BombsAway1288 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 31 minutes ago, Greg said: What the heck was that all about? It's just somebody with some serious mental issues from the NYC area. I think he's been banned multiple times only to come back with a new name. Looks like hes out the door again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Bob Kraft's fetish is sleazy massage parlors...Jerry's fetish is RPM runs right before a good snow event. Still ramping up... I like that 10-12 inch dot right over me...yes please! The big change recently has been a snow decrease in southern PA and increasing numbers from central Jersey on northeastward. Does this have anything to do with the coastal storm developing earlier? This started around 0z last night and has continued since then it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Man does this remind us of that Jan 27 2011 nighttime storm. Same deal.. things ramped right up to go time 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Mesos are def going wild. Good sign though because even if we take off 20-25% then it's still a solid 7-10. The rates are going to matter a ton in this one given it's a fast mover. Like if someone is putting up 3"/hr for a couple hours that is going to juice the totals big time. Some of the guidance has an awesome crosshair sig over the interior (mostly the non-NAM guidance)...so gotta be leery of the fluff bomb for someone. The poster child for that is obviously something like 2/7/03. HRRR generates a shit-ton of lift through the whole darn column....lol. Yeah someone in the U20s with a good cross hair sig could go wild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Man does this remind us of that Jan 27 2011 nighttime storm. Same deal.. things ramped right up to go time Will you stop.... lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Mesos are def going wild. Good sign though because even if we take off 20-25% then it's still a solid 7-10. The rates are going to matter a ton in this one given it's a fast mover. Like if someone is putting up 3"/hr for a couple hours that is going to juice the totals big time. Some of the guidance has an awesome crosshair sig over the interior (mostly the non-NAM guidance)...so gotta be leery of the fluff bomb for someone. The poster child for that is obviously something like 2/7/03. MY FAVORITE STORM OF ALL-TIME!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KoalaBeer Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Anyone think this could be a paste job for some and cause some power issues? I can’t shake the thought of March7/8th last year here. 10 inches of straight man snow up in this area and you can still see the tree damage out there from it today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Mesos are def going wild. Good sign though because even if we take off 20-25% then it's still a solid 7-10. The rates are going to matter a ton in this one given it's a fast mover. Like if someone is putting up 3"/hr for a couple hours that is going to juice the totals big time. Some of the guidance has an awesome crosshair sig over the interior (mostly the non-NAM guidance)...so gotta be leery of the fluff bomb for someone. The poster child for that is obviously something like 2/7/03. I actually liked that one. 02/07/03. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Just now, TheSnowman said: MY FAVORITE STORM OF ALL-TIME!!!!! If you want an example of an open wave fast-moving system that went wild, that is probably one of the best ones. 12/29-30/93 is another one off the top of my head too. What both have in common was excellent cross hair sigs with amazing snow growth. That can make up for a fast residence time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: If you want an example of an open wave fast-moving system that went wild, that is probably one of the best ones. 12/29-30/93 is another one off the top of my head too. What both have in common was excellent cross hair sigs with amazing snow growth. That can make up for a fast residence time. Yeah that would take the place of lower QPF. I just meant that we probably won’t see 1.5” QPF all snow. But certainly higher ratios inland where the banding may set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Mesoanalysis off to the west doesn't look too bad. Some real nice 850/700 fronto beginning to take shape. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah that would take the place of lower QPF. I just meant that we probably won’t see 1.5” QPF all snow. But certainly higher ratios inland where the banding may set up. No argument on qpf. I'd be shocked if we saw much over an inch anywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah that would take the place of lower QPF. I just meant that we probably won’t see 1.5” QPF all snow. But certainly higher ratios inland where the banding may set up. What are you thinking in Duxbury? Seems like mixing may make it there, but not before a thump. Trying to plan for my drive to work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: No argument on qpf. I'd be shocked if we saw much over an inch anywhere. Thinking 6-9 here. I could see that higher el area near Sharon/Walpole getting smoked. May have temps 32-32.5 for a time, but looking forward to some paste. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: What are you thinking in Duxbury? Seems like mixing may make it there, but not before a thump. Trying to plan for my drive to work I could see solid 4-8 there. A lot of guidance keeps them snow too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Thinking 6-9 here. I could see that higher el area near Sharon/Walpole getting smoked. May have temps 32-32.5 for a time, but looking forward to some paste. You get a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Thinking 6-9 here. I could see that higher el area near Sharon/Walpole getting smoked. May have temps 32-32.5 for a time, but looking forward to some paste. Yeah those weenie 300 foot areas could make good snowgrowth at 31-32F go from 12 to 1 to something like 18 to 1 at 29-30F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Thinking 6-9 here. I could see that higher el area near Sharon/Walpole getting smoked. May have temps 32-32.5 for a time, but looking forward to some paste. I’ve called Moose hill in Sharon a Couple of times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: You get a foot. Not on the immediate shoreline where Scott is. BL levels will be just at to very slightly above freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Just now, Greg said: Not on the immediate shoreline where Scott is. BL levels will be just at to very slightly above freezing. He can walk to the beach? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 I could see a place such as Blue Hills or Moose Hill doing similar things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: He can walk to the beach? He's not on the Beach, but close enough so the low level marine air can create BL issues especially in a storm with a track like this. Remember your working with precipitation intensity and storm track dynamics but no real high in place to help keep all the layers uniform, so the risk increases near the immediate coastline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 I’m not that close but it may be like 32.0 or a few tenths higher. Sometimes S Weymouth can do better here. Either way I’m happy. Paste is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 What's the thinking for snow amounts here in Enfield? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I’m not that close but it may be like 32.0 or a few tenths higher. Sometimes S Weymouth can do better here. Either way I’m happy. Paste is good. No worries Scott. I'm rooting for you, you'll do well for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Euro juiced a bit and ticked NW. looks like between ack and benchmark. 850 even gets borderline hear at 12z. Thump. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Nice bump back NW on the 12z Euro, Should bring qpf back up some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Keep in mind even with a little over Amp such as the Euro, it gives an overall good flavor to what is going to potentially happen this close in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 29 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Will you stop.... lol. if se interior mass or southern ct gets 12 plus he kinda has a point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 7 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: What's the thinking for snow amounts here in Enfield? I would venture a guess that you were looking at 6 to 8 inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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