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June Discobs 2019


George BM
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  • WxUSAF pinned this topic
1 hour ago, losetoa6 said:

Pretty cool Tuesday morning . 40s in June has to be somewhat rare . 

 

 

nam3km_T2m_neus_52_crop_617x617.png

The cold pool in the NW Atlantic has only become even more remarkable. Spoke about this a few weeks ago as well. 

The AO and the NAO have been negative and the SOI today is negative yet again. Seems the first half of June is near normal hopefully temp-wise. At the least hopefully not extreme heat. 

Some experts state the tropical forcing favors continued high lattitude blocking until mid- June , but potentially could last longer. Where was this in winter?  

Many seasonal forecasts call for the the highest temps relative to normal in occur August to September, we will see. 

That has happened alot this decade, and based on the warm SW Atlantic , would think the warmest temps relative to average do happen this  September and October.   

A question to ponder is the current cold pool in the NW Atlantic, some informed weather pros have mentioned this is a signal for a winter 2020 negative NAO.  

I even came across some research that stated AGW is causing the winter NAO to be positive, I have not heard that one before. 

 

 

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54 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Noooooo...my watermelons and tomatoes weep!

Are you really concerned ? Certainly my eggplants are waiting for the 80's to take off. 

Mount Holly now has me at 46 degrees this Tuesday AM. 

Tomorrow night near dusk might get a windchill .......  LOL

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10 hours ago, frd said:

Are you really concerned ? Certainly my eggplants are waiting for the 80's to take off. 

Mount Holly now has me at 46 degrees this Tuesday AM. 

Tomorrow night near dusk might get a windchill .......  LOL

I'm ready for some +22 air at 925.

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1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said:

I'm ready for some +22 air at 925.

Hopefully while occasionally getting into an enhanced 65+kt mid-level "ring of fire" flow. Epic Derecho train FTW!... And then the waters off the southeast coast and in the GOM can rise into the low/mid 30's celsius for peak hurricane season while we get a 1893 repeat in storm tracks. 

 

dot dot dot

 

68/50 at IAD with 20+mph wind gusts as of 10:37am edt Monday, June 3, 2019

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July 4, 2014 the high at BWI was 80 (Westminster was 75).

July 4, 2015 the high at BWI was 76 (Westminster was 71).

July 4, 2016 the high at BWI was 73 (Westminster was also 73).

So those three years were pretty cool, to say the least, relative to average high temps for that date.

The last few years have been in the 90s on July 4.

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