Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    15,514
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Raifu
    Newest Member
    Raifu
    Joined
DanLarsen34

April 18, 19, 2019 Severe Event

Recommended Posts

3 minutes ago, ryan1234 said:

Yeah, that really surprised me. I would have assumed that there would have been at least a high risk for tornadoes and a moderate risk for EF-2's+. Even within the squall line. 

Well if the risk from that is down a bit, I'll take any win I can get. Would like to avoid anything severe as much as possible.

  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I'm not sure I would read too much wording into that Ral NWS discussion. The possibility for an F3 or higher tornado this afternoon IMO rests on the CAPE. If we can get a few hours of sunshine after this rain band, there is definitely that chance. Not sure there will be an "outbreak" , but severe cells w/ a few long track tornadoes is bad enough.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
26 minutes ago, Disc said:

Had a confirmed tornado in Franklin County, Va. Multiple structures damaged/destroyed and trees down.

When was this? I was in Franklin county this past Monday.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, HKY_WX said:

I'm not sure I would read too much wording into that Ral NWS discussion. The possibility for an F3 or higher tornado this afternoon IMO rests on the CAPE. If we can get a few hours of sunshine after this rain band, there is definitely that chance. Not sure there will be an "outbreak" , but severe cells w/ a few long track tornadoes is bad enough.

I'm feeling a little less concerned hear just east of that big batch of heavy rain here. Past experience says this much rain and clouds really hamper severe weather and even though the Windfields are insane lack of sun and a worked over atmosphere always give me pause when it comes to severe weather.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, shaggy said:

I'm feeling a little less concerned hear just east of that big batch of heavy rain here. Past experience says this much rain and clouds really hamper severe weather and even though the Windfields are insane lack of sun and a worked over atmosphere always give me pause when it comes to severe weather.

Yeah i was thinking the same thing till i saw the visible sat showing that clearing working its way north 

 

Capture.JPG

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, shaggy said:

I'm feeling a little less concerned hear just east of that big batch of heavy rain here. Past experience says this much rain and clouds really hamper severe weather and even though the Windfields are insane lack of sun and a worked over atmosphere always give me pause when it comes to severe weather.

I agree, but a couple of hours of sun could change that quickly.  There are breaks in the clouds behind this initial shot of rain.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Even these early storms are pretty gusty. Have had 3 pretty good wind bursts here in North Raleigh. Can see some limbs have snapped off in various places already around the property.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Afternoon folks, waiting on that first squall line to cross into My County area(s) down here in SENC, pretty gusty winds ahead of it..

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Here in Northern Okeechobee County FL and mostly cloudy 82F and winds 15 to 20 gusting to 30mph. I am guessing the best activity will be to my North; small line forming in Naples area might rob us here in SE FL

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Squall line is just to My Immediate South & West by a few miles.. I think it's going to "clip" New Hanover county..

Winds steady @ to SSE 21~ gusting to over 30- mph...

What I FIND INTERESTING<< THE "convectively " <sp> ,,  from these storms, start happening, When these Storms come on Land from the cool ocean waters, water Temp is 65 Blowing up as the come over the NOW HEATED Atmosphere over land, interesting watching the  Radar..

Peaks of Sun has driven up temps from the Low-Mid 70's too now almost 80F in the past 1/2 hour.. 

Dewpoints in the high 60's with Humidity in the 90's   

 

wx.JPG

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

These dozens of cells crossing the state line from CLT to Myrtle Beach are going to go ballistic when they hit those sunny and warm areas across the sandhills.  Sun is still peeking in and out here in the Triad.  77°.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

* AT 154 PM EDT, A TORNADO PRODUCING STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR  
  ORANGEBURG COUNTY AIRPORT, OR 8 MILES SOUTH OF ORANGEBURG, MOVING  
  NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.  
  
  HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.  
  SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.  
  

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6 minutes ago, janetjanet998 said:

* AT 154 PM EDT, A TORNADO PRODUCING STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR  
  ORANGEBURG COUNTY AIRPORT, OR 8 MILES SOUTH OF ORANGEBURG, MOVING  
  NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.  
  
  HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.  
  SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.  
  

I can verify, got hit with the outflow 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites


...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM EDT FOR  
SOUTHEASTERN CALHOUN...WESTERN CLARENDON AND NORTH CENTRAL ORANGEBURG  
COUNTIES...  
          
AT 214 PM EDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR ST. MATTHEWS, OR  
11 MILES NORTHEAST OF BROOKDALE, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.  
  
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.  
  
SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.  
  

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The outflow boundary I mentioned earlier pushing ahead of the line over SC looks to be playing a part in getting these more discrete cells to develop as they cross into SE NC. Loop is 38MB for those on data.

GOES-16 IR loop

 

 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×