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Possible Dec 1-3 Winter Storm


Zelocita Weather
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1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said:

Nothing high res at 06Z really showed that band there.  I’m not sure if that’s a long duration feature or not.  The area over NYC was shown on most models but it was further west than it currently is 

Yeah NYC band is dissipating. Subsidence city if that band lingers on the Delaware water gap.

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7 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

I don’t believe any model will get this extremely correct.  When you look at the 06Z models and the latest HRRR all of them to some degree have the current setup wrong 

Without hyperbole, this is one of the most difficult forecasts I can remember in a long time.

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Yesterday saw daily record snowfall in a number of locations. Records included:

Albany: 13.3" (old record: 3.7", 1969)
Boston: 1.2" (old record: 1.0", 1940)
Providence: 1.6" (old record: 0.5", 1907)
Worcester: 8.9" (old record: 4.2", 1917)

Based on the overnight guidance and early observations, it still appears that New York City is in line for 3"-6" snow with 1"-3" in Islip. Newark should also pick up closer to 6" and the potential.

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14 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

I don’t believe any model will get this extremely correct.  When you look at the 06Z models and the latest HRRR all of them to some degree have the current setup wrong 

That’s  usually how it is during the warm season. But forecasters don’t need to worry about snowfall then. 

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