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bluewave

August 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread

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36 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Wow look at last year what an absolutely incredible weather anomaly for the dew point I knew it felt sweaty bad but had no idea it was that extreme.

 

It isn't called the dewsaster for nothing.

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not a single CAM is correctly handling the activity to our NW. annoying

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2 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

good luck with that.  The MDR is dead and there's all kinds of dust coming off the African continent...we'd be lucky to have an average season.

There are predicting that the dust settles and we will get into an active period.

Late August into September is primetime

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2 hours ago, RedSky said:

Wow look at last year what an absolutely incredible weather anomaly for the dew point I knew it felt sweaty bad but had no idea it was that extreme.

 

It has been an amazing dewpoint surge since 2016. This was the first July with an average dewpoint over 70 degrees for JFK. Last year was the first such occurrence in August. 

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1 hour ago, Snow88 said:

There are predicting that the dust settles and we will get into an active period.

Late August into September is primetime

BUST.    I don't see it.  Low pressure over north america, many things that will inhibit tropical formation.   The one wildcard is something that forms in close or "home brew"   ( think: BOB)

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32 minutes ago, bluewave said:

It has been an amazing dewpoint surge since 2016. This was the first July with an average dewpoint over 70 degrees for JFK. Last year was the first such occurrence in August. 

Global precipitation has increased significantly since Summer 2016.

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1 hour ago, Brian5671 said:

BUST.    I don't see it.  Low pressure over north america, many things that will inhibit tropical formation.   The one wildcard is something that forms in close or "home brew"   ( think: BOB)

Things will pop like they always do come peak time. We've seen it go from dead to active instantly, the switch will come on again. 

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2 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Thoughts on the storms holding together for the city?

They are weakening. Barely anything south of Bronx in my opinion

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I'm in south Jersey City , and those storms look very intense . Somewhat of a wall loud looking feature to my west. Probably scud but looks very ominous

 

 

 

 

20190808_192852-1~2-1.jpg

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1 hour ago, NYCweatherNOW said:

They are weakening. Barely anything south of Bronx in my opinion

Skies looking crazy over the bx now looking NW from outside the Botanical Garden. Powerful West winds picking up right now.

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Not sure if these will retain strength into Queens (rarely do) but starting to get some gusts and sky looks very ominous to northwest. 

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Already past here..thunder and lightning now rain just starting. Looks amazing with the setting sun still partly visible along side dark ominous skies

Special Weather Statement issued August 8 at 7:45PM EDT by NWS Upton NY

At 744 PM EDT, a gust front was located over Bayville, or over Glen Cove, moving southeast at 45 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with this gust front.

Locations impacted include... 
Jamaica, Flatbush, New Rochelle, Flushing, Mott Haven, Levittown, East Tremont, Freeport, Valley Stream, Long Beach, Glen Cove, Plainview, Coney Island, Garden City and Massapequa.

null

TARGET AREA... New York (Manhattan); Northern Queens; Northern Nassau; Southern Westchester; Kings (Brooklyn); Southern Nassau; Bronx; Southern Queens

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On the next rain forecast:

On Saturday evening (Eastern), there will be two rain systems, one over Montana and the Dakotas, and the other over Colorado and Arizona, which will be moving toward each other.

There are two scenarios that could happen:

Scenario 1: The two systems fuse together into a powerful storm over Nebraska and South Dakota early Monday morning. It will cross over the Midwest on Monday and reach us by Tuesday.

Scenario 2:  The two systems stay away from each other. The Arizona/Colorado system eventually reaches us on Wednesday.

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Wind driven torrential downpour, cloud to ground strikes. Wow great storm here in central Queens. 

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6 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Nice little storm on the uws. Lots of great lighting. Winds were meh

99DA3A0C-C836-4CA4-8383-30C7AF04ECD5.jpeg

Nice shot and really? Winds were quite strong here. 40-45

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