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July 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread


bluewave
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Islip just missed their all-time highest average temperature of 90 degrees by 1 degree yesterday. JFK also was only 1 degree off their all-time highest heat index of 115 degrees.

Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY - Jan through Dec
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Highest Avg Temperature 
Missing Count
1 1999 90.0 0
2 2019 89.0 163
- 2006 89.0 0
3 1966 88.5 2
4 2011 88.0 0
5 2016 87.5 0
- 2010 87.5 0
- 1993 87.5 0

4FD4B3EA-8D99-4C1A-B15C-5C6959332B82.thumb.png.6d8d1c080e3e741adae709402957decb.png

 

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54 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Islip just missed their all-time highest average temperature of 90 degrees by 1 degree yesterday. JFK also was only 1 degree off their all-time highest heat index of 115 degrees.

Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY - Jan through Dec
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Highest Avg Temperature 
Missing Count
1 1999 90.0 0
2 2019 89.0 163
- 2006 89.0 0
3 1966 88.5 2
4 2011 88.0 0
5 2016 87.5 0
- 2010 87.5 0
- 1993 87.5 0

4FD4B3EA-8D99-4C1A-B15C-5C6959332B82.thumb.png.6d8d1c080e3e741adae709402957decb.png

 

Avg temp of 88 here, and avg dewpoint of 76. Steamy. 

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31 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Avg temp of 88 here, and avg dewpoint of 76. Steamy. 

On track for another top 10 warmest July. 

Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Mean Avg Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2019 78.8 10
2 1999 78.6 0
3 2013 78.0 0
- 2010 78.0 0
4 2011 77.6 0
5 1994 77.3 0
6 2016 76.8 0
7 1966 76.3 0
8 2012 76.2 0
9 2008 75.9 0
- 2006 75.9 0
- 1995 75.9 0
10 2015 75.8 0
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Just now, Gravity Wave said:

SPC isn't bullish at all for the threat today. 2% tornado and 15% wind is pretty underwhelming given the setup. At any rate, the meso models now have some discrete storms moving through around rush hour followed by the main line 1-2 hours later.

yeah, the 12Z soundings were unimpressive - late evening showers/storms last night wiped things out for now. we'll be relying on moisture advection and the dynamics to get things going this afternoon. strong heating looks to continue, so that will help things out. 

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24 minutes ago, purduewx80 said:

yeah, the 12Z soundings were unimpressive - late evening showers/storms last night wiped things out for now. we'll be relying on moisture advection and the dynamics to get things going this afternoon. strong heating looks to continue, so that will help things out. 

The 12z OKX sounding shows a CAP value of 5.6. Gonna need some strong daytime heating to overcome that. It'll take some time.

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27 minutes ago, purduewx80 said:

yeah, the 12Z soundings were unimpressive - late evening showers/storms last night wiped things out for now. we'll be relying on moisture advection and the dynamics to get things going this afternoon. strong heating looks to continue, so that will help things out. 

more of a flash flood threat with spinups

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18 minutes ago, Newman said:

The 12z OKX sounding shows a CAP value of 5.6. Gonna need some strong daytime heating to overcome that. It'll take some time.

advection is more important today. would need to be near 100F based on that sounding to get anything at all.

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