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Hurricane Barry

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Seems like we really avoided a 2016e ques flooding disaster in Louisiana with more dry air than forecast preventing a serious flooding situation. I think media handled this well for the most part, since most models were spitting 2 feet of rain until the last minute where HRRR backed off. Can't really take a chance with the flooding situations that have occurred in the past few years with Harvey and Florence.

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6 hours ago, MattPetrulli said:

Seems like we really avoided a 2016e ques flooding disaster in Louisiana with more dry air than forecast preventing a serious flooding situation. I think media handled this well for the most part, since most models were spitting 2 feet of rain until the last minute where HRRR backed off. Can't really take a chance with the flooding situations that have occurred in the past few years with Harvey and Florence.

I agree, but it was a bit strange.  The big media outlets were really hyping the storm surge potential until it looked like NOLA might escape the surge.  Some of them went to the flooding rain potential and kinda backed off the hype as opposed to some of the crazy hype seen in the past.  Don't know if it was integrity or potential embarrassment. One things for sure big headlines have been selling newspapers (or clicks) for over 200 years so no reason to think it's gonna change lol. :tomato:

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Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
1102 PM CDT Sun Jul 14 2019

LAC007-033-037-047-077-121-125-150615-
/O.CON.KLIX.FF.W.0031.000000T0000Z-190715T0615Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
West Feliciana LA-West Baton Rouge LA-Pointe Coupee LA-
East Feliciana LA-Iberville LA-East Baton Rouge LA-Assumption LA-
1102 PM CDT Sun Jul 14 2019

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 AM CDT FOR
EASTERN WEST FELICIANA...WEST BATON ROUGE...SOUTHEASTERN POINTE
COUPEE...EAST FELICIANA...IBERVILLE...EAST BATON ROUGE AND
NORTHWESTERN ASSUMPTION PARISHES...

At 1100 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain across the warned
area. Up to four inches of rain may have already fallen in West
Baton Rouge Parish and lower Iberville Parish. Flash flooding is
expected to begin shortly or already occurring.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Baton Rouge, Zachary, Baker, Plaquemine, Port Allen, Jackson, St.
Francisville, Clinton, Oak Hills Place, St. Gabriel, Addis, Brusly,
White Castle, Slaughter, Rosedale, Grosse Tete, Wilson, Norwood,
Wakefield and Westminster.

Additional rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches are possible in the
warned area by 1 am CDT Monday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

A Flash Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring.
If you are in the warned area move to higher ground immediately.
Residents living along streams and creeks should take immediate
precautions to protect life and property.

&&

LAT...LON 3100 9134 3100 9091 3004 9118 2997 9126
      3004 9122 3006 9127 3006 9137 3010 9138
      3010 9146 3019 9147 3020 9149 3023 9148
      3024 9154

$$

24/RR


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1 hour ago, Jackstraw said:

I agree, but it was a bit strange.  The big media outlets were really hyping the storm surge potential until it looked like NOLA might escape the surge.  Some of them went to the flooding rain potential and kinda backed off the hype as opposed to some of the crazy hype seen in the past.  Don't know if it was integrity or potential embarrassment. One things for sure big headlines have been selling newspapers (or clicks) for over 200 years so no reason to think it's gonna change lol. :tomato:

I thought they captured the flood threat nicely, but I didn't understand the hype surrounding the surge threat. It's not perfect, but we're getting there with media hype.

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Flash Flood Emergency out for area north of Lake Charles
 


...THIS IS A FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR Northeast Calcasieu Parish 
and Southeast Beauregard Parish...

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 AM CDT FOR
SOUTH CENTRAL BEAUREGARD AND NORTH CENTRAL CALCASIEU PARISHES...

At 1254 AM CDT, emergency management reported flash flooding in 
northern Calcasieu Parish. Eight to twelve inches of rain have 
fallen. Flash flooding is already occurring.

THIS IS A FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR areas near Moss Bluff, Gillis, 
Ragley, and Topsey. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK 
HIGHER GROUND NOW!

Numerous roadways are covered with water including Highways 171 and 
27. Many secondary roadways are impassable. High water rescues are 
ongoing.

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Overall I think Barry's rainfall impact is fortunately manageable for the Mississippi, which will hopefully mitigate any increased flooding concerns downstream on the lower levees and estuaries. However, where convective bands did train saw big impacts. Just north of Lake Charles received over 23 inches of rainfall and there were 15+" totals along that curved convective feeder band over bayou areas up into lower Mississippi Valley. Parts of southern Alabama also topped 8-10 inches for the event. Fortunately the big metro areas like New Orleans avoided these bands and totals or this even would have been a lot more memorable. Though not trying to downplay impacts on the rural communities as there certainly were many water rescues and damage to infrastructure. No reported deaths or injuries attributed to the cyclone so far however. All in all, Barry was a uniquely disorganized mess that did manage to reach hurricane intensity if only for a very brief moment.

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Any official on-land wind obs from Barry? Saw the 10m oil ob they made the upgrade off of but haven’t seen much from land. Interesting to see if hurricane conditions made it to the coast with such an interesting? structure. Videos and pics certainly looked like low end cane or high end TS based on surge and some wind damage 

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Any official on-land wind obs from Barry? Saw the 10m oil ob they made the upgrade off of but haven’t seen much from land. Interesting to see if hurricane conditions made it to the coast with such an interesting? structure. Videos and pics certainly looked like low end cane or high end TS based on surge and some wind damage
...Selected preliminary Peak Wind gusts in miles per hour earlier in the event...

...ALABAMA...

PINTO ISLAND 1 ENE 72

BROOKLEY FIELD 2 SSW 57

FORT MORGAN 54

...LOUISIANA...

CYPREMORT POINT 67

BERWICK 63

AMERADA PASS 61

NEW IBERIA 61

FRESHWATER CANAL LOCKS 60

HOUMA TERREBONNE 55

PATTERSON MEMORI 55

CARENCRO 53 EUGENE 52

LAFAYETTE 52

DULAC 50

BATON ROUGE 45

NEW ORLEANS INTL 40

...MISSISSIPPI...

BROOKLEY FIELD 2 S 49

EAST END OF DAUPHIN 46

...TEXAS...

HALLSVILLE 54

 

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc2.html

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