Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    15,449
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    wagsphoto
    Newest Member
    wagsphoto
    Joined
yotaman

May 2019 Observations

Recommended Posts

4 hours ago, yotaman said:

Low of 50 this morning. Currently 74/46. Beautiful day.

Enjoy. A string of 90 degree days are on the way beginning late next week.  Upper 80s this weekend. Let the fun begin.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, jburns said:

Enjoy. A string of 90 degree days are on the way beginning late next week.  Upper 80s this weekend. Let the fun begin.

Yeah I know, looking at mid 90's by Memorial Day weekend maybe.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Through May 16, Atlanta has a mean temperature of 71.9°. As a result, May 1-16, 2019 is tied with 1952 and 2012 for the 19th warmest such period on record. Records go back to 1879.

After today, Atlanta will likely have a monthly mean temperature of 72.0°-72.1°. That would rank as the 16th warmest May 1-17 period on record.

Based on apply sensitivity analysis to the latest guidance, there is an implied 55% probability that May 2019 will become the warmest May on record. The current high average temperature for May is 74.8°, which was set in 1996 and tied in 2018. May 2019 is currently on track to finish with a mean temperature of 75.0° or above.

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
On 5/17/2019 at 9:10 AM, donsutherland1 said:

Through May 16, Atlanta has a mean temperature of 71.9°. As a result, May 1-16, 2019 is tied with 1952 and 2012 for the 19th warmest such period on record. Records go back to 1879.

After today, Atlanta will likely have a monthly mean temperature of 72.0°-72.1°. That would rank as the 16th warmest May 1-17 period on record.

Based on apply sensitivity analysis to the latest guidance, there is an implied 55% probability that May 2019 will become the warmest May on record. The current high average temperature for May is 74.8°, which was set in 1996 and tied in 2018. May 2019 is currently on track to finish with a mean temperature of 75.0° or above.

 

With the death ridge and record to all time record highs showing up on the models for the last half of the month, warmest May, seems almost a given, IF models are correct 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Updated for Atlanta:

Through May 21, Atlanta has a mean temperature of 73.3°. May 1-21, 2019 is tied with 2015  for the 12th warmest such period on record. Records go back to 1879.

Based on applying sensitivity analysis to the latest guidance, there is an implied 71% probability that May 2019 will become the warmest May on record. The record warm average temperature for May is 74.8°, which was set in 1996 and tied in 2018. May 2019 appears very likely to finish with a mean temperature somewhere from 75.0° to 76.7°.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

Updated for Atlanta:

Through May 21, Atlanta has a mean temperature of 73.3°. May 1-21, 2019 is tied with 2015  for the 12th warmest such period on record. Records go back to 1879.

Based on applying sensitivity analysis to the latest guidance, there is an implied 71% probability that May 2019 will become the warmest May on record. The record warm average temperature for May is 74.8°, which was set in 1996 and tied in 2018. May 2019 appears very likely to finish with a mean temperature somewhere from 75.0° to 76.7°.

Thank you Don.  I steady 5-7 days of 93-97 is on the way.   Very early for a prolonged heatwave like that. 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×