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May 2019 Observations


yotaman
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Through May 16, Atlanta has a mean temperature of 71.9°. As a result, May 1-16, 2019 is tied with 1952 and 2012 for the 19th warmest such period on record. Records go back to 1879.

After today, Atlanta will likely have a monthly mean temperature of 72.0°-72.1°. That would rank as the 16th warmest May 1-17 period on record.

Based on apply sensitivity analysis to the latest guidance, there is an implied 55% probability that May 2019 will become the warmest May on record. The current high average temperature for May is 74.8°, which was set in 1996 and tied in 2018. May 2019 is currently on track to finish with a mean temperature of 75.0° or above.

 

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On 5/17/2019 at 9:10 AM, donsutherland1 said:

Through May 16, Atlanta has a mean temperature of 71.9°. As a result, May 1-16, 2019 is tied with 1952 and 2012 for the 19th warmest such period on record. Records go back to 1879.

After today, Atlanta will likely have a monthly mean temperature of 72.0°-72.1°. That would rank as the 16th warmest May 1-17 period on record.

Based on apply sensitivity analysis to the latest guidance, there is an implied 55% probability that May 2019 will become the warmest May on record. The current high average temperature for May is 74.8°, which was set in 1996 and tied in 2018. May 2019 is currently on track to finish with a mean temperature of 75.0° or above.

 

With the death ridge and record to all time record highs showing up on the models for the last half of the month, warmest May, seems almost a given, IF models are correct 

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Updated for Atlanta:

Through May 21, Atlanta has a mean temperature of 73.3°. May 1-21, 2019 is tied with 2015  for the 12th warmest such period on record. Records go back to 1879.

Based on applying sensitivity analysis to the latest guidance, there is an implied 71% probability that May 2019 will become the warmest May on record. The record warm average temperature for May is 74.8°, which was set in 1996 and tied in 2018. May 2019 appears very likely to finish with a mean temperature somewhere from 75.0° to 76.7°.

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5 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

Updated for Atlanta:

Through May 21, Atlanta has a mean temperature of 73.3°. May 1-21, 2019 is tied with 2015  for the 12th warmest such period on record. Records go back to 1879.

Based on applying sensitivity analysis to the latest guidance, there is an implied 71% probability that May 2019 will become the warmest May on record. The record warm average temperature for May is 74.8°, which was set in 1996 and tied in 2018. May 2019 appears very likely to finish with a mean temperature somewhere from 75.0° to 76.7°.

Thank you Don.  I steady 5-7 days of 93-97 is on the way.   Very early for a prolonged heatwave like that. 

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2 hours ago, Iceagewhereartthou said:

Gonna be a hot one today, here are the 11am temps and dews:

 

GSP    86/63

ATL   86/67

CLT    86/68

FLO    88/71

MCN   91/67

CHS    92/65

CAE    92/68

Orangeburg  92/69

Augusta   93/66

1pm observations:

GSP 92

ATL 91

CLT 92

FLO 94

MCN 94

CHS 95

CAE 97

Orangeburg 95

Augusta 96

 

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Today and all this week the SE is hotter than Vegas, Phoenix, and Death Valley; that's pretty sad! 

 

Right now, Hazlehurst Ga, Augusta, and Columbia SC are the warmest places in the US!

 

http://www.wx-now.com/Weather/WxExtremes?hottest=true&usa=true

 

as CAE seems to be about the epicenter, here is a link to current area temps.

http://www.wx-now.com/Weather/WxLocal?place_id=50480

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