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Kmlwx

2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

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1 minute ago, MN Transplant said:

That thing is putting down a ton of rain, too.  

And it just threw out an outflow boundary looks like on radarscope 

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4 minutes ago, yoda said:

And it just threw out an outflow boundary looks like on radarscope 

It has weakened some since hitting IAD flush.  Winds are weaker and the other rain indicators are less.  Still a nice cell, though.

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Random question for you guys. Do you know of a site where I can find radar loops from any point in the past? I know on Wunderground they used to allow you to search the past on radar but I can't seem to be able to do it anymore. 

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Just now, Steve25 said:

Random question for you guys. Do you know of a site where I can find radar loops from any point in the past? I know on Wunderground they used to allow you to search the past on radar but I can't seem to be able to do it anymore. 

weather.us

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3 hours ago, mattie g said:

 Negative, yoda. Normal service resumed.

:lol:

Today's evasive storm maneuvers were a work of art to miss Burke in the way it did... 

  • Haha 1

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17 hours ago, Steve25 said:

Random question for you guys. Do you know of a site where I can find radar loops from any point in the past? I know on Wunderground they used to allow you to search the past on radar but I can't seem to be able to do it anymore. 

this is composite and not great for zooming in on small scale events, but it's another option.  i use it mostly for past winter storms or anything large scale:

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/current/mcview.phtml?prod=usrad&java=script&mode=archive&frames=60&interval=60&year=2014&month=2&day=12&hour=0&minute=0

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5,000 J/kg CAPE over southern Delmarva. Also some towering cumulus to my east and I can feel the instability in the air. Best chance for convection IMO is across the state line as the cumulus field starts here east.

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6 hours ago, Kmlwx said:

Maybe an isolated shot at some severe this week. 

Afternoon AFD seems to suggest chance on Tuesday to Thursday

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1630z update put us in a SLGT risk for today.

...Northern VA and vicinity this afternoon...
   A small thunderstorm cluster and diffuse MCV will move eastward from
   the eastern WV Panhandle across northern VA/MD this afternoon. 
   Surface heating in advance of this minor wave will contribute to
   moderate buoyancy (MLCAPE near 2000 J/kg), and some loose clustering
   of storms is expected this afternoon.  Steep low-level lapse rates
   and DCAPE near 1000 J/kg will favor occasional downbursts with some
   potential for wind damage. 

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I just managed to get a copy of AWIPS II to work on my laptop...just in time for some woostorms

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CAPE is good, and shear is marginal, but the combo overall is ok-ish, so I understand the slight risk.     But it sure would be nice to see some better signals in the hi-res guidance.   Maybe they're missing the potential impact of the MCV moving east, but they're certainly overall uninspiring (except for the NSSL-WRF).   

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23 minutes ago, high risk said:

CAPE is good, and shear is marginal, but the combo overall is ok-ish, so I understand the slight risk.     But it sure would be nice to see some better signals in the hi-res guidance.   Maybe they're missing the potential impact of the MCV moving east, but they're certainly overall uninspiring (except for the NSSL-WRF).   

Then that's the one we go with.

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i have forgotten what a storm is like. its been a 84 years... 

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It's been 84 years and fifteen days
Since you took your storms away
I go out every night and sleep all day
Since you took your storms away

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