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OBS thread 2P Mar 3-10A Mar 4 (snow, possible sleet s fringe)


wdrag
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29 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

Started raining lightly here in Metuchen at about 4:15 pm at 40F. The light rain just changed to light snow at 4:40 pm and it's 38F. Should drop pretty quickly, as the column cools from evaporation. It's already down to 34F 10 miles W in Somerville, where they've saturated the column. Show is about to begin folks.

Have now had ~35 minutes of light snow and have dropped from 39F to 36F.  No accumulation yet, at that temp with light intensity.  20-25 dBZ incoming in about 10 minutes, according to the radar.  

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For the record, my guess from an hour ago on FB was 8" for my house here in Metuchen.  Going bullish, as every model has us staying snow the whole time (even though it gets perilously close at times) and I think we'll see about 1" QPF and lose 0.1" on the front end and have ratios a little less than 10:1 for 8".  Hey, I predicted 2.5" the other night and we got 4.5" (and I really thought I was being too conservative), so decided with the best model consensus I can almost ever recall, why not go for the high end.  Will see soon - if I don't have 2" by 8 pm, that prediction will be in trouble.  

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32 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

Have now had ~35 minutes of light snow and have dropped from 39F to 36F.  No accumulation yet, at that temp with light intensity.  20-25 dBZ incoming in about 10 minutes, according to the radar.  

As of about 5:40 pm, it's now snowing moderately now and it has dropped to 34F and it's just starting to accumulate on grass/cartops (colder surfaces); not yet on paved surfaces.  Soon, I would think with increased intensity.  

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