and like most latitude dependent. Verbatim 3-6 pike region. Makes sense to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 This could melt scooter enough to go wild and swing this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 Overall weaker.... definitely a more uniformed “thump” for most of SNE.... looks like 2-4” south of pike and 3-5” north. Bigger totals in CNE which kind of makes sense in a SWFE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 If gfs is right that’s a pretty big archambault signal just past 1/20. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 Just now, weathafella said: This could melt scooter enough to go wild end swing this winter. Pattern looks good beyond this weekend. Any snow with this is kind of gravy IMO. I don’t know why he’d melt.... any snow is good snow... especially after this atrocious last 30-35 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 Still a lot of time with this...expect variations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: If gfs is right that’s a pretty big archambault signal just past 1/20. Buy...no guarantees, but I have been waiting for that potential to manifest itself into deterministic solutions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Buy...no guarantees, but I have been waiting for that potential to manifest itself into deterministic solutions. Well I was basing on the big and quick PNA-quote impressive with enough meridional flow to set something big off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 We all know we have our favorite setups in winter depending on geography. SWFEs suck here on the coast. Even with a good “thump”, rain often washes most if not all away. When coastals dominate we are cleaning up while CNE and especially NNE are hurting. So expectations are low here for this weekend. Congratulations NNE and even CNE. Always glad someone is getting the goods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 This fell apart fast.... lol it’s quiet in here given it’s still an eternity away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 1 hour ago, qg_omega said: This fell apart fast.... lol it’s quiet in here given it’s still an eternity away Just the typical mid range debacle as usual...give it 36-48 hours, and it’ll be back to the big front end thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 Basically no significant changes on the 00z runs. Interior SNE still looks good for a thump. Coast prob flips pretty quick with onshore flow. Pattern still looks very good beyond the weekend threat as well. This weekend could still trend either way. There's a good high out ahead of it so if the shortwave trends to digging for oil southeast better then I think we'd turn this into a warming event as it would spawn redevelopment sooner. If the shortwave trends to shearing negative off to our northwest more, then we just keep that primary dominant and the event is far less interesting in terms of winter wx. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 38 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Basically no significant changes on the 00z runs. Interior SNE still looks good for a thump. Coast prob flips pretty quick with onshore flow. Pattern still looks very good beyond the weekend threat as well. This weekend could still trend either way. There's a good high out ahead of it so if the shortwave trends to digging for oil southeast better then I think we'd turn this into a warming event as it would spawn redevelopment sooner. If the shortwave trends to shearing negative off to our northwest more, then we just keep that primary dominant and the event is far less interesting in terms of winter wx. Do you wean "warming' or "warning"? Either way, hopefully the Maine coast will avoid much taint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ogmios Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 4 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Do you wean "warming' or "warning"? Either way, hopefully the Maine coast will avoid much taint. Each run goes further north which does not bode well if the trend continues to go that path. Even in my area we are still up for a good 3-6 inches in my area but if this trend continues I will surely join Hazey in his 2-4 range getting more rain in Halifax then Snow. But maybe if they "Stop the Widening it is a tradition - to quote an old Maine Protest in the early 2000's on US Hwy 1 ) we might start seeing a more southern track look where we all can benefit with a good thumping of at least 6+ inches to help snow mobiles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, Ogmios said: Each run goes further north which does not bode well if the trend continues to go that path. Even in my area we are still up for a good 3-6 inches in my area but if this trend continues I will surely join Hazey in his 2-4 range getting more rain in Halifax then Snow. But maybe if they "Stop the Widening it is a tradition - to quote an old Maine Protest in the early 2000's on US Hwy 1 ) we might start seeing a more southern track look where we all can benefit with a good thumping of at least 6+ inches to help snow mobiles. LOL--like the protest. GYX has introduced sn/rn for Sunday. We bide our time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 06z looks like trash for SNE. We are going the wrong way with this thing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 Yeah... the euro especially looks like dung for this area..... next. i don’t think we’ve had an all snow event yet this winter.... and I’m not counting the 1” we’ve gotten here or there. I know yesterday I said any snow is good snow, but the more I think of it, hard sell on a few inches that are washed away. Got a nice vacation planned for this summer.... I’m ready to punt this winter to the moon. It sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said: Does it look good from your perspective for SNE? Asking for a friend... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 I moved the whining posts to the panic room. I was pretty liberal in leaving the ones that at least mentioned the storm. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 I’m not sure we clogged anything? There was like 5 posts overnight? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 If we didn't have Thursday event mainly up north, would this have been a more positive out come for Saturday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 Fun 6z gfs run.... this weekends mess followed by a pretty quiet week, and a soaker next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 14, 2020 Share Posted January 14, 2020 The Guess when the scooter big melt thread is opening shortly. A rain by coast /Snow inland should do the trick like Saturdays event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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