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September Discobs 2019


George BM
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BWI, DCA and IAD all get RERs for high temps in mid September......

Quote

RECORD EVENT REPORT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
0522 PM EDT THU SEP 12 2019

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET IN THE WASHINGTON DC AREA...

A RECORD DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 98 DEGREES WAS SET AT RONALD 
REAGAN WASHINGTON NATIONAL AIRPORT NEAR WASHINGTON, DC THIS 
AFTERNOON. THIS BREAKS THE RECORD OF 96 DEGREES PREVIOUSLY SET IN 
1931 AND 1895.

WEATHER RECORDS FOR THE WASHINGTON, DC AREA HAVE BEEN KEPT AT WHAT 
IS NOW RONALD REAGAN WASHINGTON NATIONAL AIRPORT (DCA) SINCE 1941. 
THE OFFICIAL WEATHER RECORD CONSISTS OF THAT DATA BACK TO 1945, AND 
ADDITIONAL TEMPERATURE RECORDS OBSERVED IN DOWNTOWN WASHINGTON, DC 
EXTEND THE PERIOD OF RECORD BACK TO 1872.

ALL CLIMATE DATA ARE CONSIDERED PRELIMINARY UNTIL REVIEWED BY THE 
NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL INFORMATION (NCEI).

 

Quote

RECORD EVENT REPORT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
0522 PM EDT THU SEP 12 2019

...RECORD DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURE SET IN THE BALTIMORE MARYLAND 
AREA...

A RECORD DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 97 DEGREES WAS SET AT BALTIMORE-
WASHINGTON INTERNATIONAL THURGOOD MARSHALL AIRPORT NEAR BALTIMORE, 
MARYLAND THIS AFTERNOON. THIS BREAKS THE RECORD OF 96 DEGREES 
PREVIOUSLY SET IN 1931

WEATHER RECORDS FOR THE BALTIMORE, MARYLAND AREA HAVE BEEN KEPT AT 
WHAT IS NOW BALTIMORE-WASHINGTON INTERNATIONAL THURGOOD MARSHALL 
AIRPORT (BWI) SINCE 1950. ADDITIONAL TEMPERATURE RECORDS OBSERVED IN 
DOWNTOWN BALTIMORE EXTEND THE PERIOD OF RECORD BACK TO 1872.

ALL CLIMATE DATA ARE CONSIDERED PRELIMINARY UNTIL REVIEWED BY THE 
NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL INFORMATION (NCEI).
Quote

RECORD EVENT REPORT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
0522 PM EDT THU SEP 12 2019

...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE SET AT WASHINGTON DULLES DC...

 A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 95 DEGREES WAS SET AT WASHINGTON 
DULLES DC THIS AFTERNOON. THIS TIED THE OLD RECORD OF 95 DEGREES SET 
IN 1998.

WEATHER RECORDS FOR THE WASHINGTON DULLES AREA HAVE BEEN KEPT AT 
WHAT IS NOW WASHINGTON DULLES INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT SINCE 1960.

ALL CLIMATE DATA ARE CONSIDERED PRELIMINARY UNTIL REVIEWED BY THE 
NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL INFORMATION (NCEI).

 

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1 hour ago, C.A.P.E. said:

Wonder if the action of the -SOI helps turn us wetter in October?  Read about an eventual jet extension and then a + PNA but we are very dry here. You too, as I see in that indicator map.  

Seems that the tropics will not help us. 

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Without help from the tropics no hope for rainfall. Actually, dry feedback you could say is winning out , even though the powerful summer sun is waning. 

No dew just sticky and nasty with bugs !!!

What looked like relief in the long term I am not so confident. Globally it looks warm too . 

Again this decade has always had warm falls,  so for us to be warm to November is  a high probability. 

If a sudden change to this outcome would happen,  maybe it could be regarded as a tip off to the winter, that would be looking at the cup half full. 

 

naefs_bias-corrected_tmean_8-14day-globa

 

 

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1 hour ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

Then blow torch returns in time for the weekend and my daughter's outdoor b-day party.  Hooray.

It's 2019. At what point does the new normal sink in? Lol

Or you could be one of those nutters (some of them are corporate shills) who believe the solar minimum forcing can Trump 5 Hiroshima bombs every second.

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3 hours ago, losetoa6 said:

After Monday weather looks great imo. 70s with lows in the 50s . Even some below 50 lows showing up well n+w Wed + Thur mornings. 

No rain, more heat later in the week, 88 to 90 plus. Vast areas of the East very dry. Ocean temps remain very, very warm. 

p168i.gif?1568579840

 

 

 

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5 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

Not sure what your saying but in the short term Tuesday thru Thurs looks nice in my book . Not going to worry about the weekend yet :)And it's been the wettest 2 year stretch I can ever remember here. Except for the past 3 to 4 weeks . Only a few counties in Md are even in the 1st category of that link above.   I'm still tracking Humberto for remnants..though obviously a slim chance . 

I don't get it either. Nothing in the extreme whatsoever as far as precip and it's nothing unusual to get heat into September.

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Just now, losetoa6 said:

Not sure what your saying but in the short term Tuesday thru Thurs looks nice in my book . Not going to worry about the weekend yet :)And it's been the wettest 2 year stretch I can ever remember here. Except for the past 3 to 4 weeks . Only a few counties in Md are even in the 1st category of that link above.   I'm still tracking Humberto for remnants..though obviously a slim chance . 

Nice 3 day stretch coming up, despite still being dry. As for the generally warm pattern, this too shall pass. Hopefully the last week of the month will feel like legit fall, and bring some rain with it. 12z run of the GEFS has backed off quite a bit on the deep eastern trough/legit chilly look though. Surprise lol.

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Sunburn making it feel hotter than it actually is, as well as it being slightly muggy as well. Sun is still strong I will tell you that, but it's not nearly as strong as it would be in July/Aug (if the airshow was in Aug I would of had an extreme sunburn much worse than this sunburn). Shoulda put more sunscreen on yesterday as it was cloudy, then the sun came out and forgot to put more sunscreen on because I was hooked on the airplanes.

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3 hours ago, C.A.P.E. said:

Nice 3 day stretch coming up, despite still being dry. As for the generally warm pattern, this too shall pass. Hopefully the last week of the month will feel like legit fall, and bring some rain with it. 12z run of the GEFS has backed off quite a bit on the deep eastern trough/legit chilly look though. Surprise lol.

18z is wall to wall summer after friday.  Absolute disaster.

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3 hours ago, C.A.P.E. said:

No one should be complaining about the next 4, maybe 5 days. Looks absolutely spectacular for the middle third of September.

Unless you want some rain of course.

@C.A.P.E.

Speaking of rain, the WPC in the long range discussion mentions deep tropical moisture starting to move up North and Northeast from Eastern Texas past day 7 if you look at the Day 7 map at the WPC it lends support for rainfall to make it here later next week after the warm surge on the weekend and then after that maybe a cooler regime takes over again.  

 

Not related to rainfall but interesting is the spike maybe in the PNA , a lot of spread but interesting 

pna.sprd2.gif

 

 

 

 

 

 

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