CapturedNature Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 26 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I'm sorry but there is nothing that can make -35C 850 air feel festive lol. Diamond Dust? Freezing Fog? Christmas lights? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea the gfs had us in the upper 30s during the dryslot in the CNE blizzard and how did that play out? Juice this up some more, likely, and sound the ice alarms. GFS gets coastal CT to 50 lol...don't think so with that track. Plenty of room too for this to get more juiced. Pretty good jet dynamics and nice developing jet streak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Just now, MetHerb said: Diamond Dust? Freezing Fog? Christmas lights? gas cans exploding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Just now, weatherwiz said: gas cans exploding Fireworks are considered festive for the July 4th so perhaps explosions of of gas cans, pipes and trees can be festive? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: GFS gets coastal CT to 50 lol...don't think so with that track. Plenty of room too for this to get more juiced. Pretty good jet dynamics and nice developing jet streak Yup. Ways out still but this family man is slightly concerned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Very cold signal in clown range. 480 thickness just north of Lake Superior. Yowzers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 31 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: What's the definition of significant icing? Pretty quick analysis of 12z GFS & GGEM puts most locals at ~0.25" qpf of potential freezing rain. Significant?... probably varies, relative to the operator of the vehicle that's pirouetting down the highway before ending up in a heap of twinkling red and blue Christmas celebration amid the center median ...while throngs of backed up demography rubber neck by gawking. .01" of icing outta do the trick - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 PNA from hell on the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: PNA from hell on the euro. now look at the 00z ...which had, zero PNA (00z + 12z)/2 = totally useless 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Lol at those temps 7 pm on Sunday the 22, a whopping 1° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 7 minutes ago, weathafella said: Very cold signal in clown range. 480 thickness just north of Lake Superior. Yowzers! It's like the model is trying to put the cold there ...BEFORE the -EPO .. .ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 I see that the GFS saved Christmas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: PNA from hell on the euro. Big difference from 0z. It shows a Miller b into Maine on this run where the gfs shows a big coastal. Big positive trend from the euro in one run in regards to the pattern ahead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 9 minutes ago, weathafella said: Very cold signal in clown range. 480 thickness just north of Lake Superior. Yowzers! Vodka cold. Dang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 By the way... this may be under-the-radar ( if perhaps also overstating the threat...) but that just on the surface (pun intended..), the Euro's looks like a pretty decent isollabric wind potential Sunday morning. Low is deepening madly as it passes directly over head, and then move rapidly into NNE. That wind is likely to be almost normal to the isobars and really rushing into the back/underside of the cyclostrophic region if that does that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Funny...the difference between the late range Euro and the GFS, other than some timing ... is that the Euro has zero southern stream impulse of any identifiable kind leading up ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 I would suggest buy gennys if they don’t have them and fill gas containers. Otherwise a cold , no peer Xmas is looking Like a good potential 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 42 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: What's the definition of significant icing? Pretty quick analysis of 12z GFS & GGEM puts most locals at ~0.25" qpf of potential freezing rain. Significant Icing is defined as icing in your area. Icing happening somewhere else is minor icing. It is similar to the definitions for major and minor surgery. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Hey snowman19, check out the euro before putting a weenie on me. Thanks. Bye. 1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Anyone see the intense cold at 240 on the euro ? LoL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 6 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Hey snowman19, check out the euro before putting a weenie on me. Thanks. Bye. The ecwmf doesn't have the day 10 snowstorm. What are you talking about? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 1 minute ago, OSUmetstud said: The ecwmf doesn't have the day 10 snowstorm. What are you talking about? The pattern is more amplified out west and it does show a Miller B into Maine. It is slowly coming on board. I'm going to bump this when the euro latches on. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: Anyone see the intense cold at 240 on the euro ? LoL Same reaction to the GFS bowling ball around the same time - EPO at 961 mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Just now, Snow88 said: The pattern is more amplified out west and it does show a Miller B into Maine. It is slowly coming on board. I'm going to bump this when the euro latches on. It's a clipper moving into the ne. The gfs has a southern steam system coming out of the sw. How does that "verify" what the gfs shows? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 The major timing in the models for the day 10-11 storm is when the PV is trying to split at hour 144, the ridging in the west and in the arctic tries to smash the PV low but it doesn't split and instead gets shoved into the Northeastern US. Just something to monitor the next 10 days. Oh and the EURO has no southern impulse of significance like John (TyphoonTip) said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 1 minute ago, OSUmetstud said: It's a clipper moving into the ne. The gfs has a southern steam system coming out of the sw. How does that "verify" what the gfs shows? The west is more amplified on this run compared to 0z. The 0z run didnt even have the miller B. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Wonder if we are trending to a SWFE deal next week. I know Will made a point about the short wave being so far west this morning. I feel like something like that is in the cards. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 4 minutes ago, Snow88 said: The west is more amplified on this run compared to 0z. The 0z run didnt even have the miller B. Its not a miller b. You are dishonest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 57 minutes ago, dendrite said: Actually that's not a bad run this far out for up here. I would take that, What a freezer at the end of that run, Yikes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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