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SNE "Tropical" Season Discussion 2019


Torch Tiger
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8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

This east shift isn't really new. 

Looking back over previous cycles the models really began that trend a while ago. 

That said I would certainly hope no one's thinking they're out of the woods on this thing down there. 

What's good for Florida may be hell for the Carolina's. 

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The 12z hurricane models, HWRF and HMON, have definitely trended back to the west and south.  And the interim 6z run of the Euro has also.  In fact the HMON now has a landfall just north of FL in Brunswick, GA and hugging the coast right up to Savannah.  Be interesting to see the 12z Euro.

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Just now, 78Blizzard said:

The 12z hurricane models, HWRF and HMON, have definitely trended back to the west and south.  And the interim 6z run of the Euro has also.  In fact the HMON now has a landfall just north of FL in Brunswick, GA and hugging the coast right up to Savannah.  Be interesting to see the 12z Euro.

"Trend" is not necessarily true, though. 

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