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Kmlwx

2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

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Yet another STW for me.  Wonder if that line weakens before it gets here.  

The most robust part of the line seems to be North of me,  with what looks like a bowing out across extreme Northern Delaware.  Guessing the highest winds up there. 

 

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
DEC003-MDC015-029-NJC015-033-PAC029-045-292045-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SV.W.0166.190629T1959Z-190629T2045Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
359 PM EDT Sat Jun 29 2019

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  New Castle County in northern Delaware...
  Northern Kent County in northeastern Maryland...
  Cecil County in northeastern Maryland...
  Western Salem County in southern New Jersey...
  West central Gloucester County in southern New Jersey...
  Southwestern Chester County in southeastern Pennsylvania...
  South central Delaware County in southeastern Pennsylvania...

* Until 445 PM EDT.

* At 359 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
  extending from near Kennett Square to Glen Westover to Farmington,
  moving southeast at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Minor damage to vehicles is possible. Expect considerable
           tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes,
           roofs, and outbuildings.

* Locations impacted include...
  Wilmington, Newark, Middletown, Elkton, Calvert, Chester,
  Pennsville, Carneys Point, Elsmere, Kennett Square, New Castle,
  Penns Grove, Salem, Oxford, North East, Woodstown, Alloway, West
  Grove, Rising Sun and Quinton.

 

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OMG,  got nailed again with even larger hail more than 1 inch.  Incredible.  I am tired now all this weather watching , need a beer or two or three 

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On way up to Baltimore, around 95/32 intersection, car thermo dropped from 101 to 73.  Looks nasty toward Bay Bridge.

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11 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

The long range HRRR from 12z is VERY good for our area for tomorrow. 

So you are IN for tomorrow?  Good to hear :lol:

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13 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

Some of the CAMs like the ARW/ARW2/NMM - which have looked pretty weak sauce for prior events this year - look QUITE robust for the region tomorrow. 

Got any sauce?

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1 minute ago, Kmlwx said:

Just peaked at them over on the TropicalTidbits site. Only had time to give them a quick glance. Work is blech today. 

By sauce I meant link.

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11 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Eh, it's okay for east of 95.

Already calling another bust I see... figures

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1 minute ago, yoda said:

Already calling another bust I see... figures

Where did I say that?

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Just now, Eskimo Joe said:

Where did I say that?

You are def preparing for it when you said "eh it's okay for east of i95"

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00z 3km NAM isn't bad for tomorrow... has some good storms in C MD into Baltimore and into parts of S MD... has a line that looks nice -- yes it skips the DC region for those that are going to meh it... 01z/02z HRRR both have some decent storms over the mountains getting ready to move eastward... 00z HRRR extended was better for those in MD than those in DC/VA

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10 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

Nothing indicating widespread severe, but if we get a 2-3"/hr storm over the places that got hit on Monday, that's rough.

Should be a bit faster moving so that might be one thing that prevents massive flooding.

Reflectivity on some of the model output looks good - but yeah seems like an isolated day for actual severe. 

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