Snowstorms Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 52 minutes ago, psv88 said: Bad idea, lease it. Buying a car is the worst possible investment, other than a boat. Leasing is good if you plan to switch cars every few years. It's the same concept as renting a condo, its not yours, unless you plan to buy it at the end of the lease term. Financing is good if you plan to keep it long-term (>4 years). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 29 minutes ago, uofmiami said: $70k per kid? Where the heck is the kid going? We pay $6k for summer camp and around $26k for daycare/school at JCC for one kid. It’s close to $70k for two kids though. I meant $70k per kid total before kindergarten. So 2 kids is $140,000 in daycare before kindergarten. I’m already $100k In 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 10 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Actually no one thought March was going to end up below normal in late February last year, since your memory is good enough for you to remember specific dates of my posts (which is quite frightening, creepy, weird stalker status), I’m sure you remember every model at that time showing raging zonal flow/RNA for March. It didn’t change until early March.... You mean the models can change? So declaring something over before it starts isnt the smartest idea? I wonder why people would make such stark declarations on a weather forum like that. Seems like some arent here to actually discuss the weather, but are only here to either troll or to build up their fragile ego by claiming something before anyone else did. Either way, its beyond tiresome and it wont be happening going forward. and so we’re clear, its easy to search through all of a poster’s posts, especially when they were suspended for 6 months which significantly shortens the pages one needs to scroll through. One doesnt need to remember any specifics beyond numerous attempts at making calls that ended up incorrect. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 BOOM 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 2 hours ago, psv88 said: I meant $70k per kid total before kindergarten. So 2 kids is $140,000 in daycare before kindergarten. I’m already $100k In Yeah that makes a lot more sense. Kids are definitely not cheap and the high cost of living here doesn’t make it easy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 2 hours ago, IrishRob17 said: BOOM I keep hearing the melody from the Fiddler On The Roof songTradition only with slightly different lyrics. As always ..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 On 12/18/2019 at 8:30 AM, Snow88 said: LI is horrible with the taxes. Way too expensive. “LI is horrible” honestly would’ve sufficed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 22, 2019 Share Posted December 22, 2019 1 hour ago, Cfa said: “LI is horrible” honestly would’ve sufficed. Other than the weather being cold it’s a pretty good place to live. Good people, good food, a lot to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 22, 2019 Share Posted December 22, 2019 15 hours ago, psv88 said: Bad idea, lease it. Buying a car is the worst possible investment, other than a boat. Yup. I bought the first new car of my life in June of 2018 (sonata) and because I had no loan history at all at nearly age 40 and only one credit card I got a lousy 5.8% loan rate. To make it more shocking I payed 50% in cash too so my loan was for a lousy 14,500 and 2 banks despite a credit score of 740-750 straight up turned me down due to lack of history. People often ask me why did you not just pay the whole car off then? I said because I wanted to get some sort of history on my record before buying a house. I payed the loan off a few months ago in one shot. My credit score is now 812. Meanwhile the 2018 Sonata has had some issues for sure. A couple of times it has not immediately started in cold weather and I've had to hit the button 4-5 times. Some folks in the Plains/Midwest last winter could not get them started at all and had to have the solenoid assemblies replaced. Oddly enough it was never recalled to this day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted December 22, 2019 Share Posted December 22, 2019 2 hours ago, SnowGoose69 said: Yup. I bought the first new car of my life in June of 2018 (sonata) and because I had no loan history at all at nearly age 40 and only one credit card I got a lousy 5.8% loan rate. To make it more shocking I payed 50% in cash too so my loan was for a lousy 14,500 and 2 banks despite a credit score of 740-750 straight up turned me down due to lack of history. People often ask me why did you not just pay the whole car off then? I said because I wanted to get some sort of history on my record before buying a house. I payed the loan off a few months ago in one shot. My credit score is now 812. Meanwhile the 2018 Sonata has had some issues for sure. A couple of times it has not immediately started in cold weather and I've had to hit the button 4-5 times. Some folks in the Plains/Midwest last winter could not get them started at all and had to have the solenoid assemblies replaced. Oddly enough it was never recalled to this day. You could always take a loan out on a used car for a smaller amount too if building credit is the goal. That's what I typically do, never bought new. As for brand, I love Ford. The Ecoboost is good from what I hear, but I've only had the 5.0 V8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted December 22, 2019 Share Posted December 22, 2019 DON'T LET YOUR NAVIGATIONAL MAPS FOOL YOU AND YOUR COMPASS..............GPS apparently would not be affected. "Earth's magnetic north pole is heading for Russia and scientists are puzzled" (Source: CNN, 12/17/19) The north magnetic pole has been slowly moving across the Canadian Arctic toward Russia since 1831, but its swift pace toward Siberia in recent years at a rate of around 34 miles per year has forced scientists to update the World Magnetic Model -- used by civilian navigation systems, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, and US and British militaries -- a year ahead of schedule. The World Magnetic Model 2020 forecasts that the pole will continue on its path to Russia, but now the speed is slowly decreasing to about 24.8 miles per year. Since its discovery in 1831, the pole has traveled 1,400 miles. The magnetic field reverses its polarity every several hundred thousand years, where the magnetic north pole resides at the geographic South Pole. The last reversal took place 770,000 years ago. In a new study, researchers discovered that the last field reversal took 22,000 years to complete -- much longer than anticipated or expected, the researchers said. Although some believe reversals could happen over the course of a human life, the findings don't support that theory. Earth's magnetic north pole is hurtling toward Russia Researchers were able to study the reversal by analyzing a global survey of ocean sediments, Antarctic ice cores and lava flows. The details within those samples revealed how Earth's magnetic field has weakened, shifted partially, stabilized and reversed over a million years. "Reversals are generated in the deepest parts of the Earth's interior, but the effects manifest themselves all the way through the Earth and especially at the Earth's surface and in the atmosphere," said Brad Singer, study author and University of Wisconsin-Madison geologist. "Unless you have a complete, accurate and high-resolution record of what a field reversal really is like at the surface of the Earth, it's difficult to even discuss what the mechanics of generating a reversal are." Our planet's magnetic field is created by an interaction between the liquid iron outer core spinning around the solid inner core. When a reversal happens, the normally strong magnetic field weakens. Rock formation acts as a way to track the changes in the magnetic field. Lava flows and sediments record the state of the magnetic field, marking when they were created. Geologists can use the samples like pieces of a puzzle, reconstructing the history of the magnetic field. The record goes back millions of years, but it's the most clear when looking at the last reversal. "Lava flows are ideal recorders of the magnetic field. They have a lot of iron-bearing minerals, and when they cool, they lock in the direction of the field," Singer said. "But it's a spotty record. No volcanoes are erupting continuously. So we're relying on careful field work to identify the right records." 'Ghost particle' found in Antarctica provides astronomy breakthrough Radioisotope dating of lava flows and continuous magnetic readings from the ocean floor and Antarctic ice cores helped recreate a picture of the last reversal for the researchers. Argon can be measured from the lava flows as the radioactive decay of potassium occurs in the rocks, while beryllium can be measured in the ice cores. A weakened magnetic field allows more cosmic radiation from space to strike our atmosphere, which creates more beryllium. The actual reversal took less than 4,000 years -- a drop in the bucket when compared to Earth's timeline so far. But leading up to that reversal were 18,000 years of instability, including two temporary and partial reversals. This is twice as long as expected. The magnetic field decreases in strength about 5% each century and signs of weakening in the field point to an upcoming reversal -- but it's hard to know when that reversal will happen. If a reversal happened during our lifetime, it could impact navigation, satellites and communications. However, the researchers believe that we would have generations to adapt for long periods of instability in the magnetic field. "I've been working on this problem for 25 years," Singer said. "And now we have a richer record and better-dated record of this last reversal than ever before." //end// 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted December 23, 2019 Share Posted December 23, 2019 Nice snowstorm in Florida on the GFS lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 14 minutes ago, David-LI said: Nice snowstorm in Florida on the GFS lol Gefs looks pretty good. I think we should watch the 1st week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 How come the Pacific keeps messing up the pattern ? It's so friggin annoying. Another year where many people went above normal snowfall might be down the drain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 All this chatter about it maybe staying warm, or at least not cold, into January and the abundance of ice storms the last two years is pretty disappointing. The end of the 17/18 winter was 2 ice storms, 18/19 started with one then had 5 in a row to end the year with one snow storm mixed in there then this year started with 3 already. If this is the new climate normal for my area I'd just as soon see 50 degrees every day and bail on winter altogether, this from a guy that's been a dedicated winter lover for his entire life and lived the winter life for 25 years between being a ski bum at some of the greatest mountain resort areas on the continent then opening his own ski shop. We've had a few warm days now but with the melt and overnight refreeze my patio, steps and driveway are a disaster. At ~3am this morning I heard someone honking incessantly in the street by the house so I got up to see what was going on and one of our cars had slid out of the driveway and was blocking the street. I parked it on nearly dry pavement when I came home yesterday but the ice crept underneath as it froze and the car slid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 31 minutes ago, Snow88 said: How come the Pacific keeps messing up the pattern ? It's so friggin annoying. Another year where many people went above normal snowfall might be down the drain. Plenty of snowfall ends up down the drain each season... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 Why is the NY Post always warm with its forecasts? Supposedly use accuweather, but always post a graphic several degrees warmer than accuweather Anyone else notice that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 17/18 had an epic sleetstorm. Hours of the heaviest pouring sleet I ever done seen, yessir. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 12 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Plenty of snowfall ends up down the drain each season... IB, four lines from the Nat King Cole song apply; “many dreams have been brought to your doorstep they just lie there and they die their are you warm, are you real, Mona Lisa? or just a cold and lonely lovely work of art “ I wouldn’t ask the models, JB or DT either. As always ......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 54 minutes ago, Snow88 said: How come the Pacific keeps messing up the pattern ? It's so friggin annoying. Another year where many people went above normal snowfall might be down the drain. Many cited similarities to last year and so far it's pretty similar. I think we need a huge shake up to change this recurring pattern. We've been very fortunate over past 20 years so I'm done complaining about not getting another blockbuster winter. However I'm not looking forward to another cold, wet March/April which seems inevitable yet again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 Almost difficult to keep up with all these record breaking rainfall events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 3 hours ago, jfklganyc said: Why is the NY Post always warm with its forecasts? Supposedly use accuweather, but always post a graphic several degrees warmer than accuweather Anyone else notice that? Yes agree...Of course newspapers are the worst place to get a weather forecast because they're printed well before you read them. I've always found that papers are terrible with any type of science coverage especially weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 Merry Christmas to all my fellow weenies...Have a joyful time... 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 5 hours ago, jfklganyc said: Why is the NY Post always warm with its forecasts? Supposedly use accuweather, but always post a graphic several degrees warmer than accuweather Anyone else notice that? Why are you reading the NY Post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 8 minutes ago, Rjay said: Why are you reading the NY Post? I didn’t even know people still read newspapers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 I love the Post. Never miss a day. Daily News too. But that paper is sadly on its way out... If people actually read the paper cover to cover and had a good handle on the news around them instead of pointing an clicking on click bait from their favorite slanted “news” site, this country and world would be a lot more informed and a lot less angry Merry Christmas! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 18 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: I didn’t even know people still read newspapers. I'm set in my ways lol....I'm 59 years old and have had the morning paper delivered since I was born...Mom and dad did it and I continue to this day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 8 minutes ago, jfklganyc said: I love the Post. Never miss a day. Daily News too. But that paper is sadly on its way out... If people actually read the paper cover to cover and had a good handle on the news around them instead of pointing an clicking on click bait from their favorite slanted “news” site, this country and world would be a lot more informed and a lot less angry Merry Christmas! Newspapers aren’t slanted? Agreed that people should be more informed overall. Just now, doncat said: I'm set in my ways lol....I'm 59 years old and have had the morning paper delivered since I was born...Mom and dad did it and I continue to this day. You know me, I kid, I kid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 10 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Newspapers aren’t slanted? Agreed that people should be more informed overall. You know me, I kid, I kid. I know, we all kid. Everything is slanted nowadays....people like you and I know it and filter accordingly... Unfortunately their are alot of people out there who can't think for themselves and believe everything they hear and read. I agree with the above post that people would be more informed if they read a newspaper instead of getting all their news from clicks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 24, 2019 Share Posted December 24, 2019 This looks more like LA with the smog trapped under the inversion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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