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A little pre-season thread: Can Nov. 8 pull off an early win?


moneypitmike
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1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

Well unless there's a good block. In those cases, you can rule out scenarios like ORH to TOL raining.

But this is fast flow with southern stream interaction being a key piece...even if not a full phase....but the system origin is southern stream and then the northern stream sort of takes it over on a euro scenario as a little southern streak ejects across Oklahoma and Arkansas and the northern stream gobbles it up. 

To get this more north than the euro, two things can do it:

1. Northern stream digs even further southwest 

2. Southern stream ejects a lot more energy quicker. 

Or some combo of the two. 

Think your post will be the theme for a while 

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4 minutes ago, CTValleySnowMan said:

1k comes in handy during marginal early and late season events.  If the track cooperates you should do pretty well. 

If it happens it happens.   Sure beats humidity and drought and temp posts.  
 

Early season events don’t excite me too much unless they are warning events.  But good to practice.  

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45 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

No point in looking...you’ll sleep much better during stressful tracking times.

With all the snow events which have occurred within the CONUS since the September snows in MT the GFS has gone completely overboard with totals...on a widespread scale. People are going to start freaking out when the GFS is showing 15-20'' of snow at D12...on a weak little wave along a front...then when it doesn't verify all the bust posts get to come out. 

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3 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'm torn between wxbell and eurowx...may do both bc eurowx snowmaps are more accurate, but wxbell better everything else.

Why not Weathermodels.com? That's where Maue went to and it appears to have much better maps than wxbell. Last time i logged into weatherbell late last season they were transfering over to the new graphical interface and it was absolutely horrid with many parameters completely gone. 

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