Stormlover74 Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 Quite windy now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 You lucky bastards get to watch the cool lightning in the storm directly above my head, meanwhile all I get is flash flooding. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 Absolutely epic light show right now. I’m up on the roof enjoying every stroke. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 We really got hammered here. Some 50mph wind gusts and the rain was blowing sideways the whole time during the storm. A quick inch of rain and lots of lightning. Fun storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 Nice lightning show looking out to my west and some wind gusts. Still reading 86 on the weather station, but I expect that to drop in the next 20 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 A couple of nice storms tonight with a great light show from the current one. Hopefully tomorrow follows this theme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 Looks of action in eastern Pa headed east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 tomorrow looks like a big day with a warm front overhead and a low tracking along it 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 Not sure why I'm under a severe thunderstorm warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 That storm managed to slip to my sw again...just 0.02" rain. Was under a severe t storm warning and a flood advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 Really impressive light show looking south from Chelsea. And here's the NAM for tomorrow evening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 The outflow on that storm was crazy! Had to hold down my tripod. Got a ton of lightning shots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 Whole lot of nothing here split the gap right through me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 The heat wave is now poised to break. High temperatures earlier today included: Atlantic City: 100° (old record: 99°, 1957 and 1981); Baltimore: 100°; Boston: 98°; Hartford: 100°; Islip: 99°; New York City-JFK: 99° (tied record set in 1991); New York City-LGA: 100° (tied record set in 1991); New York City-NYC: 95°; Newark: 99°; Norfolk: 100°; Philadelphia: 98°; Providence: 96°; Sterling: 100°; and, Washington, DC: 99°. At 11 pm, Boston had a temperature of 88°. So far, Boston's daily minimum temperature is 83°. Should Boston register a daily minimum temperature of 80° or above, Boston would have two consecutive days of such warm minimum temperatures for the first time on record. Boston's records go back to 1872. Tomorrow will likely feature the development of strong to possibly severe thunderstorms. Flash flooding is possible across portions of the Middle Atlantic and southern New England regions. Afterward, a period of cooler weather appears likely. Another bout of extreme heat is imminent in western Europe. The potential for July record high temperatures in parts of Spain, France, and Germany exists, especially during the first half of next week. Anchorage remains on course for its warmest month on record following its warmest June on record. Based on the latest guidance, Anchorage has an implied >99% probability of seeing only its 19th month on record with a mean temperature of 60.0° or above and an implied 82% probability of surpassing the 62.7° registered in July 2016 as its warmest month on record. The most likely range is currently 63.5°-64.9°. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.4°C for the week centered around July 10. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.23°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.57°C. Neutral-warm ENSO conditions are now evolving. There is considerable uncertainty about the ENSO evolution later this summer into the fall. Some of the guidance now shows the development of neutral-cool ENSO conditions. The SOI was -2.46 today. Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was +0.032. Nevertheless, this positive fluctuation will likely be short-lived. A general tendency for blocking could persist through much of the remainder of July. Should blocking generally persist, a warm or perhaps very warm second half of summer is likely. Since 1950, there was only a single year that saw the AO average -1.000 or below in May and -0.500 or below in June (the preliminary June 2019 average was -0.665): 1993. 1993 featured much above normal readings in the East during the late summer (August 15-September 15 period) and predominantly cooler than normal readings across the western third of the nation during much of the summer. The latest EPS weekly guidance for August hints that above to possibly much above normal readings could develop in the Northeast, especially during the second half of the month. On July 20, the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.523 (RMM). The July 19-adjusted amplitude was 1.164. That is the 18th consecutive day during which the MJO has been in Phase 1. The last time the MJO was in Phase 1 for at least 18 consecutive days was July 6-24, 2004 (19 consecutive days). As had been signaled by the MJO, the second half of July is experiencing a continuation of the generally much warmer than normal readings that had developed during the first half of the month in much of the Middle Atlantic region. Since 1974 when MJO data was first recorded, there have been 6 cases (1988, 1996, 2004, 2008, 2010, and 2013) when the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.500 or above for 4 or more days during the July 1-10 period. The average temperature for those cases in New York City was 78.2° (1.7° above normal). The latest guidance suggests a mean temperature near 79.0°. In 4/6 (67%) cases, there was at least one heat wave during the July 16-31 period and 4/6 (67%) those cases had a peak temperature of 95° or above during that period. Much of the region has now experienced a heat wave. Baltimore has now had 10 consecutive 90° or above days and Washington DC has had 11 consecutive 90° or above days. Peak temperatures in the northern Middle Atlantic region have included: Atlantic City: 100°; Baltimore: 100°; Boston: 98°; Hartford: 100°; Islip: 99°; New York City: JFK-99°, LGA-100°, NYC-95°; Newark: 98°; Philadelphia 98°; and, Washington, DC: 99°. The implied probability of a warmer than normal July in New York City is currently 89%. Most likely range: 78.2°-80.1° (1.7° to 3.6° above normal). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 Today's temp split 98°/75°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 I’m in the middle of the island and the storms over the ocean are lighting up the whole sky here, even inside is being illuminated by the lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 no lightening or thunder but nice pop up shower here in white plains. absolutely pouring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 High for the day yesterday was 99 here. Picked up 0.11" of rain for the day yesterday. Current temp 77/DP 72/RH 89% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 Next 8 days averaging 76.5degs., or just NORMAL. Month to date is +3.6[80.1]. Should be +2.6[79.1] by the 30th. 81.1* here at 6am, but going the other way. Used 68/82 for today. 82.0* at 7am. 82.0* at 8am. 83.8* by Noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 22, 2019 Author Share Posted July 22, 2019 LGA has been our only major official site able to hit 100 degrees since 2013. Time Series Summary for LA GUARDIA AP, NY - Jan through Dec Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Highest Max Temperature Missing Count 1 2019 100 163 2 2018 98 0 3 2017 101 0 4 2016 99 0 5 2015 95 0 6 2014 93 0 7 2013 100 0 8 2012 101 0 9 2011 104 0 10 2010 103 0 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Jan through Dec Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Highest Max Temperature Missing Count 2019 99 163 2018 98 0 2017 99 0 2016 99 0 2015 98 0 2014 96 0 2013 101 0 2012 104 0 2011 108 0 2010 103 0 Time Series Summary for JFK INTL AP, NY - Jan through Dec Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Highest Max Temperature Missing Count 2019 99 163 2018 94 0 2017 95 0 2016 98 0 2015 95 0 2014 92 0 2013 100 0 2012 99 0 2011 103 0 2010 101 0 Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY - Jan through Dec Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Highest Max Temperature Missing Count 2019 99 163 2018 95 0 2017 93 0 2016 97 0 2015 94 0 2014 89 0 2013 95 0 2012 95 0 2011 100 0 2010 101 0 Time Series Summary for IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORI AP, CT - Jan through Dec Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Highest Max Temperature Missing Count 2019 99 163 2018 94 0 2017 94 0 2016 97 0 2015 94 0 2014 91 0 2013 95 0 2012 96 0 2011 103 0 2010 98 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 HREF has a strong signal for rotating storms in the area later today: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 22, 2019 Author Share Posted July 22, 2019 ^^^^^ Yeah,rotation and flash flood potential with the developing low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 Quite warm out this morning, 84/73/91 before 8 AM. No comparison at all to the last few days, but still very warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 74/71. Definetly humid; but noticeably cooler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 2 hours ago, CIK62 said: Next 8 days averaging 76.5degs., or just NORMAL. Month to date is +3.6[80.1]. Should be +2.6[79.1] by the 30th. 81.1* here at 6am, but going the other way. Used 68/82 for today. 82.0* at 7am. 82.0* at 8am. You should clarify that this is using the parks numbers. Other sites are +5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 76/74 Mostly cloudy now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxallannj Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 Since there is a small chance of a spin-up today. On this day 116 years ago https://lambertcastle.org/the-paterson-tornado-of-1903/ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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