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August 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread


bluewave
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6 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

12z NAM and RGEM are advertising a much more widespread round of heavy storms tomorrow during the evening compared to today, even though today is advertised as the bigger severe weather day. Do you guys buy that? This is quite a change.

yeah both nams has almost nothing for today-wonder if that line in Western NJ robs energy for later?

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2 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

yeah both nams has almost nothing for today-wonder if that line in Western NJ robs energy for later?

Just seems the meso's have really had a problem this summer with the numerous convection threats we've had...rarely agreeing on timing, coverage....and more often than not, underestimating coverage.

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4 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

yeah both nams has almost nothing for today-wonder if that line in Western NJ robs energy for later?

That's possible. And I wonder if NAM  and RGEM are right about tomorrow now being the big storm day. The 12z runs of both models are impressive with tomorrow's storms.

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1 hour ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

A ton of clouds around NYC ruining CAPE. I’m just going to say, today’s a miss, in hopes of being wrong. 

You're factually wrong.  Look at the 12Z OKX sounding.    The convective temp today is not very high.  

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