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NJwx85

May 28th-30th Severe Potential

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13 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Very similar spot to last night. Up here it’s another light rain event that probably will not amount to more then .20” again.

2nd day in a row with severe hail in the cool sector and the steep mid-level lapse rates producing. 

0515 PM     HAIL             2 S FREEHOLD TWP        40.21N 74.29W
05/29/2019  E1.00 INCH       MONMOUTH           NJ   PUBLIC
1002 PM     HAIL             WESTHAMPTON BEACH       40.80N  72.61W
05/28/2019  E1.00 INCH       SUFFOLK            NY   PUBLIC

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The good news is that despite all the tornado warnings yesterday, not a single report of a tornado in PA, NY or NJ yesterday.

Today the main threat area looks to be from I-80 on South however all areas should experience more thunderstorms.

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2 hours ago, NJwx85 said:

The good news is that despite all the tornado warnings yesterday, not a single report of a tornado in PA, NY or NJ yesterday.

Today the main threat area looks to be from I-80 on South however all areas should experience more thunderstorms.

Should see another area of moderate to heavy rain with isolated lightning over much of the area. Definitely below severe parameters until well SW of us.

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Probably a better chance of some severe in the metro today.  Probably will see more heating and breaks in the clouds.  Also forward motion of the storms is likely to be faster across PA and NJ giving them less time to weaken 

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10 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

Probably a better chance of some severe in the metro today.  Probably will see more heating and breaks in the clouds.  Also forward motion of the storms is likely to be faster across PA and NJ giving them less time to weaken 

 

Is it faux pas to say that I'm getting weary of all the severe weather alerts? I'd like to have one or two days of sunshine before we come under direct threat of destructive tornadoes again..

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PA adds another tornado to the list. Storm surveys ongoing.

https://mobile.twitter.com/NWS_MountHolly/status/1134128657054687232

Storm Survey Update: The team has confirmed an EF0 tornado near the border of Bucks and Lehigh Counties from a storm around 3:15PM yesterday. Additional survey work will continue through the day in Bucks and Montgomery Counties.

 

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1154 AM EDT THU MAY 30 2019

...STORM SURVEY TO BE CONDUCTED IN PERRY AND DAUPHIN COUNTY 
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS FROM STATE COLLEGE PA
WILL CONDUCT A STORM SURVEY THURSDAY AFTERNOON IN EASTERN PERRY 
COUNTY AND NEAR HALIFAX IN DAUPHIN COUNTY. THIS IS REGARDING THE 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THAT MOVED THROUGH THE AREA ON MAY 29, 2019.

THE RESULTS OF THE SURVEY ARE EXPECTED TO BE COMPLETED AND
TRANSMITTED VIA A PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT THURSDAY EVENING.

IT WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE.

 

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Storms moving in now. So far not much lightening showing up. Looks like slow movers though. Expect torrential rain.

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lol I hate living on the border of 2 offices

Morris NJ-Hunterdon NJ-Somerset NJ-Middlesex NJ-
543 PM EDT Thu May 30 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN MORRIS...NORTHEASTERN HUNTERDON...SOMERSET AND NORTH
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX COUNTIES...

At 542 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Morristown to near White House Station, moving
east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

 

Meanwhile

Hudson-Eastern Union-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Western
Essex-Richmond (Staten Is.)-
546 PM EDT Thu May 30 2019

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT HUDSON...UNION...
SOUTHERN ESSEX AND RICHMOND COUNTIES...

At 545 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from Florham Park to Bound Brook to
Cloverhill. Movement was east at 25 mph.

Winds in excess of 35 mph are possible with these storms.
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555 PM EDT Thu May 30 2019

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  South central Morris County in northern New Jersey...
  East central Hunterdon County in northwestern New Jersey...
  Somerset County in northern New Jersey...
  Northern Middlesex County in northern New Jersey...

* Until 645 PM EDT.

* At 554 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
  extending from Millington to near Flagtown, moving east at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail

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Just now, Stormlover74 said:

very heavy rain, bout it

Some decent wind too. Not severe but some 30 to 40mph gusts here. Cool watching the rain blow sideways in the strong north winds. Very very heavy rain to.

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Not much going on, last couple days felt very early fall like 

However overall activity in PA/NJ in late May could signal an active severe season once we get into July/August given the cyclical pattern we've been in. 

  • Haha 3

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