DomNH Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 I see no reason to waver from 5-9’’ here. Should be a solid event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 8 minutes ago, Snugharbor said: Can someone help me with numbers for immediate coastal RI? Have looked at models with a definite mix and rain, others with 3-6. Is this a nowcasting situation for here based on where ptype sets up? Trying to figure out when my wife has to go into work... Could be quite the gradient over RI and I don't think anyone could give you a definitive answer. NWS has no snow out on Block Island to 8" plus in the north part of the state. It will come down to nowcasting overnight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Looks like the wall got built.......lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted March 3, 2019 Author Share Posted March 3, 2019 Last call for snow (and second ever snow map!) Again leaning on the more aggressive side of guidance but based on trends I think it is justified. Let me know what you think! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: Absolutely agreed. I do kick myself when these things happen, but I enjoy the learning aspect and try to use this for future reference. I guess that's why I over-analyze at times. What Will explained to me earlier made 100% sense. It's knowledge like that which I lack and that is something I wish we would have learned more in school...even with map discussions or whatever. That’s just the structured school system. You have the passion and the talent. Everyone knows this isn’t an easy science to figure out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Close to going 10-16” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 8 minutes ago, dryslot said: Talk about a tight gradient............. It’s like a warm, cozy lavender blankie draped right over MBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 13 minutes ago, sbos_wx said: Still hitting the brakes hard on many places being 12+ with the speed of the storm. I understand the apprehension ... for speed of system translation and so forth ...? However, I can remember many (actually) times when I've cleared a foot at my location from exceptionally heavy fall rates... on the order of 3 or 4"/hr for just 4 hours... 1987 1997 2005 a couple pops in 2015 and I think there was one, two winters ago, but I'm currently groggy with turkey sammich lunch and need a coffee... the point is, it can snow prodigiously in short order given sufficient mechanical forcing and given to the list above and probably I'm missing a few, it's now as rare as we think to get "thunderstorm in snow fall rares" type stuff to happen. It just obviously not as common. I'm just keeping that in mind when I'm tempted to sell on fast accumulation ideas - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted March 3, 2019 Author Share Posted March 3, 2019 HRRR is just ripping over BOX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, Kitzbuhel Craver said: It’s like a warm, cozy lavender blankie draped right over MBY Hopefully the maid doesn't come in at 0z and strip the bed. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Close to going 10-16” Why leave any doubt on the table this late in a shitty season. Shove it all in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 18z 3km Nam went wild too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Wow at the number of tornado warnings in Georgia right now... thinking my 4 inch call for here is going up in flames. WE SNOW!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Wowzers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted March 3, 2019 Author Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: 18z 3km Nam went wild too. The area of 2-3" hour rates is actually astonishing EDIT- slower too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Just now, weatherwiz said: Wowzers I'm telling you ... this thing may put down CGs here and there.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Me thinks a lot of cancellations will be rolling in over the next few hours. Most places haven’t even had a day yet... I’m sure that’ll factor in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I understand the apprehension ... for speed of system translation and so forth ...? However, I can remember many (actually) times when I've cleared a foot at my location from exceptionally heavy fall rates... on the order of 3 or 4"/hr for just 4 hours... 1987 1997 2005 a couple pops in 2015 and I think there was one, two winters ago, but I'm currently groggy with turkey sammich lunch and need a coffee... the point is, it can snow prodigiously in short order given sufficient mechanical forcing and given to the list above and probably I'm missing a few, it's now as rare as we think to get "thunderstorm in snow fall rares" type stuff to happen. It just obviously not as common. I'm just keeping that in mind when I'm tempted to sell on fast accumulation ideas - 2/9/17. Fast mover intense Delmarva cyclogensis (kind of a NJ model on 'roids moving very quickly) that was really a 7-8 hour storm but it dumped widespread 10-16". Midlevels in that one looked better and more developed, but the frontogenesis in this one isn't that dissimilar...you noted previously how this thing is just getting crunched in that sloped manner back to 300mb on the northwest flank...prob gonna see some 2-3"/hr streamers imbedded in that solid shield of 1"/hr rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Yeah HRR still pounding mby at the end of the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted March 3, 2019 Author Share Posted March 3, 2019 New HRRR's are continuing the trend of slowing down slightly and deepening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I'm telling you ... this thing may put down CGs here and there.... Someone is going to get whacked...right along that coastal front should get drilled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Tiger where are you located? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 14 minutes ago, SnowBrosForever said: Those are some of the issues, and they are valid. But there are others. too. Our son attended schools in Arlington, VA and Washington DC, from '95-'08. (Granted, this is a different part of the universe.) Schools were closed in Arlington because they just don't have the plowing equipment. Another sad fact, although I don't know how much of a factor it (according to the principal), was but many immigrant families could not afford proper winter clothes - boots, jackets or mittens for the kids. When our kid was in a high school in DC, the school aligned itself with whatever Montgomery County Md. did, because that's where the largest number of kids came from. At one point. the HS had been closed for 2-3 days because of an ice storm, but most roads were clear, so I convinced the principal to NOT to cancel the Friday night ski trip. Yeah....I was being half serious ... sort of wantonly tongue and cheek cynical, too - I love sordid humor. It's among my favorite forms of muse - and gets me into trouble around here, too When I said I wondered whether other regions around the country rejoice in it? Mm that was obviously sarcasm ... But, I guess now that we thinking about it, the Lakes out through the northern plains/Missouri Valley ... all these regions have local standards that vary ... They have to. Demographics are not ubiquitous. The "culture" of how each region handles matters is rooted in that, and different climate... it's a lot to consider. Plus, you just have a lower asshole quotient outside of New England ... ha. Anyway, obviously you and I know 4" in DC doesn't mean the same thing as 4" in Vermont. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted March 3, 2019 Author Share Posted March 3, 2019 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: Tiger where are you located? Right in Arlington MA, near sommerville and Lexington and around 10 miles from Boston to the NW. Pretty close to the Jack zone for this storm hence why I've been posting so often Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Is there an upslope component for us during the storm? Not expecting much out of this but the GFS has an interested purple blob right around my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 2/9/17. Fast mover intense Delmarva cyclogensis (kind of a NJ model on 'roids moving very quickly) that was really a 7-8 hour storm but it dumped widespread 10-16". Midlevels in that one looked better and more developed, but the frontogenesis in this one isn't that dissimilar...you noted previously how this thing is just getting crunched in that sloped manner back to 300mb on the northwest flank...prob gonna see some 2-3"/hr streamers imbedded in that solid shield of 1"/hr rates. Oh, yeah...riiight. Yup I remember now... I know there was one. That was good one. I love those dynamic hyper roids. Yeah, agreed on the bands - I think some lightning could be seen too. I know I'm saying that alot but thunder snow is one of my favorite phenoms and I'm hoping to catch some of that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Tip is excited, that makes me excited 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 3 minutes ago, tiger_deF said: Right in Arlington MA, near sommerville and Lexington and around 10 miles from Boston to the NW. Pretty close to the Jack zone for this storm hence why I've been posting so often Yeah I’m on the area so I know that location well. You should do very well! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowBrosForever Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: Yeah....I was being half serious ... sort of wantonly tongue and cheek cynical, too - I love sordid humor. It's among my favorite forms of muse - and gets me into trouble around here, too When I said I wondered whether other regions around the country rejoice in it? Mm that was obviously sarcasm ... But, I guess now that we thinking about it, the Lakes out through the northern plains/Missouri Valley ... all these regions have local standards that vary ... They have to. Demographics are not ubiquitous. The "culture" of how each region handles matters is rooted in that, and different climate... it's a lot to consider. Plus, you just have a lower asshole quotient outside of New England ... ha. Anyway, obviously you and I know 4" in DC doesn't mean the same thing as 4" in Vermont. I suspected as much re being half serious. And you are correct, 4" in DC is panic-inducing, buy all the bread, clean out Safeway, bring home the laptop, do we have enough beer and wine, cancel every meeting, absurdity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 For Jerry...not quite as coked out as the 15z run but still honking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now