HoarfrostHubb Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 3 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: I'd feel a lot better if I were along Rte 2. Unless you actually lived here. It is kinda depressing 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Agreed. It is #2 . FV3 is dead last in all facets. Why do people still call it the GFS, ? Mets worth their stones do not look at it or use it. Yet on here, you’ll see posts about it and people thinking that it has any credence. That to me is mind boggling . Um because it's called the GFS and not the FV3? NCEP, creators of the model, and pretty much every model site i use says GFS and not FV3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 The 18z EPS is rather nice for interior areas from NW CT to about LWM and points north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 2 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Um because it's called the GFS and not the FV3? NCEP, creators of the model, and pretty much every model site i use says GFS and not FV3. Except it’s called the FV3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Except it’s called the FV3 I am Concentrated on mid month, that’s the storm to watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Except it’s called the FV3 According to who? If you're just going to throw out facts then back it up like i did. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I am Concentrated on mid month, that’s the storm to watch Absolutely. Plenty of cold to work with as well. We are entering a pattern akin to late December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 5, 2019 Author Share Posted November 5, 2019 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The 18z EPS is rather nice for interior areas from NW CT to about LWM and points north. Well that rules out most of us on the board. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The 18z EPS is rather nice for interior areas from NW CT to about LWM and points north. Further south and weaker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 8 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: According to who? If you're just going to throw out facts then back it up like i did. According to the gov’t. Not sure why you’re so angry. But it’s not called the GFS anymore Upgrade to the FV3Edit On June 12, 2019, after several years of testing, NOAA upgraded the GFS with a new core and dynamic scaling that uses the finite volume method. The resulting model, being developed under the name finite-volume cubed-sphere model (FV3), inherited the GFS moniker, with the archaic GFS model continuing to be run until December 2019.[9][10] Initial testing of the FV3 showed promise, outperforming the Integrated Forecast System in terms of hurricane tracks during the 2017 hurricane season (the IFS had been the most accurate operational model in predicting the paths).[11] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 Need one more tick se Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 Since I've been on the EPS train... 18z EPS Snowfall and Probs definitely backed off quite a bit from the robust 12z run. Snowfall: Probability of 3"< snowfall: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 5, 2019 Author Share Posted November 5, 2019 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: According to the gov’t. Not sure why you’re so angry. But it’s not called the GFS anymore Upgrade to the FV3Edit On June 12, 2019, after several years of testing, NOAA upgraded the GFS with a new core and dynamic scaling that uses the finite volume method. The resulting model, being developed under the name finite-volume cubed-sphere model (FV3), inherited the GFS moniker, with the archaic GFS model continuing to be run until December 2019.[9][10] Initial testing of the FV3 showed promise, outperforming the Integrated Forecast System in terms of hurricane tracks during the 2017 hurricane season (the IFS had been the most accurate operational model in predicting the paths).[11] I think this says they're still calling it the GFS, it's inherited the GFS moniker. That almost reads like a Tip post. 6 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Since I've been on the EPS train... 18z EPS Snowfall and Probs definitely backed off quite a bit from the robust 12z run. Snowfall: Probability of 3"< snowfall: Congrats, Chris and Dave. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: I think this says they're still calling it the GFS, it's inherited the GFS moniker. That almost reads like a Tip post. Congrats, Chris and Dave. I guess maybe you missed this? It’s ok. being developed under the name finite-volume cubed-sphere model (FV3) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 5, 2019 Author Share Posted November 5, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: I guess maybe you missed this? It’s ok. being developed under the name finite-volume cubed-sphere model (FV3) Didn't miss that at all.....it then goes on to say they're calling it the GFS. Reading comprehension, ftl. 1 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 Just now, moneypitmike said: Congrats, Chris and Dave. To be honest I don't think the EPS snow probs jive that well with it's solution but it must be because of warm low levels to the south. It definitely looks warm to start, steadier and/or heavier precip would really help cool the surface in the vicinity of the front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I guess maybe you missed this? It’s ok. being developed under the name finite-volume cubed-sphere model (FV3) Really Kev, It says afterward, right after how it’s being developed under the FV3, that it is inheriting the “GFS Moniker!!” I mean please, just admit for once, that you’re WRONG!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 It was developed under the fv3 name but once it went ‘live’ and took over the old gfs, it’s the gfs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 Doesn’t really matter, it sucks whatever they want to call it. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 5, 2019 Author Share Posted November 5, 2019 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It was developed under the fv3 name but once it went ‘live’ and took over the old gfs, it’s the gfs. Meet the new GFS; same as the old GFS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Doesn’t really matter, it sucks whatever they want to call it. Yup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 I can't believe that F5Weather, formerly eurowx, doesn't have 18z euro...even wxbell does now. I may switch back... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 15 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Doesn’t really matter, it sucks whatever they want to call it. I thought just the GFS sucked, Now the FV3 sucks too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 18z euro is much more in line with 12z UK... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 18z euro is much more in line with 12z UK... Very similar snowfall output...probably going to be more correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 1 hour ago, ineedsnow said: I would lock 2 to 4 in a second here.. but models are still all over. Hope were lucky and can cash in next week.. A widespread snow of 2-4" hitting a bunch of folks? That would be an ideal situation for early November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 1 hour ago, wxeyeNH said: Weatherbell support told me I can now post Euro images to AMWX. 18Z run is weaker with the low. Here is 12Z and 18Z comparison with there 10 to 1 snowfall ratio Compare 12z UK, below, and 18z EURO, top left... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 Seems like stakes are highest in Maine....upside here outside of 495 and n of pike is like 5-9", with 2-5" more likely. Maine is either a blizzard or a mehlizzard...leaning towards the latter. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 38 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: According to the gov’t. Not sure why you’re so angry. But it’s not called the GFS anymore. Upgrade to the FV3Edit On June 12, 2019, after several years of testing, NOAA upgraded the GFS with a new core and dynamic scaling that uses the finite volume method. The resulting model, being developed under the name finite-volume cubed-sphere model (FV3), inherited the GFS moniker, with the archaic GFS model continuing to be run until December 2019.[9][10] Initial testing of the FV3 showed promise, outperforming the Integrated Forecast System in terms of hurricane tracks during the 2017 hurricane season (the IFS had been the most accurate operational model in predicting the paths).[11] So, I am angry because i typed a single sentence with no explitives, no name calling, no exclamations, no nothing? 30 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Didn't miss that at all.....it then goes on to say they're calling it the GFS. Reading comprehension, ftl. He needs to clear up with word "developed" and the word "moniker" apparently. Either way this is a fruitless endeavor and does not contribute to the topic of thread. With that being said the hills of NW and NE CT are still in the game for a few inches of accumulating snow. It's beginning to look pretty bleak for the valleys and coastal CT. We still have a shot though, just need an obvious trend SE in tonights 00Z runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 5, 2019 Share Posted November 5, 2019 I don’t believe models have any clarity till maybe tommorrow evening (given where energy / shortwavew are) i would not anticipate accumulation over an inch even in Nashua at this point Killington to Wildcat is looking Good considering ML low tracks of stronger models at current times and areas south in N SNE are certainly still in game we just need more time (90 hours out is still a while ) w fast flow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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