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August 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread


bluewave
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Next organized storm system Tuesday into Wednesday. It may come with a few waves of low pressure. Good temperature gradient along the stalled out warm front. Mid 90’s to near100 to our south. Areas right under the track could get another good soaker plus severe. So the exact track will be important.

B7DDD9D0-4BAD-4E3F-8A5D-9E0A87D47811.thumb.png.e78628e0dc72d6c10f81fe8dad2a7625.png

 

8357ED8B-1214-49E5-B6DF-E83DD6CCBF71.thumb.png.0d86ae587c9b35e396c0bed44a7aa90a.png

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3 hours ago, bluewave said:

Next organized storm system Tuesday into Wednesday. It may come with a few waves of low pressure. Good temperature gradient along the stalled out warm front. Mid 90’s to near100 to our south. Areas right under the track could get another good soaker plus severe. So the exact track will be important.

B7DDD9D0-4BAD-4E3F-8A5D-9E0A87D47811.thumb.png.e78628e0dc72d6c10f81fe8dad2a7625.png

 

8357ED8B-1214-49E5-B6DF-E83DD6CCBF71.thumb.png.0d86ae587c9b35e396c0bed44a7aa90a.png

Can we get flash flooding for a 5th week in a row?

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29 minutes ago, TriPol said:

Can we get flash flooding for a 5th week in a row?

We haven’t missed an opportunity for flash flooding or severe since July 11th. Parts of the area are close to 10” over the last 30 days. It will all come down to where the warm front stalls and waves of low pressure track next week. 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Total Precipitation Jul 11 to Aug 8
Missing Count
1 1988-08-08 9.95 0
2 2019-08-08 9.34 0
3 2003-08-08 9.20 0
4 1948-08-08 8.69 0
5 1961-08-08 8.68 0
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11 minutes ago, bluewave said:

We haven’t missed an opportunity for flash flooding or severe since July 11th. Parts of the area are close to 10” over the last 30 days. It will all come down to where the warm front stalls and waves of low pressure track next week. 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Total Precipitation Jul 11 to Aug 8
Missing Count
1 1988-08-08 9.95 0
2 2019-08-08 9.34 0
3 2003-08-08 9.20 0
4 1948-08-08 8.69 0
5 1961-08-08 8.68 0

9.52" here last  30 days.

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Area of rain and maybe some lightning heading in my general direction.     The cumulus to my west still look innocent enough.    Early timing may keep area alive as it hits colder air near ocean.

80.0* at 1:00pm.     Got up to about 83*, and it is now 79*(3:15pm)

Petering out I think, as there are no new recent lightning strokes indicated.   It did die out to my north and I had an hour of good sunshine.     Now darker cumulus cover the sky, but probably just going to be a closer call than earlier, I bet.

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