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OKC metro PDS Tornado Watch into Joplin, MO and central MO, May 22nd 2019


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A major outbreak is beginning to occur.  This is just the beginning for the OKC metro area into Tulsa, OK and then Joplin, MO towards the city of St. Louis. MO.  After the eight-year anniversary of the horrific tornado that hit Joplin, MO in 2011, that killed 158 people.  Today they could be in the same situation, this is horrifying.  Storms have developed SW of OKC metro and then east of the metro moving northeastward.  A storm near Lawton, OK is the lone severe warned storm at this time, but this will change as the storms east of the metro area are gaining vertical height and will become severe.  Let's discuss about this situation.  

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north storm (east I-40)

Quote

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
    
At 503 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Okfuskee, moving
northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and golf ball size hail.

SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

 

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According to the SPC mesoanalysis the newer VTP and EEHI parameters are very high in NE OK right now. If storms could get a bit more isolated these things might drop some strong tornadoes in a hurry. I will say the cell south of Tulsa has a lot of room to work with.

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Just now, Calderon said:

New storms rapidly developing again in southern OK, notably NE of Duncan and S of Lawton. We'll see if they'll maintain or if the cap with punch them down again.

The cap won't do much, once these storms break through.  The NE OK storms have done so, and they are nearly reaching -70C temps, which means they are high tops.  Joplin, MO is going to be under the crosshairs in the next 4 hours, a long, tracking, violent tornado is possible for the area.

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14 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

The cap won't do much, once these storms break through.  The NE OK storms have done so, and they are nearly reaching -70C temps, which means they are high tops.  Joplin, MO is going to be under the crosshairs in the next 4 hours, a long, tracking, violent tornado is possible for the area.

they're still struggling to fight it and bust through, and unless things change soon, they won't.

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22 minutes ago, bdgwx said:

According to the SPC mesoanalysis the newer VTP and EEHI parameters are very high in NW OK right now. If storms could get a bit more isolated these things might drop some strong tornadoes in a hurry. I will say the cell south of Tulsa has a lot of room to work with.

You mean NE OK

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