OceanStWx Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Not at all 512high. Looks good into SNH. Haven't looked at a ton of detail with this system, but my first blush look at no 700 mb low has me a little concerned for some of the totals GYX is forecasting. I'd like to see a closed circulation there and more than just WAA to get that much double digit snowfall. 850 does it, so it's not far off though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Man wolfie lost hope s shit last night.......Hopefully he's sleeping it off and won't remember much of it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, 512high said: Thought you or someone said dipping more SE, ty(My bad may have been on other thread)..carry on Pickles was just emotional posting . You need to sift thru that stuff 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Haven't looked at a ton of detail with this system, but my first blush look at no 700 mb low has me a little concerned for some of the totals GYX is forecasting. I'd like to see a closed circulation there and more than just WAA to get that much double digit snowfall. 850 does it, so it's not far off though. I just looked at this one for the first time and I thought the same thing. First look made me think 5-8'' SNH. It's a pretty fast mover too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Pickles was just emotional posting . You need to sift thru that stuff I’m cruising down route 1 in mass , a tug at the cabaret lounge , may pump the ridge at 12z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Just now, DomNH said: I just looked at this one for the first time and I thought the same thing. First look made me think 5-8'' SNH. It's a pretty fast mover too. That sounds like a pretty solid place to be. I'd like to see trends towards deeper mid levels if I'm going to adjust up. I don't start shift again until Sunday night, so I'm just the clean up crew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 The models I have looked at so far are a great looking thump around ORH though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 I don't know what the trends have been like but the NAM/Euro looking pretty similar is a good sign to me. I'd chuck the GFS QPF with the way it looks in the midlevels even though the SLP is a little farther south of the NAM/Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 3 minutes ago, DomNH said: I don't know what the trends have been like but the NAM/Euro looking pretty similar is a good sign to me. I'd chuck the GFS QPF with the way it looks in the midlevels. Weird look of only like 0.25" despite what the mid level track looks like. I would say on its face it's not much different than the Euro/NAM look. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 4 minutes ago, DomNH said: I don't know what the trends have been like but the NAM/Euro looking pretty similar is a good sign to me. I'd chuck the GFS QPF with the way it looks in the midlevels. I’ll give you a hint go back 24 hours and look where they each were if euro/nam we’re dead nuts on with no shifts last day I’d be balls deep on 6-10 of snow for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 RGEM came north, but that model is a shell of itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Doesn’t look like the Reggie is buying the se shift. Of course what he’s been buying lately isn’t worth much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: RGEM came north, but that model is a shell of itself. Just like SNE snowfall since 2015? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 22 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: The models I have looked at so far are a great looking thump around ORH though. Oh how we pray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: RGEM came north, but that model is a shell of itself. That model has been garbage this season, although it had that nice shift S for today’s event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 BOX is still bullish on Monday...13” totals from now until Tuesday on their 9:07AM map for MBY. So that’s 10” or so from that day... Not buying it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Just like SNE snowfall since 2015? Hey had a couple of decent seasons. 16-17 and last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: BOX is still bullish on Monday...13” totals from now until Tuesday on their 9:07AM map for MBY. So that’s 10” or so from that day... Not buying it That seems a little aggressive but I think you look solid for 6-10''. This is a much better threat than the garbage that is this morning. Looks like a pretty widespread lower end warning event to me on its face this morning but I haven't been invested in it at all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Look at where the energy for Sunday nites system is now . Take a peek . Just a little looksie This is how fast things are flyin. Not gonna shift nw in this flow more than a burp unless it’s initially modeled too far south, otherwise south is the idea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 7 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Look at where the energy for Sunday nites system is now . Take a peek . Just a little looksie This is how fast things are flyin. Not gonna shift nw in this flow more than a burp unless it’s initially modeled too far south, otherwise south is the idea What are your thoughts for ASH and ORH? 5-6”? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 GFS even worse.. screw this winter. Bring on spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Goofus ticks a little NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Yeah that’s a good look I thought. Decent fronto in NH even if brief. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Just now, ineedsnow said: GFS even worse.. screw this winter. Bring on spring Just now, dendrite said: Goofus ticks a little NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Just now, ineedsnow said: GFS even worse.. screw this winter. Bring on spring It's not worse for anyone except those that are mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: heneedssnow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 GFS pops a 990 then 983 on TT. Lowest it has gotten Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Not sure if it ticked vs stronger low which is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Lol. Yeah not sure what he was looking at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 More reasonable looking QPF distribution too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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