MJO812 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Gfs came east. Every model now has 4-8 for NYC. Let's hope it verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 minute ago, JustinRP37 said: If every storm is this stubborn this season I am either moving to Florida or northern Canada. One extreme or the other. I am hoping for 2-4 but given how many schools decided to open, I'm kind of hoping this doesn't ramp up until much later, as that would be a nightmare. Most schools in Westchester county either closed or are having early dismissals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 In my new job I actually have operational responsibilities requiring me to track snow When would the heavier snow potentially hit in the city? Is this going to derail the evening commute? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 In my new job I actually have operational responsibilities requiring me to track snow When would the heavier snow potentially hit in the city? Is this going to derail the evening commute?I want your job! LolSent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Upton might be planning changes. Their new TAFs for LGA JFK have mod snow now LGA NWS 021542 AMD KLGA 021541Z 0216/0318 FM021800 36014KT 3SM -SNRA BR OVC008 FM021900 36014G24KT 2SM -SN BR OVC008 TEMPO 0221/0301 1/2SM SN FG OVC006 FM030100 35017G25KT 1 1/2SM -SN BR OVC008 FM030500 34018G27KT 6SM -SN BR OVC015 FM030900 32016G22KT P6SM BKN030 BKN050 FM031300 31015G21KT P6SM SCT030 BKN080 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Radar says a heavy mix here. Can't confirm it since I am indoors though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poker2015 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Can we all agree to calm down the crazy descriptions of snow this year...Getting 3-5 or 6-8 inches of snow over the course of an entire day is not getting "crushed." Its a great early season storm...People go nuts with this stuff for even a couple inches...drives me crazy when a 30 inch storm and a 3 inch storm sound exactly the same if you left out the amounts and didn't look out your window, lol. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, allgame830 said: Most schools in Westchester county either closed or are having early dismissals. The majority were open with early dismissals right around the time models have the storm moving in. I was shocked how few districts were closed this morning. Glad many more are dismissing early, I just hope they get out before too long. I know Tuckahoe and Eastchester are still in session and planning on a full day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, Poker2015 said: Can we all agree to calm down the crazy descriptions of snow this year...Getting 3-5 or 6-8 inches of snow over the course of an entire day is not getting "crushed." Its a great early season storm...People go nuts with this stuff for even a couple inches...drives me crazy when a 30 inch storm and a 3 inch storm sound exactly the same if you left out the amounts and didn't look out your window, lol. The thing is it’s going to ripping in the main band during the evening commute. It may only be a 5 mile wide area, but when it’s snowing 2-3”/hr it’s going cause a nightmare commute regardless of final totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Can we all agree to calm down the crazy descriptions of snow this year...Getting 3-5 or 6-8 inches of snow over the course of an entire day is not getting "crushed." Its a great early season storm...People go nuts with this stuff for even a couple inches...drives me crazy when a 30 inch storm and a 3 inch storm sound exactly the same if you left out the amounts and didn't look out your window, lol.. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Lol Nyc 18" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 The thing is it’s going to ripping in the main band during the evening commute. It may only be a 5 mile wide area, but when it’s snowing 2-3”/hr it’s going cause a nightmare commute regardless of final totals On a serious note, this flashes back to Feb 2013. NO I AM NOT CALLING FOR 35"+. That withstanding, this type of banding during the evening commute can lead to very serious issues including main thoroughfares becoming impassible.I would think OEM is at least considering this possibility due to the fact that - while not necessarily expected - it is possible today. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 39 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: So far the models all seem to be too far to the east with everything based off the current observations so I'm still leaning mostly towards a miss in NYC Do you really think that band is going to park there for the next 15 hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 9 minutes ago, Poker2015 said: Can we all agree to calm down the crazy descriptions of snow this year...Getting 3-5 or 6-8 inches of snow over the course of an entire day is not getting "crushed." Its a great early season storm...People go nuts with this stuff for even a couple inches...drives me crazy when a 30 inch storm and a 3 inch storm sound exactly the same if you left out the amounts and didn't look out your window, lol. A large area is going to hit similar to a bombshell later today. It’s coming. Locally 10-12 is possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 This looks to be setting up in such a way that once the bands fully develop, I wouldn't expect them to move much until late tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 5 minutes ago, Rjay said: Lol Its already wrong. Its 16-17Z depiction based on current radar does not have the showery look between CDW-FRG. I'm trying to find a high res model at the moment that seems to be handling this best. Overall the HRRR might be closest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tek1972 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Winds already N here in central long island. Could be in for a surprise starting late afternoon.Sent from my SM-N975U1 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: Its already wrong. Its 16-17Z depiction based on current radar does not have the showery look between CDW-FRG. I'm trying to find a high res model at the moment that seems to be handling this best. Overall the HRRR might be closest. HRRR trended east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 The 06Z Euro might be the closest to verifying right now. Its got the area off the coast and the semi dry slot between bands. It is underdone though over N NJ to some extent but is still probably verifying best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Just now, SnowGoose69 said: The 06Z Euro might be the closest to verifying right now. Its got the area off the coast and the semi dry slot between bands. It is underdone though over N NJ to some extent but is still probably verifying best What does the 06Z Euro show for the metro area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Just now, HVSnowLover said: What does the 06Z Euro show for the metro area? It has about 3 for LGA based off the QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 What time does the action get started in NYC Metro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Can clearly see the band really starting to set up west of the city. Jersey will be ripping shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Just now, Ericjcrash said: Can clearly see the band really starting to set up west of the city. Jersey will be ripping shortly. That band should swing through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 5 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Its already wrong. Its 16-17Z depiction based on current radar does not have the showery look between CDW-FRG. I'm trying to find a high res model at the moment that seems to be handling this best. Overall the HRRR might be closest. You beat me to it, so far the HRRR seems to be the most accurate. It did very well with yesterday’s non event on the front end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Light sleet/snow mix right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Just now, snowman19 said: You beat me to it, so far the HRRR seems to be the most accurate. It did very well with yesterday’s non event on the front end Hrrr keeps trending east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: That band should swing through. I'm not so sure, swinging slightly westward. Need some of that convective stuff over the water to swing through 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 4 minutes ago, TriPol said: What time does the action get started in NYC Metro? It's been snowing steadily here since 8AM. I think you meant to say what time does it start in the city proper? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: I'm not so sure, swinging slightly westward. Need some of that convective stuff over the water to swing through This is supposed to stop tomorrow. Like I said , there will be multiple bands. I see no reason for panic right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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