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George BM

June Discobs 2019

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Temperature shot off like a rocket after getting down to 64. Currently 79/68

*11 AM update: 88/67.

*3 PM update: 90/63

*4:40 PM update: 91/61

hot and dry.

 

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8 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

12z GFS goes out 16 days.  12z Euro 10 days.

Neither of them have a high under 90 for any day.

12z GFS gets pretty damn extreme towards the end, especially during the nights.

For the lols, TWC has every day 90 or above for D.C 

image.thumb.png.0bd2400729312f60f900a116f7505dc3.png

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40 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

Not bad here . Been bouncing between 86-87 with a dew in the mid 60s. Humidity definitely not a factor.  

Yeah its not bad- yet. Temp is 86 here and very tolerable humidity. Both will be on the upswing in the coming days.

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3 hours ago, C.A.P.E. said:

Yeah its not bad- yet. Temp is 86 here and very tolerable humidity. Both will be on the upswing in the coming days.

Looks like Friday it peaks but guidance hinting at relief Sunday night through Monday.  I posted the Gfs temps in Banter. Not that this is a heat wave or anything lol but anything in summer below 90/70 is ok in my book 

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90 to 94 for a high isn't hot in these parts...it's summer.

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SOI pretty interesting 

Latest Southern Oscillation Index values


SOI values for 27 Jun, 2019
Average SOI for last 30 days -9.05
Average SOI for last 90 days -6.17
Daily contribution to SOI calculation -30.16

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Pretty hot already. 88/68 just after 10 AM currently. Let's see if I can make a run at 95 today.

11:30 AM update: 91/67

1 PM update: 93/65

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9 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said:

90 to 94 for a high isn't hot in these parts...it's summer.

I think it's both. It's not extreme, but 90-94 with humidity is pretty awful.

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9 minutes ago, osfan24 said:

I think it's both. It's not extreme, but 90-94 with humidity is pretty awful.

Agreed. Its awful. Its hot. But it is also pretty typical.

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4 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said:

Agreed. Its awful. Its hot. But it is also pretty typical.

It would be nice to get some thunderstorms. But..

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37 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said:

Agreed. Its awful. Its hot. But it is also pretty typical.

Typical ..... what is climo for a high at DC now ? 

Still, although it is summer you have to admit the longevity of the arrived heat now and in many past summers sucks.  Warmer winters and above normal hot summers. At least we had some nice weather, although cloudy at times in May and in early June. 

I bet we are above normal for a long time going forward next month.

The question begs though,  is the warmest ( hottest ) part  of summer in the first half of July like last summer to be replaced by higher over-night lows , and lower day time highs in August and September and with higher dews the player?

Or, does summer intensify even further hitting extremes in August and September , Don S brought up 1993. 

Maybe the Nino brings a wetter fall to cut the September heat out. not sure the direction yet.  

 

 

 

 

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10 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said:

90 to 94 for a high isn't hot in these parts...it's summer.

It is hot, but it isn't unusual.  That said, a long string of 90s can have a cumulative effect on the environment and the psyche.  We'll see if we can at least get that break Sun/Mon before we go back to the heat.

 

91 so far at home.  Looks like DCA is 89 or 90 based on the 5 minute obs.

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Just now, MN Transplant said:

It is hot, but it isn't unusual.  That said, a long string of 90s can have a cumulative effect on the environment and the psyche.  We'll see if we can at least get that break Sun/Mon before we go back to the heat.

 

91 so far at home.  Looks like DCA is 89 or 90 based on the 5 minute obs.

If it won't bother you too much could you post a link to the 5 min obs please?

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Jefferson/Berkeley warned storm has produced wind gusts over 60mph and is currently severe warned

Other small popup storms across NW VA and E WV and W MD as well

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Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
517 PM EDT Thu Jun 27 2019

VAC107-WVC003-037-272130-
/O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0235.000000T0000Z-190627T2130Z/
Loudoun VA-Jefferson WV-Berkeley WV-
517 PM EDT Thu Jun 27 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM EDT
FOR NORTHERN LOUDOUN...JEFFERSON AND SOUTHERN BERKELEY COUNTIES...

At 517 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Ballenger Creek to near Charles Town, moving
southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to
         fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage
         homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed
         trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured
         light objects may become projectiles.

Locations impacted include...
Charles Town, Purcellville, Brunswick, Ranson, Round Hill, Harpers
Ferry, Corporation Of Ranson, Lovettsville, Bolivar, Shenandoah
Junction, Hillsboro, Waterford, Neersville, Lucketts, Halltown,
Summit Point, Millville, Bakerton, Taylorstown and Rippon.

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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
512 PM EDT Thu Jun 27 2019

The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Western Montgomery County in central Maryland...
  South central Frederick County in north central Maryland...
  Central Loudoun County in northern Virginia...
  North central Fairfax County in northern Virginia...

* Until 600 PM EDT.

* At 511 PM EDT, the front edge of damaging winds ahead of a line of
  severe thunderstorms was located along a line extending from 7
  miles northwest of Boyds to Round Hill, moving southeast at 25 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches
           to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as
           damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by
           downed trees. Localized power outages are possible.
           Unsecured light objects may become projectiles.

* Locations impacted include...
  Germantown, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Leesburg, Broadlands,
  Lansdowne, Lowes Island, Brambleton, Poolesville, Potomac, Ashburn,
  Montgomery Village, Sterling, North Potomac, Redland, Great Falls,
  Countryside, Purcellville, Middleburg and Round Hill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Wind damage with these storms will occur before any rain or
lightning. Do not wait for the sound of thunder before taking cover.
SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY inside a sturdy structure and stay away from
windows.

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