RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted June 18 And gefs say what heat to start July? Eura getting it’s booty slapped. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
moneypitmike Posted June 18 25 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Euro caved to the NAM, all those Nam sells yesterday look to be in trouble judging by radar Certainly south of the Pike looks at risk. It might get blocked getting north of there. That said, I'd like some rain so I don't need to water. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ginx snewx Posted June 18 3 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Certainly south of the Pike looks at risk. It might get blocked getting north of there. That said, I'd like some rain so I don't need to water. Half inch for you Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Damage In Tolland Posted June 18 GEFS? Oh man Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
moneypitmike Posted June 18 19 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Half inch for you I'd be thrilled. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted June 18 42 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: GEFS? Oh man Better track record than your boy Cranky? 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
weatherwiz Posted June 18 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: That persistent cold pool will temper any sort of high heat. I'd be very cautious about LR models that depict any sort of high and especially sustained heat. Perhaps for the coastline but typically we're dealing with a more westerly flow when talking about high heat so not sure that cold pool would have any impact on the entire region...plus it really won't take much for the temps to moderate. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
dendrite Posted June 18 7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Perhaps for the coastline but typically we're dealing with a more westerly flow when talking about high heat so not sure that cold pool would have any impact on the entire region...plus it really won't take much for the temps to moderate. Keep a persistent 50/50ish low out there over below normal SSTs and you’re dealing with backdoor potential equivalent to May. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 18 15 minutes ago, dendrite said: Keep a persistent 50/50ish low out there over below normal SSTs and you’re dealing with backdoor potential equivalent to May. Was there a similar setup in (I think) 2004 or 2005? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 18 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: We step up to typical summer probably a heat wave for the 4th. Is it really typical though? I have no stats to back this, but to go through the end of June with no even transient heat seems strange. ORH has had 1 +10 day, May 20, since mid April. Seems odd. Most years feature one or two “hot” spells before July Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
weatherwiz Posted June 18 24 minutes ago, dendrite said: Keep a persistent 50/50ish low out there over below normal SSTs and you’re dealing with backdoor potential equivalent to May. well that would make sense...when you add in the idea of the 50/50 low aspect but just the below-normal SST's alone I don't think would prevent heat into the region Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CoastalWx Posted June 18 It's not typical. We have had a lack of 85+ days for sure. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 18 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It's not typical. We have had a lack of 85+ days for sure. I have not installed...living dangerously Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CoastalWx Posted June 18 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I have not installed...living dangerously Same here. Might be warm for a couple of days next week though. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted June 18 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's not typical. We have had a lack of 85+ days for sure. The Travelers Golf Tournament in Cromwell CT this weekend usually is in the 90s. A couple years ago it was played extreme heat pushing 100. This year nothing close. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CoastalWx Posted June 18 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The Travelers Golf Tournament in Cromwell CT this weekend usually is in the 90s. A couple years ago it was played extreme heat pushing 100. This year nothing close. This weekend looks great. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted June 18 It’s a reach into your undies and hold your rooster type weekend. 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Chrisrotary12 Posted June 18 When's the last time anyone heard a rumble of thunder? Can't even buy a dying MCS. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
mreaves Posted June 18 23 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The Travelers Golf Tournament in Cromwell CT this weekend usually is in the 90s. A couple years ago it was played extreme heat pushing 100. This year nothing close. I went there with my son that year. Broiled in the sun. We only stayed for a few hours before we headed out. Wasn't any fun in that type of heat Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
STILL N OF PIKE Posted June 18 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: It's not typical. We have had a lack of 85+ days for sure. Like the graphic Ginxy showed the other day for NWS (Nashua) having one of its latest starts to Met Summer characterized by first day averaging 75 degrees. Most of our lows here have been very comfy 50’s. Hard to averag 75 without high heat or high dews . Maybe next week i don’t believe Portland Maine has even averaged a day above 70 so far Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wxeyeNH Posted June 18 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I have not installed...living dangerously Last year our 2 window units just couldn't keep the house cool. I hate heat and humidity. Home Depot and Lowe's sold out of AC's as those 70F dews stuck around through Sept. So this year I was smart (or not). I bought a 3rd 10,000 BTU in mid May. It's still in the box out in the barn. 30 day return period has passed. I have not hit 80F yet. That AC might wait till 2020 at this rate Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
dendrite Posted June 18 CFS maps are always entertaining. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Typhoon Tip Posted June 18 2 hours ago, weatherwiz said: Perhaps for the coastline but typically we're dealing with a more westerly flow when talking about high heat so not sure that cold pool would have any impact on the entire region...plus it really won't take much for the temps to moderate. Plus I've noticed a tendency when dealing with the lay - hoi polloi and general enthusiasts and hobbyest, and even some Mets... to kind of get giddy about colors on these granular products. Blue in that context does not mean cold - not that you think so... just in general, that needs to be reminded. Like someone posted the other day, some D6-14 WPC temperature anomaly product with orange and brown positive departures as a trophy foisting for the onset of summer heat ... wrong... duh. F'n thing is only saying a 30 % chance of above normal... that's not anything really... I don't, red is warm - woooo! Those blues out there ? 0 C anomaly is hot ocean. Plus, if that's a running average/adjusted climo comparison, that's hotter at 0C than it was 50 years ago at 0C ... So blue ballz all we want...that's a oceanic basin that is in general neutral positive. I guess it's negative more meaningfully N of the g-string east of New England ... Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Typhoon Tip Posted June 18 I don't know ... this doesn't look un-wet for SNE https://radar.weather.gov/Conus/full_loop.php maybe it dries up before getting here...we'll see Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted June 18 11 minutes ago, dendrite said: CFS maps are always entertaining. And the model tends to run off the same KFS grid during the summer so maybe a red flag. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
dendrite Posted June 18 9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: And the model tends to run off the same KFS grid during the summer so maybe a red flag. Freeze for Maple Hollow? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
dendrite Posted June 18 Just now, dendrite said: Freeze for Maple Hollow? lol...that would be an epically short growing season. This guy is a trip. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Spanks45 Posted June 18 Well it has been pouring here of and on all morning....We were running slightly below average for the month, so why not? It looks it might become more convective in nature as the day goes on, maybe some training storms and flash flooding down this way? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites