Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    15,514
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Raifu
    Newest Member
    Raifu
    Joined
Dr. Dews

August 2019 Discussion

Recommended Posts

9 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Highs were supposed to be mid/upper 80s a couple days ago.  High of 82F so far.  

Even BTV only 83F so far and they looked to have a shot at 90F (this morning’s forecast was for 88F), plus they are usually closer to SNE temps.  

Definitely under-performing by at least 5F across the board up here with 70s and low 80s.

2EB85D88-FB98-4F14-BECC-E62F1A7873C0.thumb.png.a289941fdd4c9e18e856f5f08beb6544.png

 

low to mid 90s in CT/RI and SEMA

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
25 minutes ago, butterfish55 said:

low to mid 90s in CT/RI and SEMA

This summer has had a remarkable ability to kill heat north of like GFL-CON.  

A lot of recent summers we’ve torched along with SNE, or even more so with over-the-top type heat into southern Quebec.... but this year it’s like a different planet.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

This summer has had a remarkable ability to kill heat north of like GFL-CON.  

A lot of recent summers we’ve torched along with SNE, or even more so with over-the-top type heat into southern Quebec.... but this year it’s like a different planet.

85F here.

Here's my first 2/3 torch.

08/01 79.9  56.8 0.00   17  0.0  0
08/02 81.2  52.0 0.00    8  0.0  0
08/03 82.4  55.0 0.01   13  0.0  0
08/04 79.4  55.7 0.00   17  0.0  0
08/05 78.3  49.6 0.00   10  0.0  0
08/06 82.0  51.2 0.00   14  0.0  0
08/07 82.1  63.8 1.40   32  0.0  0
08/08 81.4  64.4 0.01   12  0.0  0
08/09 79.2  55.1 0.05   15  0.0  0
08/10 70.9  52.7 0.01   17  0.0  0
08/11 74.8  51.1 0.00   17  0.0  0
08/12 80.4  52.6 0.00   15  0.0  0
08/13 80.8  62.6 0.03   13  0.0  0
08/14 77.9  59.1 0.00    8  0.0  0
08/15 77.6  56.4 0.00   12  0.0  0
08/16 78.7  62.5 0.07   10  0.0  0
08/17 77.0  64.0 0.96   10  0.0  0
08/18 82.4  64.0 0.43    8  0.0  0
08/19 85.0  65.7    T   15  0.0  0

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
13 minutes ago, dendrite said:

85F here.

Here's my first 2/3 torch.

 

Yeah I feel like it’s between you and CON/MHT where the torch gradient has set up this summer.

We we’re still a bit below normal as of last night for August.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Yeah I feel like it’s between you and CON/MHT where the torch gradient has set up this summer.

We we’re still a bit below normal as of last night for August.

CON came into the day at -0.1F. MHT +1.6F.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
11 minutes ago, dendrite said:

CON came into the day at -0.1F. MHT +1.6F.

There’s the line, ha.

Even BTV is only +1.5 or so and they run a baseline +2 to +3 it seems until the new normals kick in.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
43 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

There’s the line, ha.

Even BTV is only +1.5 or so and they run a baseline +2 to +3 it seems until the new normals kick in.

It'll be funny when they start pulling BN months again come the 2020s.

We'll start getting stories about global cooling.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
49 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

There’s the line, ha.

Even BTV is only +1.5 or so and they run a baseline +2 to +3 it seems until the new normals kick in.

 It’s always cloudy there 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Incredible thundies here. Wicked CTG and solid downbursts of rain for about 5 - 7 minutes. Still need a solid 3 or 4 layer COSTCO layer of TP in the britches so I am guessing Kev wins again? 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Better get some rain out of this heat 

You would think but rain has missed this area any which way it can the past month.

I'd say we will hopefully average that out this winter but more likely this dry regime is making up for the 30"+ we got between 7/15 - 10/15 of 2018.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

Yeah I feel like it’s between you and CON/MHT where the torch gradient has set up this summer.

We we’re still a bit below normal as of last night for August.

Have yet to reach 80 this month unless today did so, which I doubt due to the clouds hanging on until late morning.  Temps running about 1.5° BN here, so Farmington is probably close to their 1981-2010 norms.

Got 7-10'ed by todays storms, nice car wash driving thru Belgrade, very pretty towers not far to the north, 0.02" at home.  :mellow:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, dendrite said:

It'll be funny when they start pulling BN months again come the 2020s.

We'll start getting stories about global cooling.

I'm still torn on what to do for my normals.  For now I'm using my full 35 year record instead of a moving 30 year average.  It's interesting in that the second half of the record averages about 0.4° warmer than the first half so if I look at a graph of monthly departures a lot of the months in the first half are BN.  I do this one graph that I call the departure index which is a sum of the daily departures positive and negative for the month and you can really see which months are stand-outs and which ones are ho-hum.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, dendrite said:

It'll be funny when they start pulling BN months again come the 2020s.

We'll start getting stories about global cooling.

Good luck with that ...

Solar cycle/AMOC are reeling to the  ... eh hm, other factors -

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Good luck with that ...

Solar cycle/AMOC are reeling to the  ... eh hm, other factors -

The problem is BTV has developed a site change or the UHI has expanded to the ASOS. The pre-UHI days are still factored into the 30 year normals. So while everyone else is pulling a -2F month BTV is still at +1F or something. The 1991-2020 norms should drop those days of yore in the 80s.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

So many low dews rest of month, nail in the coffin to any sustained HHH. 

There might be some 40s low temps this weekend in SNE, is that the hammer?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

There might be some 40s low temps this weekend in SNE, is that the hammer?

We tried to tell them, but they didn't listen.

  • Haha 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, tamarack said:

Have yet to reach 80 this month unless today did so, which I doubt due to the clouds hanging on until late morning.  Temps running about 1.5° BN here, so Farmington is probably close to their 1981-2010 norms.

Ha, that's hilarious.  Going the first three weeks of August and failing to hit even 80F... impressive.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
25 minutes ago, dendrite said:

The problem is BTV has developed a site change or the UHI has expanded to the ASOS. The pre-UHI days are still factored into the 30 year normals. So while everyone else is pulling a -2F month BTV is still at +1F or something. The 1991-2020 norms should drop those days of yore in the 80s.

Yeah it will be funny when those new normals kick in and really add in the last 10-15 years of records. 

For BTV to be below normal right now, the rest of the VT ASOS stations have to run like -3 or -4 at the least (and the MVL/MPV/1V4 departures are normally very close to each other).

Hopefully the new normals at least get the BTV departures in line with the rest of the North Country.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
12 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

So next week looks like the flow becomes more SE again with high pressure overhead or just offshore. Front approaches from the west so depending on location, could be times of shwrs and storms, although my guess is best chance west. Doesn't seem overly hot. Probably 80s with moderate humidity. This weekend into early next week does look quite nice.  Early peak at Labor Day looks fairly warm, but again front nearby. If it's just offshore it will be lower humidity again...but my guess for now is 75-85ish or so (depending on location) with maybe moderate humidity. Things certainly could change as we get closer.

They’re ignoring and calling for COC k rest of month . I know where my money lies 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
11 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Yeah it will be funny when those new normals kick in and really add in the last 10-15 years of records. 

For BTV to be below normal right now, the rest of the VT ASOS stations have to run like -3 or -4 at the least (and the MVL/MPV/1V4 departures are normally very close to each other).

Hopefully the new normals at least get the BTV departures in line with the rest of the North Country.

70s were relatively cold for BTV compared to MPV, but check out that stepwise jump in the 2010s.

image.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×