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November 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread


Rtd208
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2 record lows in a row for NYC. It’s also is the 2nd earliest 23 degree reading on record. This is one of the few times that NYC has ever had 3 record lows in any single November. NYC recorded 2 record lows recently in 2017. 

NYC daily record lows 

11/1 30 in 1885 30 in 1869 32 in 1925
11/2 30 in 1887 31 in 1965 31 in 1875
11/3 28 in 1875 30 in 1879 31 in 1912
11/4 25 in 1879 29 in 1951 30 in 1891
11/5 23 in 1879 29 in 1933 29 in 1878
11/6 27 in 1879 29 in 1871 30 in 1953+
11/7 29 in 1930 30 in 1931 31 in 2012+
11/8 29 in 2019 29 in 1886 30 in 1992+
11/9 24 in 1976 27 in 2019 28 in 1971
11/10 25 in 2017 27 in 1914 29 in 2004+
11/11 24 in 2017 28 in 1933 28 in 1926+
11/12 25 in 2019 26 in 1926 27 in 1920
11/13 23 in 2019 24 in 1986 26 in 1911+
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18 minutes ago, bluewave said:

2 record lows in a row for NYC. It’s also is the 2nd earliest 23 degree reading on record. This is one of the few times that NYC has ever had 3 record lows in any single November. NYC recorded 2 record lows recently in 2017. 

NYC daily record lows 

11/1 30 in 1885 30 in 1869 32 in 1925
11/2 30 in 1887 31 in 1965 31 in 1875
11/3 28 in 1875 30 in 1879 31 in 1912
11/4 25 in 1879 29 in 1951 30 in 1891
11/5 23 in 1879 29 in 1933 29 in 1878
11/6 27 in 1879 29 in 1871 30 in 1953+
11/7 29 in 1930 30 in 1931 31 in 2012+
11/8 29 in 2019 29 in 1886 30 in 1992+
11/9 24 in 1976 27 in 2019 28 in 1971
11/10 25 in 2017 27 in 1914 29 in 2004+
11/11 24 in 2017 28 in 1933 28 in 1926+
11/12 25 in 2019 26 in 1926 27 in 1920
11/13 23 in 2019 24 in 1986 26 in 1911+

2010's have three snowstorms and numerous record lows in November...the last decade that had many record lows and snowstorms was back in the 1930's...

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28 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said:

21 degrees in New City / Rockland County = if its going to be cold it might as well snow just sayin 

I know that we have become accustomed to warning level snows by November 15th. But 8 out of 10 years during the 2010’s with at least a T of snow by November 15th is very impressive.

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Ending Date
Total Snowfall Oct 15 to Nov 15
Missing Count
2019-11-15 T 3
2018-11-15 6.4 0
2017-11-15 T 0
2016-11-15 0.0 0
2015-11-15 0.0 0
2014-11-15 T 0
2013-11-15 T 0
2012-11-15 6.2 0
2011-11-15 5.2 0
2010-11-15 T 0
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29 minutes ago, weathermedic said:

Made it down to 23 at my station and the leaves of the Ginko tree are tumbling down. 

 

IMG_9445.jpg

Nice, that’s a big ginkgo. All the leaves on trees around the city will wither crinkle on the trees or drop rapidly now. Amazingly we have seen this multiple times the last few years with these insane temp swings. Luckily it doesn’t seem to kill the trees. 
22 in wantagh, very uniform temps across the region. It will be interesting to see what happens tonight with better radiational cooling. I bet if KFOK goes calm they go into the single digits 

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The most impressive feature in the forecasts going forward will be the pressure gradient along the East Coast. This could  be one of the tightest pressure gradients of 2019. The Euro generates hurricane force wind gusts off the Carolinas this weekend.

 

E039807C-8A53-4D0B-B528-D87831298146.gif.7ae15bef4d8aa3d99d8c358db7c60804.gif

 

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15 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The most impressive feature in the forecasts going forward will be the pressure gradient along the East Coast. This could  be one of the tightest pressure gradients of 2019. The Euro generates hurricane force wind gusts off the Carolinas this weekend.

 

E039807C-8A53-4D0B-B528-D87831298146.gif.7ae15bef4d8aa3d99d8c358db7c60804.gif

 

Was looking at that yesterday on gfs. Said to myself that looks like some pretty windy conditions on the outer banks

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27 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The most impressive feature in the forecasts going forward will be the pressure gradient along the East Coast. This could  be one of the tightest pressure gradients of 2019. The Euro generates hurricane force wind gusts off the Carolinas this weekend.

 

E039807C-8A53-4D0B-B528-D87831298146.gif.7ae15bef4d8aa3d99d8c358db7c60804.gif

 

Not a good situation for the OBX. They are in bad shape from this past hurricane season. I would expect some wash overs and damage with the that kind of fetch. Looks like the swell is directed away from us though 

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26 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The most impressive feature in the forecasts going forward will be the pressure gradient along the East Coast. This could  be one of the tightest pressure gradients of 2019. The Euro generates hurricane force wind gusts off the Carolinas this weekend.

 

@bluewave as some have alluded to,  including DT in a indirect manner, when we have these Fall coastal storms it may be a good sign for the upcoming winter. 

My question is when there is such an event as portrayed here can it cause atmospheric eddies, or atmospheric memory that may cause other low pressure areas to drop into this area further down the road in December or even Jan.   

Or, on the flip side, maybe this system feeds off the one area of still warm SSTs,  and  that ocean fuel is used up after this event.  I imagine there are multiple ways to look at this. Always appreciate your insights. 

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4 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Not a good situation for the OBX. They are in bad shape from this past hurricane season. I would expect some wash overs and damage with the that kind of fetch. Looks like the swell is directed away from us though 

The latest 00z models are in better
agreement with the placement and strength of this coastal storm
compared to 24 hrs ago. Confidence increased with the significant
impacts ENC will receive from this storm, especially along the Outer
Banks. The area will start feeling the impacts Friday night, peaking
Saturday, and gradually subsiding Sunday night. The impacts include
rain, strong gusty winds, ocean overwash and beach erosion north of
Cape Hatteras, and sound-side coastal flooding for the southern-half
of the Pamlico Sound.
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