Windspeed Posted May 1, 2019 Share Posted May 1, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted May 1, 2019 Share Posted May 1, 2019 TOG in Stephens Co., OK near Loco continues to slowly move NE. Storm mode is getting messy with so many cells going up in this uncapped environment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted May 1, 2019 Share Posted May 1, 2019 How about that robust anticyclonic left mover that split off the Seymour cell? I imagine there can't be that much mid-level directional shear if the storm can maintain itself so well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted May 1, 2019 Share Posted May 1, 2019 How about that robust anticyclonic left mover that split off the Seymour cell? I imagine there can't be that much mid-level directional shear if the storm can maintain itself so well.A very strong couplet is tightening just east of Megargel on the primary cell's meso. Very impressive. That may be a large tornado forming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted May 1, 2019 Share Posted May 1, 2019 Looks like dueling tornadoes on velocity. Somebody is probably getting quite the show looking from the south despite HP. Obviously anyone caught north is getting pulverized by hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted May 1, 2019 Share Posted May 1, 2019 Awfully quiet in here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted May 1, 2019 Share Posted May 1, 2019 Guessing not much is verified or in populated areas. Funny thing is a 3 inch clipper can get thousands of posts in certain places of forums. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted May 1, 2019 Share Posted May 1, 2019 Still 4 active tornado warnings across NW TX and SC OK. Surprised this was never upgraded to a tornado watch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted May 1, 2019 Share Posted May 1, 2019 Cells are very healthy and relatively well organized tbh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted May 1, 2019 Share Posted May 1, 2019 The storm near Marietta OK has looked good for a while though it's hard to tell if it's producing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted May 1, 2019 Share Posted May 1, 2019 Chris McBee has the Mariette storm on his stream and it's definitely producing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted May 1, 2019 Share Posted May 1, 2019 Yeah, storm S of Ardmore looks mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted May 1, 2019 Share Posted May 1, 2019 4 minutes ago, mob1 said: Chris McBee has the Mariette storm on his stream and it's definitely producing. Screenshots for those of us that can't access video right now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted May 1, 2019 Share Posted May 1, 2019 7 minutes ago, cheese007 said: Screenshots for those of us that can't access video right now? This is from before, kind of crappy but you get the idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted May 1, 2019 Share Posted May 1, 2019 Wondering how long things will remain semi-discrete. SPC is thinking a watch may be needed for the DFW area as per their latest mesoscale discussion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sydney Claridge Posted May 1, 2019 Author Share Posted May 1, 2019 I have noticed some "popcorn" showers forming on radar to the south of the storm complex currently over NW north Texas. I'm a little surprised that nothing has developed from them (capping?), but part of me is wondering if that could change. I'm not saying that's going to happen, but I'm just wondering about the possibility. Seems like some of the echo tops might be trying to come up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted May 1, 2019 Share Posted May 1, 2019 Severe tstorm watch up for southeastern OK and parts of NTX including DFW metro. Valid until 1 AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 1, 2019 Share Posted May 1, 2019 Ug. The 00z convection-allowing models were a complete miss. SPC mesoanalysis image is from 5:44 CDT (2244z) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J_Prothro Posted May 1, 2019 Share Posted May 1, 2019 Looks like there might’ve been a fatal in OK last night with that Bokchito storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted May 1, 2019 Share Posted May 1, 2019 And once again NWS radars nationwide are having fits....this has been happening far too frequently the past several days that I have noticed.....got to get the money from Congress for tech upgrades. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted May 1, 2019 Share Posted May 1, 2019 How long has this line had at least 1 tor warning in it going? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 Some storms just popped up south of Dallas. We'll see how those go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 Severe storm popped up down by Killeen. Meanwhile line is becoming more of a rain than severe threat at this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 17 minutes ago, cheese007 said: Severe storm popped up down by Killeen. Meanwhile line is becoming more of a rain than severe threat at this time Warned now with a confirmed tornado, velocity scans don't look impressive though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 12 minutes ago, mob1 said: Warned now with a confirmed tornado, velocity scans don't look impressive though. Thing is booking it north. Opposite of the storms slowly oozing southwards up in the suburbs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 Kina surprised that the watch for DFW hasn't been canceled yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 Tuesday was one of the more impressive plains days we’ve seen in a while. 36 filtered tornado reports according to SPC severe reports data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 Blue/Bokchito tornado rated EF3, strongest in OK in April since 4/14/2012 (Woodward). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 The Plains clearly over achieved this week. At 5-6 days out the set-up was doubted, myself included. By Sunday it looked more doable, not great but not a debacle. Actually turned out well for chasers careful to look at the details. Frankly, the CAMs did poorly. They have been improving for several years, but we still require human forecasters. Of course CAMs won't pin-point location; but, they blew complexes this week. Meteorological cancer is a term which endures, because of over-reliance on high-res CAMs. Do CAMs actually subtract value on borderline days? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted May 2, 2019 Share Posted May 2, 2019 1 hour ago, nrgjeff said: The Plains clearly over achieved this week. At 5-6 days out the set-up was doubted, myself included. By Sunday it looked more doable, not great but not a debacle. Actually turned out well for chasers careful to look at the details. Frankly, the CAMs did poorly. They have been improving for several years, but we still require human forecasters. Of course CAMs won't pin-point location; but, they blew complexes this week. Meteorological cancer is a term which endures, because of over-reliance on high-res CAMs. Do CAMs actually subtract value on borderline days? Yesterday was particularly awful for all of the CAMs, and Tuesday really wasn’t any better... HRRR seemed to do the best out of all them, depicting what seemed like a relatively higher-end scenario. Euro did pretty bad for Tuesday, GFS was terrible with boundary placement... NAM did really well the entire time (for tuesday), for the most part. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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